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大众受芯片短缺困扰,为何仍上调全年业绩预期?

大众受芯片短缺困扰,为何仍上调全年业绩预期?

Christiaan Hetzner 2021-05-11
大众汽车的首席执行官指出,一旦危机结束,他计划改变集团的供应策略,使其之后不再如此脆弱。

尽管全球半导体芯片短缺对汽车行业造成了严重冲击,但是受到高端汽车业务板块盈利反弹的鼓舞,大众汽车集团(Volkswagen Group)依然乐观地上调了全年业绩预期。

大众汽车第一季度实现了创纪录的净利润,为投资者提供了绝佳的获利回吐机会。本年迄今为止,大众汽车的股价已经出现反弹。

不过该集团提醒称,由于芯片日益短缺,第二季度的营业利润率可能从第一季度的7.7%降至5%。之后,公司的股票表现逊于德国大盘,股价下跌2%。

伯恩斯坦公司(Bernstein)的分析师阿恩特·埃林霍斯特在一份研究报告中指出,“大众汽车实现了预期的稳健经营业绩,但仍然存在一些问题。”中国是大众最大的市场,中国销量占其全球销量的40%,然而其在中国的获利情况正在恶化,与宝马集团(BMW Group)和戴姆勒(Daimler)旗下品牌梅赛德斯-奔驰(Mercedes-Benz)形成了鲜明对比。

宝马和奔驰是大众在德国的两家主要同行,它们的业绩表现十分强劲。两家公司都认为其业绩足以对股市产生影响,因此都在财报日期之前公布了整体数据。戴姆勒也上调了对奔驰的利润率预期。

中国市场困境

埃林霍斯特写道:“这应该会引发关于大众汽车在华处境更为根本性的讨论。”

大众汽车的首席执行官赫伯特·迪斯称赞了长春一汽大众取得的进步,这一成绩由早该发起的SUV攻势推动。随后,他承认了位于上海的上汽大众存在的问题。

迪斯表示,“我们有点担心”,并补充称,上汽也在这季度冲减了多项资产。此外,由于车型组合特定,上汽大众“可能受到集团半导体芯片短缺的冲击最大”。

迪斯认为,在管理层重组(包括新任命销售总监)以及新车型助推新势头的影响下,上汽大众应该会在未来几个季度迎来反弹。

大众汽车报告称,全球芯片短缺导致集团第一季度减产约10万辆,该集团计划在今年下半年至少弥补部分损失。

半导体芯片短缺

为了缓解瓶颈,大众汽车频繁在与英飞凌(Infineon)等芯片制造商,甚至台积电(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.)等代工厂进行谈判,以求绕开传统的供应商选择顺序,从而直接解决问题。

大众汽车的首席执行官指出,一旦危机结束,他计划改变集团的供应策略,使其之后不再如此脆弱。新策略甚至可能需要预留一个月的供应量,尽管以成本增加及资金消耗为代价。

迄今为止,大众纯电动汽车(BEV)车型并未受到芯片行业问题的影响,而此类车型的推出是至关重要的一步。

考虑到即将推出的斯柯达(Skoda)Enyaq以及其它车型已经收到极高的订单量,迪斯预计,第二季度的纯电动汽车销量将超过第一季度的5.99万辆。

迪斯称:“到目前为止,纯电动汽车尚未受到影响,希望我们能够撑过这一整年。”不过他还补充道,他并不可以完全担保。

大众重申了今年销售共计100万辆纯电动汽车和插电式混合动力汽车的目标。这一目标对大众在欧洲遵守碳排放规定至关重要,因为欧洲的政府罚款远比美国或中国的惩罚力度大得多。

到2023年,一旦大众在其它关键市场提高了纯电动汽车产量,集团希望不再向特斯拉(Tesla)等竞争对手购买二氧化碳排放额度。

Stellantis集团在5月5日表示,今年将不再向特斯拉购买欧洲二氧化碳排放额度,以降低成本。Stellantis是一家由标致雪铁龙集团(Group PSA)和菲亚特克莱斯勒汽车公司(Fiat Chrysler Automobiles)合并而来的新汽车制造商。

大众汽车早些时候发布的业绩报告显示,受保时捷(Porsche)持续强劲的经营业绩及奥迪(Audi)业绩飙升的影响,集团第一季度净利润达到创纪录的34亿欧元,实现了六倍增长。

大众汽车当前预计潜在利润率为5.5%至7.0%,较3月的预估值平均高出0.5个百分点,而且明显高于2020年的4.3%。(财富中文网)

译者:郝秀

审校:汪皓

尽管全球半导体芯片短缺对汽车行业造成了严重冲击,但是受到高端汽车业务板块盈利反弹的鼓舞,大众汽车集团(Volkswagen Group)依然乐观地上调了全年业绩预期。

大众汽车第一季度实现了创纪录的净利润,为投资者提供了绝佳的获利回吐机会。本年迄今为止,大众汽车的股价已经出现反弹。

不过该集团提醒称,由于芯片日益短缺,第二季度的营业利润率可能从第一季度的7.7%降至5%。之后,公司的股票表现逊于德国大盘,股价下跌2%。

伯恩斯坦公司(Bernstein)的分析师阿恩特·埃林霍斯特在一份研究报告中指出,“大众汽车实现了预期的稳健经营业绩,但仍然存在一些问题。”中国是大众最大的市场,中国销量占其全球销量的40%,然而其在中国的获利情况正在恶化,与宝马集团(BMW Group)和戴姆勒(Daimler)旗下品牌梅赛德斯-奔驰(Mercedes-Benz)形成了鲜明对比。

宝马和奔驰是大众在德国的两家主要同行,它们的业绩表现十分强劲。两家公司都认为其业绩足以对股市产生影响,因此都在财报日期之前公布了整体数据。戴姆勒也上调了对奔驰的利润率预期。

中国市场困境

埃林霍斯特写道:“这应该会引发关于大众汽车在华处境更为根本性的讨论。”

大众汽车的首席执行官赫伯特·迪斯称赞了长春一汽大众取得的进步,这一成绩由早该发起的SUV攻势推动。随后,他承认了位于上海的上汽大众存在的问题。

迪斯表示,“我们有点担心”,并补充称,上汽也在这季度冲减了多项资产。此外,由于车型组合特定,上汽大众“可能受到集团半导体芯片短缺的冲击最大”。

迪斯认为,在管理层重组(包括新任命销售总监)以及新车型助推新势头的影响下,上汽大众应该会在未来几个季度迎来反弹。

大众汽车报告称,全球芯片短缺导致集团第一季度减产约10万辆,该集团计划在今年下半年至少弥补部分损失。

半导体芯片短缺

为了缓解瓶颈,大众汽车频繁在与英飞凌(Infineon)等芯片制造商,甚至台积电(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.)等代工厂进行谈判,以求绕开传统的供应商选择顺序,从而直接解决问题。

大众汽车的首席执行官指出,一旦危机结束,他计划改变集团的供应策略,使其之后不再如此脆弱。新策略甚至可能需要预留一个月的供应量,尽管以成本增加及资金消耗为代价。

迄今为止,大众纯电动汽车(BEV)车型并未受到芯片行业问题的影响,而此类车型的推出是至关重要的一步。

考虑到即将推出的斯柯达(Skoda)Enyaq以及其它车型已经收到极高的订单量,迪斯预计,第二季度的纯电动汽车销量将超过第一季度的5.99万辆。

迪斯称:“到目前为止,纯电动汽车尚未受到影响,希望我们能够撑过这一整年。”不过他还补充道,他并不可以完全担保。

大众重申了今年销售共计100万辆纯电动汽车和插电式混合动力汽车的目标。这一目标对大众在欧洲遵守碳排放规定至关重要,因为欧洲的政府罚款远比美国或中国的惩罚力度大得多。

到2023年,一旦大众在其它关键市场提高了纯电动汽车产量,集团希望不再向特斯拉(Tesla)等竞争对手购买二氧化碳排放额度。

Stellantis集团在5月5日表示,今年将不再向特斯拉购买欧洲二氧化碳排放额度,以降低成本。Stellantis是一家由标致雪铁龙集团(Group PSA)和菲亚特克莱斯勒汽车公司(Fiat Chrysler Automobiles)合并而来的新汽车制造商。

大众汽车早些时候发布的业绩报告显示,受保时捷(Porsche)持续强劲的经营业绩及奥迪(Audi)业绩飙升的影响,集团第一季度净利润达到创纪录的34亿欧元,实现了六倍增长。

大众汽车当前预计潜在利润率为5.5%至7.0%,较3月的预估值平均高出0.5个百分点,而且明显高于2020年的4.3%。(财富中文网)

译者:郝秀

审校:汪皓

Invigorated by a rebound in earnings at its premium car business, a bullish Volkswagen Group hiked its outlook for the full year even as a global semiconductor shortage wreaks havoc on the industry.

Record first-quarter net profit provided Volkswagen investors the perfect opportunity to take profits on a stock that already enjoyed a rally year to date.

The stock underperformed Germany’s broader market, falling 2% after the carmaker warned its operating margin for the second quarter could dip to 5% from 7.7% in the first, owing to a growing shortfall in chips.

“VW delivered the expected solid operating performance, but there is a hair in the soup,“ Bernstein analyst Arndt Ellinghorst wrote in a research note. Profits in China, Volkswagen’s largest market, accounting for 40% of its global sales volume, were deteriorating in stark contrast to those of BMW Group and Daimler brand Mercedes-Benz.

Results at VW’s two main domestic peers were so strong, both deemed them market-relevant enough to disclose headline figures prior to their reporting dates. Daimler also raised its guidance for Mercedes.

China woes

“This should kick-start a more fundamental discussion concerning VW’s position in China,”wrote Ellinghorst.

Chief executive Herbert Diess praised the progress made at Volkswagen’s Changchun-based joint venture with FAW on the back of its long-overdue SUV offensive, before acknowledging the problems at SAIC-Volkswagen in Shanghai.

“It’s a bit of a concern for us,” Diess said, adding SAIC also booked a number of asset write-downs in the period. Moreover, Volkswagen’s southern Chinese joint venture “was probably most hit by the shortage of semiconductors in the group” owing to its specific model range.

A management reshuffle, including a new sales director, along with fresh momentum from new models should power a rebound at SAIC-Volkswagen over the coming quarters, according to Diess.

Volkswagen reported the global chip shortage cost it roughly 100,000 units of production in the first quarter, a loss the group aims to at least partially recoup in the second half of the year.

Semiconductor scarcity

To alleviate the bottlenecks, Volkswagen is in daily talks with chipmakers such as Infineon and even foundries such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., bypassing the traditional pecking order of suppliers to go straight to the problem.

Once the crisis is over, Volkswagen’s CEO said he aims to change the group’s supply strategy to be less vulnerable going forward. This could entail potentially even building up a one-month supply, despite added costs and the drain on its cash.

The crucial rollout of VW’s battery electric vehicle (BEV) models has thus far been shielded from the problems in the chip industry.

Diess expects a strong ramp-up in BEV volumes for the second quarter over the 59,900 cars sold in the first, citing a strong order book for models like the upcoming Skoda Enyaq.

“So far BEVs are unaffected, and hopefully we get through the whole year,” he said, before adding there were no guarantees.

Volkswagen reaffirmed its goal of selling a combined 1 million BEVs and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles this year. This is critical to be carbon compliant in Europe, where government fines are far more punitive than in the U.S. or China.

By 2023, the company then hopes to avoid paying competitors like Tesla for their regulatory CO2 credits, once VW ramps up BEV production across its other key markets.

On May 5, Stellantis, the new carmaker that emerged from Group PSA’s acquisition of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles, said it aimed to stop paying Tesla for European credits this year to reduce its cost base.

Earlier Volkswagen released results that revealed continued strong performance by Porsche as well as soaring results at its Audi brand that powered record first-quarter net profit for the group, with a sixfold increase to 3.4 billion euros.

Volkswagen now expects an underlying earnings margin of 5.5% to 7.0%, a half a percentage point better on average versus its previous forecast in March and a marked improvement over the 4.3% from 2020.

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