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服务业稳步增长,世界第二大经济体形势企稳

服务业稳步增长,世界第二大经济体形势企稳

财富中文网 2016-11-11
中国正越来越依赖服务业创造就业机会和推动经济增长,而且希望将经济模式从传统的投资和出口依赖转向消费驱动。

一项非官方调查显示,随着新业务量回升,公司增加用工,中国服务业在10月份实现4个月来最快增速。

该项调查结果加上本周早些时候官方公布乐观的工厂和服务业数据,进一步表明,世界第二大经济体正在企稳。

中国正越来越依赖服务业创造就业机会和推动经济增长,而且希望将经济模式从传统的投资和出口依赖转向消费驱动。

经季节性调整后,财新/Markit服务业采购经理人指数(PMI)从9月的52.0上升至10月的52.4,为6月以来最高水平。

该指数高于50表明行业正在扩张。

服务业公司新工作量实现6月以来最快增速,但增速仍然不高。一些公司认为出现改善迹象是因为基本市场条件改善和相关的需求上升。

积压工作量也略有增加,结束了连续四个月的轻微收缩势头。一些公司称,订单的增加正在造成产能压力。

调查涉及的公司连续第二个月增加用工,虽然增幅不大,但增速创1月以来新高。

企业预期比上个月更积极,但仍然略低于8月,当时该预期达到6个月来高点。

所有指标均比上月有所改善,但是服务收费除外,原因是竞争加剧和努力获得新业务削弱了一些公司的定价能力。大多数公司只能将10月份增加的投入成本中的一小部分予以转嫁。

财新综合PMI(包括制造业和服务业)从9月的51.4上升至52.9,创三年多以最快增速。

经济学家们呼吁政府继续给予政策支持,保持增长势头。

财新智库莫尼塔(CEBM Group)宏观研究主管钟正生表示:“四季度经济有望保持稳定,但在经济经济增长的内生动力不足的背景下,政策托底不能放松。”

中国官方服务业调查显示10月份服务业增长强劲,指数增长创2015年12月以来最快增速。

制造业调查也显示,受国内需求改善和建设热潮推动,经济正在企稳。

Markit是IHS Markit有限公司的注册商标,主要调查对象是中小型企业,这些企业面临的财务压力大于大型国有企业。(财富中文网)

翻译:Peter Pei

审校:夏林

China’s services sector grew at the strongest pace in four months in October as new business picked up, encouraging companies to hire more workers, a private survey showed.

The findings, along with upbeat official factory and services readings earlier this week, add to the view that the world’s second-largest economy is on a steadier footing.

Beijing is increasingly counting on the services sector to create jobs and drive growth as it looks to shift its economic model more toward consumption from a traditional reliance on investment and exports.

The Caixin/Markit services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 52.4 in October on a seasonally adjusted basis from 52.0 in September, posting the strongest reading since June.

A reading above the 50-mark suggests expansion in activity on a monthly basis.

Services companies saw the fastest growth in new work since June, though the pace was still modest. Some firms attributed the improvement to better underlying market conditions and an associated upturn in demand.

Backlogs of work also increased slightly, ending a four-month sequence of marginal contractions, as some firms reported the increase in orders was creating capacity pressures.

Companies in the survey added staff for the second month in a row, and at the fastest pace since January, though gains were moderate.

Business expectations were more positive than the previous month, but still slightly below August when they hit a six-month high.

All measures improved from the previous month except prices charged for services, as increased competition and efforts to attract new business have curbed the pricing power of some firms. Most companies were only able to pass along a small part of the increase seen in their input costs in October.

Caixin’s composite PMI covering both the manufacturing and services sectors expanded at the fastest pace in over three years, rising to 52.9 from September’s 51.4.

Economists called for continued government policy support to sustain the momentum.

“It may be possible to sustain this stable condition throughout the fourth quarter, but it’s important that supportive policies are not relaxed because the economy still lacks sufficient growth momentum,” said Zhengsheng Zhong, director of macroeconomic analysis at CEBM Group.

China’s official services survey showed robust growth in October, with the index rising at the fastest pace since December 2015.

Manufacturing surveys also suggested the economy was stabilizing, thanks to improved domestic demand and a construction boom.

The surveys by Markit, which is a registered trade mark of IHS Markit Limited, focus more on small and medium-sized firms, which have been facing greater financial strains than larger, state-owned companies.

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