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比特币跌了这么多天,还能入手吗?

比特币跌了这么多天,还能入手吗?

Bobby C. Lee 2021-05-21
这种加密货币的价格最近出现了断崖式下跌,投资者应该考虑逢低买入。

图片来源:GEORGE—GETTY IMAGES

过去几周以来,以太坊(Ethereum)、狗狗币(Dogecoin)和柴犬币(Shiba Inu)等加密货币一直占据着财经新闻。它们的价值迅速上升,甚至成为《周六夜现场》(Saturday Night Live)恶搞的话题。但我想提醒大家关注的是这些新贵的前身,相对呆板甚至有点无聊的加密货币鼻祖——比特币(Bitcoin)。

是的,我说过:比特币很无聊。

但无聊并不是坏事。实际上,从投资者的角度来看,无聊是一件极好的事情。

必须得坦白的是,我持有比特币头寸;我是Ballet的创始人和最大股东,这家公司致力于为加密货币生产硬件钱包;我持有特斯拉(Tesla)的股份,这家电动汽车制造商持有巨额比特币;我是比特币自动提款机运营商Hilt的投资者;我也是三只风险基金(即Ribbit Capital、Blockchain Capital和Sky9 Capital)的投资者。这些基金投资了一些与比特币相关的公司。

在比特币横空出世以来的12年里,它已经发展成为新兴加密货币资产类别中的蓝筹股——比特币不仅是该领域里最安全的投资品,还是最有可能长期存在的投资品。它是迄今为止全球使用最多的数字货币,每天约有50万活跃用户参与至少30万笔交易。而且,它仍然是加密货币资产中最好的价值储存方式,其高达1万亿美元左右的总价值远非其他加密货币所能比拟。没有理由相信,随着时间的推移,它不会继续被越来越多的人使用,并获得价值。

当然,其价格仍然有下行的时候,比如5月19日就暴跌了一次。但是,考虑到我们今天生活的这个世界,比特币提供的价值存储功能不仅是必要的,而且越来越成为全球经济结构的一部分。比特币注定会成为主流,问题只是这一幕在何时出现。有句老话说得好:没有人愿意买已经熟透的水果,所有人都想买差点火候就成熟的水果。

但尽早入手比特币,是需要一些决心和跑腿活的。这再次指向了比特币的巨大上升空间。比特币的总价值已经达到黄金的10%以上。如果它最终能够与世界上最大的资产类别(即房地产和股票)相媲美,它的价值就将是今天的100倍。

经常有人问我为什么要投资比特币,我总是会把最近对一位朋友说的话复述一遍。这位朋友有一个年幼的女儿,他经常为如何攒钱来帮助她未来的生活忧心忡忡。总有一天,她会满18岁。他怎样才可以把钱寄往未来,以确保宝贝女儿在18岁时拥有她可能想要的东西呢?她可能想要一辆轿车?一件舞会礼服?接受高等教育?

事实上,将价值转移到未来,恰恰是每个人存钱和投资的核心原因。而比特币在这方面的能力简直令人惊叹,因为它的发行量有限。考虑到比特币总量是恒定的(2100万枚),其价值增长或者至少保持稳定的前景是非常可观的。

当我在2011年第一次开采比特币的时候,除了创始圈和其他一些技术冒险家,几乎没有人听说过它。两年后,我挥别顺风顺水的职场生涯,买进了一个未知行业的未知企业。我坚信,比特币会改变世界。我不断地增持比特币,因为我相信,其价格(我开始入手时不到10美元)必定会暴涨。我从来不会被它的波动吓破胆。

2020年3月,伴随着新冠疫情诱发的经济崩溃,比特币轰然暴跌。但在我看来,这是一个千载难逢的增持机会,以后可能再也不会出现如此低的价位了。展望未来,当比特币因为恐慌性抛售而再次下跌时,我可能会做出同样的决定——逢低买入。如果比特币的价位能够让我实现每一位比特币持有者想必都渴望的盈利水平(至少是初始投资的100倍),我也愿意卖出获利,而不是像很多人那样每逢上涨就一窝蜂地抢购。

如果你有意投资比特币,务必要铭记这个看起来跟其他传统投资建议颇为相似的忠告:审慎研究投资,并始终保持耐心的人,必将取得丰硕的回报。(财富中文网)

本文作者鲍比•C•李是Ballet公司的创始人及首席执行官。他刚刚出版了新著《比特币的前景:货币的未来,以及如何让它为你效力》(The Promise of Bitcoin: the Future of Money and How It Can Work for You)。

译者:任文科

过去几周以来,以太坊(Ethereum)、狗狗币(Dogecoin)和柴犬币(Shiba Inu)等加密货币一直占据着财经新闻。它们的价值迅速上升,甚至成为《周六夜现场》(Saturday Night Live)恶搞的话题。但我想提醒大家关注的是这些新贵的前身,相对呆板甚至有点无聊的加密货币鼻祖——比特币(Bitcoin)。

是的,我说过:比特币很无聊。

但无聊并不是坏事。实际上,从投资者的角度来看,无聊是一件极好的事情。

必须得坦白的是,我持有比特币头寸;我是Ballet的创始人和最大股东,这家公司致力于为加密货币生产硬件钱包;我持有特斯拉(Tesla)的股份,这家电动汽车制造商持有巨额比特币;我是比特币自动提款机运营商Hilt的投资者;我也是三只风险基金(即Ribbit Capital、Blockchain Capital和Sky9 Capital)的投资者。这些基金投资了一些与比特币相关的公司。

在比特币横空出世以来的12年里,它已经发展成为新兴加密货币资产类别中的蓝筹股——比特币不仅是该领域里最安全的投资品,还是最有可能长期存在的投资品。它是迄今为止全球使用最多的数字货币,每天约有50万活跃用户参与至少30万笔交易。而且,它仍然是加密货币资产中最好的价值储存方式,其高达1万亿美元左右的总价值远非其他加密货币所能比拟。没有理由相信,随着时间的推移,它不会继续被越来越多的人使用,并获得价值。

当然,其价格仍然有下行的时候,比如5月19日就暴跌了一次。但是,考虑到我们今天生活的这个世界,比特币提供的价值存储功能不仅是必要的,而且越来越成为全球经济结构的一部分。比特币注定会成为主流,问题只是这一幕在何时出现。有句老话说得好:没有人愿意买已经熟透的水果,所有人都想买差点火候就成熟的水果。

但尽早入手比特币,是需要一些决心和跑腿活的。这再次指向了比特币的巨大上升空间。比特币的总价值已经达到黄金的10%以上。如果它最终能够与世界上最大的资产类别(即房地产和股票)相媲美,它的价值就将是今天的100倍。

经常有人问我为什么要投资比特币,我总是会把最近对一位朋友说的话复述一遍。这位朋友有一个年幼的女儿,他经常为如何攒钱来帮助她未来的生活忧心忡忡。总有一天,她会满18岁。他怎样才可以把钱寄往未来,以确保宝贝女儿在18岁时拥有她可能想要的东西呢?她可能想要一辆轿车?一件舞会礼服?接受高等教育?

事实上,将价值转移到未来,恰恰是每个人存钱和投资的核心原因。而比特币在这方面的能力简直令人惊叹,因为它的发行量有限。考虑到比特币总量是恒定的(2100万枚),其价值增长或者至少保持稳定的前景是非常可观的。

当我在2011年第一次开采比特币的时候,除了创始圈和其他一些技术冒险家,几乎没有人听说过它。两年后,我挥别顺风顺水的职场生涯,买进了一个未知行业的未知企业。我坚信,比特币会改变世界。我不断地增持比特币,因为我相信,其价格(我开始入手时不到10美元)必定会暴涨。我从来不会被它的波动吓破胆。

2020年3月,伴随着新冠疫情诱发的经济崩溃,比特币轰然暴跌。但在我看来,这是一个千载难逢的增持机会,以后可能再也不会出现如此低的价位了。展望未来,当比特币因为恐慌性抛售而再次下跌时,我可能会做出同样的决定——逢低买入。如果比特币的价位能够让我实现每一位比特币持有者想必都渴望的盈利水平(至少是初始投资的100倍),我也愿意卖出获利,而不是像很多人那样每逢上涨就一窝蜂地抢购。

如果你有意投资比特币,务必要铭记这个看起来跟其他传统投资建议颇为相似的忠告:审慎研究投资,并始终保持耐心的人,必将取得丰硕的回报。(财富中文网)

本文作者鲍比•C•李是Ballet公司的创始人及首席执行官。他刚刚出版了新著《比特币的前景:货币的未来,以及如何让它为你效力》(The Promise of Bitcoin: the Future of Money and How It Can Work for You)。

译者:任文科

For the past few weeks, cryptocurrencies like Ethereum, Dogecoin, and Shiba Inu coin have dominated financial news. They have rapidly risen in value and even made it onto Saturday Night Live. But I want to remind you about these upstarts’ predecessor, the relatively staid and even a little bit boring original cryptocurrency, Bitcoin.

Yes, I said it: Bitcoin is boring.

But boring isn’t bad. In fact, from an investor standpoint, boring is excellent.

(I own a position in Bitcoin. I am the founder and largest shareholder of Ballet, which makes hardware wallets for cryptocurrency. I have a position in Tesla, which has holdings in Bitcoin. I am an investor in Hilt, which operates Bitcoin ATMs. I am also an investor in three venture funds—Ribbit Capital, Blockchain Capital, and Sky9 Capital—that make some investments in Bitcoin-related companies.)

In the 12 years since its creation, Bitcoin has become the blue-chip stock of the emerging cryptocurrency asset class—not merely the safest investment in the space, but the one most likely to be around in the long term. It is by far the most used digital currency worldwide, with about half a million active users engaging in at least 300,000 transactions each day. And it is still the best store of value among crypto assets by a long shot, accounting for roughly $1 trillion. There is no reason to believe it won’t continue to be used by more and more people, and gain in value, as time goes on.

Sure, there are still dips in its price, including a massive one on May 19. But, given the world we live in today, a store of value that Bitcoin provides is not simply necessary, but increasingly part of the fabric of the global economy. It's a matter of when, and not if, Bitcoin becomes mainstream. As the old expression goes, you don’t want to buy the fruit when it's already ripe; you want to buy it just before.

But getting in early takes some commitment and legwork, which, again, points to Bitcoin’s tremendous upside. Bitcoin’s total value has already reached over 10% that of gold. If it eventually comes to rival the largest asset classes in the world—real estate and equities—it will be 100 times its value today.

I’m often asked why I invest in Bitcoin, and I say what I recently told my friend. He has a young daughter, and he was worried about saving for her future. One day, she will turn 18. How can he send money into the future, to make sure his daughter has the things she might want at 18? A car? A prom dress? A college education?

This is the heart of why everyone saves money and makes investments—to transfer value into the future—and Bitcoin is simply amazing at it, because it has a limited issuance. There will only ever be a finite number of Bitcoins created (21 million), so the prospect of its value increasing, or at least holding steady, is tremendous.

When I first mined Bitcoin in 2011, hardly anyone outside the founding circle and some other technology adventurists had even heard of it. Two years later, I left a comfortable corporate track to buy into an unknown business in an unknown industry. I had a strong conviction that Bitcoin would change the world. I continued adding to my Bitcoin because I believed the price—less than $10 when I started—was bound to skyrocket. I refused to be cowed by its volatility.

When Bitcoin dropped in the pandemic-induced economic collapse in March of 2020, I saw the opportunity to buy more at a price that may never reappear. In the future, when there are new drops from panic selling, I’ll likely make the same decision to buy the dip. And when Bitcoin reaches levels at which I will achieve the profitability to which I believe every Bitcoin owner should aspire—at least 100 times the initial investment—then I’ll also be willing to sell and take profit, rather than following the hordes who jump in at every increase.

The big lesson for the would-be Bitcoin investor is this, which looks a lot like any other traditional investing advice: If you study an investment carefully and invest with patience, it can pay off.

Bobby C. Lee is the founder and CEO of Ballet and author of the new book, The Promise of Bitcoin: The Future of Money and How It Can Work for You.

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