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衰退期的最佳投资策略:别保守

衰退期的最佳投资策略:别保守

JAMES ROYAL,BANKRATE 2023-01-29
最好的做法是更激进地投资于高回报资产。

经济衰退是为随之而来的市场反弹做准备的时期。图片来源:GETTY IMAGES

由于失业率处于低位,经济蓬勃发展(尽管或许出现放缓),衰退似乎还很遥远。但这种繁荣导致通胀飙升,为了遏制物价上涨,美联储快速加息,几乎已经预示了一场经济衰退的到来。尽管一些投资者仍认为美联储有望在不让美国经济陷入衰退的情况下抗击通胀,但如果下一次衰退最终确实对美国经济造成打击,那么最好的投资方式是什么?

经济衰退时期的最佳投资策略

在经济衰退期间,最好的投资可能与你想象中不同。许多投资者变得更加保守,这是不对的,因为长远看来,最好的做法是变得更加激进,加大对可能提供更高回报的资产的敞口。

理由很简单:股市下跌后,投资者可以凭较低价格买入这些生意的未来增长。这是经典的“低买高卖”,每个人都知道,但很少有人能做到,因为在市场低迷时期,恐惧往往会阻碍我们行动。

“等我们知道已经处于经济衰退中时,股票投资市场的估值可能更接近底部,而不是顶部——而且很多时候,这些市场已经走在反弹的路上了,”达拉斯奥赞金融顾问公司(Ozanne Financial Advisors)总裁泰勒·奥赞说。

他说:“换句话说,等我们知道已经处于衰退中时,再往安全的地方逃就太晚了——你早就应该这么做了。”

相反,衰退是为随之而来的市场反弹做准备的时候。当然,经济衰退不仅仅是市场低迷,衰退期经济放缓,可能会让你失业,并带来其他财务困难。你如何平衡这些可能出现的后果?

以下是在经济衰退期间可以考虑的四项投资,还有三项最好应当避免的投资。

经济衰退期间可以考虑的四项投资

当市场下跌时,许多投资者的第一反应是退场,以停止亏钱的痛苦。在这种时刻,市场上的股票在打折,对于此时购入股票的投资者来说,其实未来的回报率在增加。优秀的公司能够在未来10到20年继续繁荣发展,因此资产价格下跌意味着你未来的潜在回报会更高。

因此,经济衰退期间——价格通常较低——正是获得更高回报的时候。如果在经济衰退期间进行以下投资,将来可能会获得更高的回报。

股票基金

股票基金,无论是ETF还是共同基金,都是经济衰退期间比较好的投资产品。基金的波动性往往低于由几只股票组成的投资组合,投资者买入基金,不是押注于某一支股票,而是押注于经济复苏和市场情绪上升。如果你能忍受短期波动,持有股票基金就有可能获得较高的长期回报。

对于那些不想麻烦也不愿意冒险投资个股的投资者来说,充分分散的基金是不错之选。其中一个合适的选择是基于标准普尔500指数的指数基金,这个指数相当均衡,包括数百家美国最好的公司,长期回报率约为10%。与其试图挑选赢家,不如拥有整个市场的其中一小份。

印第安纳波利斯地区Evans May Wealth管理合伙人、金融理财师布鲁克·梅说:“持有均衡投资组合的投资者需要提醒自己,市场总会从低迷中复苏”。

分红股

如果你想要一个波动较小的投资组合,或许可以加入一些分红股。高质量的分红股往往比其他类型股票(如增长股) 的波动更小,这就意味着你的投资组合波动更小。此外,他们可以提供现金股息,确保你在等待市场回暖期间仍有收益入账。

觉得自己没有足够的经验来挑选分红股?购买分红股基金,享受分散化带来的低风险,同时还能享受稳定的股息收益。此外,如果你在股价较低时买入,你将获得更高的总收益率。

房地产

经济衰退期间,房地产可能是一项颇有吸引力的投资,原因有以下几点。首先,相较于经济表现强劲时,房价可能更低。然后,当经济好转,消费者手头现金更充裕时,你的房产价值可能会上涨。

其次,在经济衰退期间,你能拿到更合适的抵押贷款,因为此时的利率可能比其他时间低得多。你可以为未来几十年锁定一个颇为吸引人的月供,所以即使以后利率上升,你仍然拥有低于市场的房贷利率。

许多投资者在过去几年正是这样做的,他们拿到的30年期抵押贷款利率还不足3%。随着现在和未来几年通胀上升,他们在用更便宜的美元还款,房产因此成为一种有吸引力的通胀对冲工具。

高收益储蓄账户

现金?是的,现金在短期内是一种很好的投资,因为许多衰退通常不会持续太久。现金给了你很多选择。你可以在需要的时候花掉它,比如说你在经济衰退期间丢了工作,现金还可以让你在股市突然大跌时,或者你找到了完美的房子时,确保你能抓住机会进行投资。

但持有过多现金也有不利的一面。通货膨胀会吞掉你的钱,而你赚的利息可能追不上通胀。所以,要把钱存在收益率高的在线储蓄账户,并将其用于战略目的。

衰退期间应避免的三种投资

如果遇上了经济衰退,记住要专注于确保你的下一个投资决策是正确的。由于市场具有前瞻性,在经济明确陷入衰退之前,价格可能已经下降了一些。因此,那些因为价格稳定甚至上涨而让人觉得很安全的投资,在未来可能并不是特别有吸引力的选择。

债券

总体而言,债券往往比股票更安全,但重要的是,购买债券的时机有好有坏,而这些时机主要集中在现行利率出现变化的时候。这是因为利率上升会拉低债券价格,而利率下降则会推高债券价格。长期债券受利率变化的影响比短期债券更大。

由于投资者开始预判到经济会出现衰退,他们可能会逃往相对安全的债券。通常情况下,他们预计美联储会降息,债券价格会因此维持上涨。所以,如果利率还未下调,正在进入衰退期时可能是购买债券的一个有利时机。

另一方面,购买债券最糟糕的时机之一是在利率很快就会上升时。这种情况发生在经济衰退出现之后。投资者可能会感觉债券比较安全,与股市的波动比起来更是如此,但随着经济恢复增长,现行利率或将出现上涨,债券价格将出现下跌。

高负债公司

梅提醒到:“应该避免那些对高利率更加敏感的高负债公司。”

高负债公司的股票通常会在衰退前和衰退期间大幅下跌。投资者预判到公司资产负债表上的债务伴随的风险,通过降低股价来反映这种风险。如果公司遭遇销售额下降(经济衰退期间往往如此),可能将无法支付债务利息,而不得不违约。

因此,衰退对于负债累累的公司来说可能非常艰难。但是,正如奥赞所说,如果公司能够存活下来,或许会提供一个很有吸引力的回报。也就是说,市场对该公司的定价是死亡,而如果死亡并未出现,股价可能会迅速上涨。不过,这家公司也很有可能撑不下去,让剩下的投资者承担损失。

期权等高风险资产

期权等其他高风险资产也不适合经济衰退。期权是一种押注股票价格将在特定时间高于或低于特定价格的交易。这是一种高风险、高回报的策略,但经济衰退的不确定性使期权的风险被放大了。

持有期权,你不仅要正确地预测或猜测未来股票价格的走势,你还必须准确预测这种变化何时会发生。如果你错了,你可能会失去所有的本金,或者被迫投入更多的钱。

控制你的情绪

专家们常说,在市场波动期间控制情绪很重要,在经济衰退期间同样如此。哪怕是最好的财务计划,也可能被情绪化的决定破坏,以下是专家的建议:

• 坚持你的长期计划。奥赞说:“制定一个长期投资策略或计划,无论经济形势如何,都要坚持下去。”他指出了分散投资组合的价值,称这种投资方式可以帮助投资者安然度过市场动荡。

• 准备应急基金。在经济衰退的不确定性时期,应急基金尤其有用。它不仅可以帮助你度过难关,还可以帮助你拿住手中投资,给你的投资足够时间再次上涨。你一定不希望在经济衰退期间不得不动用你的投资来支付账单。

• 不要盯盘。梅说:“如果股市的波动让你夜不能寐,那就不要每天都盯着股价看。”

• 好年头比坏年头多。“从历史上看,投资市场的上涨年份比下跌年份多得多,”奥赞说。“在经济衰退和相应的负面市场环境下,要记住,投资的好日子可能就在前面。”

• 找一个聪明的顾问。奥赞说:“在充满情绪的这段时间里,让一个客观的人给你讲讲道理、逻辑和策略,可以保护投资者不犯一些可能会极大影响长期投资收益的错误。”

如果你正在寻找一位能让你满意的顾问,可以点击此链接(https://www.bankrate.com/investing/how-to-choose-a-financial-advisor),阅读选择顾问的一些建议。

底线

经济衰退期间的投资经历可能充满烦恼和焦虑,因为市场会十分不稳定,你会想要试图避免短期损失。但在这个过程中,你可能会损害你的长期回报。因此,更重要的是专注于你的长期计划以及未来市场好转后的好日子。无论使用什么样的方式,都不要让个人情绪影响决策。(财富中文网)

本文最初发表于Bankrate.com。

译者:Agatha

由于失业率处于低位,经济蓬勃发展(尽管或许出现放缓),衰退似乎还很遥远。但这种繁荣导致通胀飙升,为了遏制物价上涨,美联储快速加息,几乎已经预示了一场经济衰退的到来。尽管一些投资者仍认为美联储有望在不让美国经济陷入衰退的情况下抗击通胀,但如果下一次衰退最终确实对美国经济造成打击,那么最好的投资方式是什么?

经济衰退时期的最佳投资策略

在经济衰退期间,最好的投资可能与你想象中不同。许多投资者变得更加保守,这是不对的,因为长远看来,最好的做法是变得更加激进,加大对可能提供更高回报的资产的敞口。

理由很简单:股市下跌后,投资者可以凭较低价格买入这些生意的未来增长。这是经典的“低买高卖”,每个人都知道,但很少有人能做到,因为在市场低迷时期,恐惧往往会阻碍我们行动。

“等我们知道已经处于经济衰退中时,股票投资市场的估值可能更接近底部,而不是顶部——而且很多时候,这些市场已经走在反弹的路上了,”达拉斯奥赞金融顾问公司(Ozanne Financial Advisors)总裁泰勒·奥赞说。

他说:“换句话说,等我们知道已经处于衰退中时,再往安全的地方逃就太晚了——你早就应该这么做了。”

相反,衰退是为随之而来的市场反弹做准备的时候。当然,经济衰退不仅仅是市场低迷,衰退期经济放缓,可能会让你失业,并带来其他财务困难。你如何平衡这些可能出现的后果?

以下是在经济衰退期间可以考虑的四项投资,还有三项最好应当避免的投资。

经济衰退期间可以考虑的四项投资

当市场下跌时,许多投资者的第一反应是退场,以停止亏钱的痛苦。在这种时刻,市场上的股票在打折,对于此时购入股票的投资者来说,其实未来的回报率在增加。优秀的公司能够在未来10到20年继续繁荣发展,因此资产价格下跌意味着你未来的潜在回报会更高。

因此,经济衰退期间——价格通常较低——正是获得更高回报的时候。如果在经济衰退期间进行以下投资,将来可能会获得更高的回报。

股票基金

股票基金,无论是ETF还是共同基金,都是经济衰退期间比较好的投资产品。基金的波动性往往低于由几只股票组成的投资组合,投资者买入基金,不是押注于某一支股票,而是押注于经济复苏和市场情绪上升。如果你能忍受短期波动,持有股票基金就有可能获得较高的长期回报。

对于那些不想麻烦也不愿意冒险投资个股的投资者来说,充分分散的基金是不错之选。其中一个合适的选择是基于标准普尔500指数的指数基金,这个指数相当均衡,包括数百家美国最好的公司,长期回报率约为10%。与其试图挑选赢家,不如拥有整个市场的其中一小份。

印第安纳波利斯地区Evans May Wealth管理合伙人、金融理财师布鲁克·梅说:“持有均衡投资组合的投资者需要提醒自己,市场总会从低迷中复苏”。

分红股

如果你想要一个波动较小的投资组合,或许可以加入一些分红股。高质量的分红股往往比其他类型股票(如增长股) 的波动更小,这就意味着你的投资组合波动更小。此外,他们可以提供现金股息,确保你在等待市场回暖期间仍有收益入账。

觉得自己没有足够的经验来挑选分红股?购买分红股基金,享受分散化带来的低风险,同时还能享受稳定的股息收益。此外,如果你在股价较低时买入,你将获得更高的总收益率。

房地产

经济衰退期间,房地产可能是一项颇有吸引力的投资,原因有以下几点。首先,相较于经济表现强劲时,房价可能更低。然后,当经济好转,消费者手头现金更充裕时,你的房产价值可能会上涨。

其次,在经济衰退期间,你能拿到更合适的抵押贷款,因为此时的利率可能比其他时间低得多。你可以为未来几十年锁定一个颇为吸引人的月供,所以即使以后利率上升,你仍然拥有低于市场的房贷利率。

许多投资者在过去几年正是这样做的,他们拿到的30年期抵押贷款利率还不足3%。随着现在和未来几年通胀上升,他们在用更便宜的美元还款,房产因此成为一种有吸引力的通胀对冲工具。

高收益储蓄账户

现金?是的,现金在短期内是一种很好的投资,因为许多衰退通常不会持续太久。现金给了你很多选择。你可以在需要的时候花掉它,比如说你在经济衰退期间丢了工作,现金还可以让你在股市突然大跌时,或者你找到了完美的房子时,确保你能抓住机会进行投资。

但持有过多现金也有不利的一面。通货膨胀会吞掉你的钱,而你赚的利息可能追不上通胀。所以,要把钱存在收益率高的在线储蓄账户,并将其用于战略目的。

衰退期间应避免的三种投资

如果遇上了经济衰退,记住要专注于确保你的下一个投资决策是正确的。由于市场具有前瞻性,在经济明确陷入衰退之前,价格可能已经下降了一些。因此,那些因为价格稳定甚至上涨而让人觉得很安全的投资,在未来可能并不是特别有吸引力的选择。

债券

总体而言,债券往往比股票更安全,但重要的是,购买债券的时机有好有坏,而这些时机主要集中在现行利率出现变化的时候。这是因为利率上升会拉低债券价格,而利率下降则会推高债券价格。长期债券受利率变化的影响比短期债券更大。

由于投资者开始预判到经济会出现衰退,他们可能会逃往相对安全的债券。通常情况下,他们预计美联储会降息,债券价格会因此维持上涨。所以,如果利率还未下调,正在进入衰退期时可能是购买债券的一个有利时机。

另一方面,购买债券最糟糕的时机之一是在利率很快就会上升时。这种情况发生在经济衰退出现之后。投资者可能会感觉债券比较安全,与股市的波动比起来更是如此,但随着经济恢复增长,现行利率或将出现上涨,债券价格将出现下跌。

高负债公司

梅提醒到:“应该避免那些对高利率更加敏感的高负债公司。”

高负债公司的股票通常会在衰退前和衰退期间大幅下跌。投资者预判到公司资产负债表上的债务伴随的风险,通过降低股价来反映这种风险。如果公司遭遇销售额下降(经济衰退期间往往如此),可能将无法支付债务利息,而不得不违约。

因此,衰退对于负债累累的公司来说可能非常艰难。但是,正如奥赞所说,如果公司能够存活下来,或许会提供一个很有吸引力的回报。也就是说,市场对该公司的定价是死亡,而如果死亡并未出现,股价可能会迅速上涨。不过,这家公司也很有可能撑不下去,让剩下的投资者承担损失。

期权等高风险资产

期权等其他高风险资产也不适合经济衰退。期权是一种押注股票价格将在特定时间高于或低于特定价格的交易。这是一种高风险、高回报的策略,但经济衰退的不确定性使期权的风险被放大了。

持有期权,你不仅要正确地预测或猜测未来股票价格的走势,你还必须准确预测这种变化何时会发生。如果你错了,你可能会失去所有的本金,或者被迫投入更多的钱。

控制你的情绪

专家们常说,在市场波动期间控制情绪很重要,在经济衰退期间同样如此。哪怕是最好的财务计划,也可能被情绪化的决定破坏,以下是专家的建议:

• 坚持你的长期计划。奥赞说:“制定一个长期投资策略或计划,无论经济形势如何,都要坚持下去。”他指出了分散投资组合的价值,称这种投资方式可以帮助投资者安然度过市场动荡。

• 准备应急基金。在经济衰退的不确定性时期,应急基金尤其有用。它不仅可以帮助你度过难关,还可以帮助你拿住手中投资,给你的投资足够时间再次上涨。你一定不希望在经济衰退期间不得不动用你的投资来支付账单。

• 不要盯盘。梅说:“如果股市的波动让你夜不能寐,那就不要每天都盯着股价看。”

• 好年头比坏年头多。“从历史上看,投资市场的上涨年份比下跌年份多得多,”奥赞说。“在经济衰退和相应的负面市场环境下,要记住,投资的好日子可能就在前面。”

• 找一个聪明的顾问。奥赞说:“在充满情绪的这段时间里,让一个客观的人给你讲讲道理、逻辑和策略,可以保护投资者不犯一些可能会极大影响长期投资收益的错误。”

如果你正在寻找一位能让你满意的顾问,可以点击此链接(https://www.bankrate.com/investing/how-to-choose-a-financial-advisor),阅读选择顾问的一些建议。

底线

经济衰退期间的投资经历可能充满烦恼和焦虑,因为市场会十分不稳定,你会想要试图避免短期损失。但在这个过程中,你可能会损害你的长期回报。因此,更重要的是专注于你的长期计划以及未来市场好转后的好日子。无论使用什么样的方式,都不要让个人情绪影响决策。(财富中文网)

本文最初发表于Bankrate.com。

译者:Agatha

With low unemployment and a booming, if slowing, economy, a recession may seem a ways off. But that boom has led to surging inflation, and to combat higher prices, the Federal Reserve has all but promised a recession by rapidly raising interest rates. While some investors remain hopeful that the central bank can fight inflation without pushing the U.S. economy into a recession, what’s the best way to invest when the next recession does end up hitting the economy?

Best investments during a recession

The best investments during a recession may not be what you expect. Many investors make the mistake of becoming more conservative, when the best long-term course of action is to become more aggressive, ramping up exposure to assets that may offer potentially higher returns.

The rationale is simple: After stocks have fallen, investors are paying a lower price for the future growth of those businesses. It’s the classic “buy low, sell high” that everyone knows but that relatively few can practice because fear so often gets in our way during a market downturn.

“Once we know we are in an economic recession, the equity investment markets are probably closer to the bottom than they are to the top in valuations – and many times those markets are already well on their way in a rebound,” says M. Tyler Ozanne, CFP, president at Ozanne Financial Advisors in Dallas.

“In other words, once we know we are in a recession, it is too late to flee to safety – you should have done that already,” he says.

Instead, a recession is a time to prepare for the ensuing rebound in markets. Of course, a recession is not just a downturn in the market, it’s also a slowing economy that could throw you out of work and cause other financial distress. How do you balance these potential outcomes?

Here are four investments to consider making during a recession and three that are likely best to avoid.

4 investments to consider if a recession happens

When markets fall, the first response for many investors is to bail out in order to stop the pain of losing money. By discounting stocks in these moments, the market is actually increasing the future returns for investors who buy in. Great companies are well positioned to continue to thrive in 10 and 20 years, so a decline in asset prices means your potential future returns are even bigger.

So a recession – when prices are usually lower – is exactly the time to score higher returns. The investments below offer the potential for higher returns over time if made during a recession.

Stock funds

A stock fund, either an ETF or a mutual fund, is a great way to invest during a recession. A fund tends to be less volatile than a portfolio of a few stocks, and investors are wagering less on any single stock than they are on the economy’s return and a rise in market sentiment. And a stock fund offers the potential for high long-term returns if you can stomach the short-term volatility.

Well-diversified funds are a good option for investors who don’t want the hassle and risks of investing in individual stocks. One sound choice is an index fund based on the Standard & Poor’s 500, a well-balanced index that includes hundreds of America’s best companies and has returned about 10 percent over time. Rather than try to pick the winners, you own a piece of the market as a whole.

“Investors with a well-balanced portfolio need to remind themselves that the market has always come back” from downturns, says Brooke V. May, CFP, managing partner at Evans May Wealth in the Indianapolis area.

Dividend stocks

If you want a portfolio that may be somewhat less volatile, you might want to add some dividend stocks. High-quality dividend stocks tend to fluctuate less than other kinds of stocks (growth stocks, for example), meaning your portfolio will bounce around less. Plus, they can offer a cash dividend that ensures you’re getting some income while you’re waiting for the market to turn.

Don’t feel experienced enough to pick your own dividend stocks? Buy a dividend stock fund and enjoy the reduced risk that comes with diversification and still enjoy a solid dividend yield. Plus, if you buy while stock prices are lower, you’ll enjoy a higher total yield.

Real estate

Real estate can be an attractive investment during a recession for a few reasons. First, you may be able to buy at a cheaper price than during a strong economy. Then when the economy picks up and consumers are more flush with cash, the value of your real estate may rise.

Second, you may be able to get a much better mortgage rate during a recession, when rates are likely to be much lower than otherwise. You can lock in an attractive mortgage payment for potentially decades, so even if rates rise later, you still have that below-market mortgage rate.

Many investors did exactly this in the last few years, scoring a 30-year mortgage below 3 percent. As inflation rises now and in future years, they’re paying back the mortgage with cheaper dollars, making real estate an attractive inflation hedge.

High-yield savings account

Cash? Yes, cash can be a good investment in the short term, since many recessions often don’t last too long. Cash gives you a lot of options. You can spend it if you need to, for example, if you lose your job during a recession, and it allows you to make an opportunistic investment if the stock market suddenly sells off or you find the perfect house later on.

But there is a downside to holding too much cash. Inflation can eat away at your money, and you likely won’t earn enough interest to overcome it. So, stick your cash in a high-yield online savings account and keep it for strategic purposes.

3 investments to avoid if the market is stung by a recession

If a recession hits, it’s important to focus on making the next right investment decision. And because the market is forward-looking, prices will have probably declined some before it’s clear that the economy is even in a recession. So investments that feel safe – because their price has held up or even risen – may not be especially attractive picks going forward

Bonds

Bonds tend to be safer than stocks overall, but it’s important to remember that there are good times and bad times to buy bonds, and those times are centered around when prevailing interest rates are changing. That’s because a rise in interest rates pushes bond prices lower, while a decline in interest rates pushes bond prices higher. Bonds with long-term maturities will feel the effects of changing interest rates more than short-term bonds will.

As investors start to anticipate a recession, they may flee to the relative safety of bonds. Typically, they’re expecting the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, helping to keep bond prices up. So going into a recession may be an attractive time to purchase bonds if rates haven’t yet fallen.

On the other hand, one of the worst times to buy bonds is when interest rates are poised to rise in the near future. And that situation occurs in a recession and afterward. Investors may feel safe with bonds, especially compared to the volatility in stocks, but as the economy returns to growth, prevailing interest rates will tend to climb and bond prices will fall.

Highly indebted companies

May warns, “Companies with high debt loads that are sensitive to higher interest rates should be avoided.”

The stocks of highly indebted companies usually fall significantly before and during a recession. Investors anticipate the risk presented by the debt on a company’s balance sheet, and mark down the stock price to reflect this risk. If the company suffers a decline in sales, which is typical during a recession, it may not be able to pay the interest on its debt and may have to default.

So recessions can be very hard on indebted companies. But, as Ozanne acknowledges, if the company can survive, it may offer an attractive return. That is, the market may be pricing the company for death and when it doesn’t arrive, the stock can rise high quickly. Still, it’s quite possible that the company does not survive, leaving the remaining investors holding the bag.

High-risk assets such as options

Other high-risk assets such as options are not suitable for recessions. Options are a bet that a stock price will finish above or below a certain price by a certain time. They’re a high-risk, high-reward strategy, but the uncertainty surrounding a recession makes them even riskier.

Not only do you have to correctly predict, or guess, what will happen to a stock price in the future with options, you have to foretell when it will happen, too. And if you’re wrong, you could lose your whole investment or be forced to put up more money than you have.

Keep your emotions in check

Experts routinely point to the importance of keeping your emotions in check during periods of volatility, as often happen during recessions. Making decisions from a place of emotion can derail even the best financial plan, and here’s how experts recommend you deal with it:

• Stick with your long-term plan. “Have a long-term investment strategy or plan and stick with it no matter what the economy is doing,” says Ozanne. He points to the value of having a diversified portfolio, which can help investors weather the market’s turmoil.

• Have an emergency fund. An emergency fund can be especially helpful during the economic uncertainty of a recession. Not only can it help tide you over, but it can also help you stay invested, giving your investments time to rise again. You don’t want to have to touch your investments in the middle of a recession just to pay your bills.

• Stop watching the market. “If the volatility leaves you up at night, avoid watching values on a daily basis,” says May.

• There are more good years than bad. “Historically, there are way more positive years in the investment markets than there are negative years,” says Ozanne. “In a recession, and corresponding negative market environment, it is good to remember that better investment days are probably ahead.”

• Seek out a smart advisor. “Having an unbiased party speak reason, logic, and strategy in an emotionally charged period of time can save investors from making mistakes that could dramatically affect the long-term impact on their investment outcomes,” says Ozanne.

If you’re looking for an advisor who will do right by you, here’s how to choose one.

Bottom line

Investing during a recession can be a fraught experience because the market can be highly volatile and you’ll likely try to avoid short-term losses. But in the process, you may end up hurting your long-term returns. So it’s important to stay focused on your long-term plan and the better days ahead once the market turns back around. Work to keep your emotions from driving your decision-making in whatever way works best for you.

This article was originally published on Bankrate.com.

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