微软联合创始人比尔·盖茨。图片来源:Kent NISHIMURA / AFP via Getty Images
过去24小时的股市大幅下跌,可能导致全球富豪的净资产缩水数十亿美元。不过,这轮短期震荡并未动摇经济学家的判断:人工智能仍将在未来数年内成为财富增长的核心引擎。
尽管加州等地围绕亿万富翁税的提案引发争议,但微软联合创始人比尔·盖茨认为,在人工智能时代,此类税制改革或许是最佳出路。
当前,人工智能及相关企业创始人的财富迅速攀升,投资此类企业的家族也收获了可观的财富增值。
巨额财富增长的背后,不平等问题随之而来,尤其是在人工智能领域,人们担忧这会进一步加剧当前的K型经济分化。K型经济,指高收入群体与低收入群体的经济境遇和收入前景两极分化。
盖茨近期接受《金融时报》采访时表示,不能依靠富豪的慈善项目来弥合这一差距。政策制定者应推行累进式财富税,富人可从税后收入中自行决定捐赠额度。
“解决不平等问题的主要责任始终在政府,”盖茨说,“慈善属于自愿行为,不应被视为社会兜底的机制。”
作为盖茨基金会的创始人,盖茨去年年初决定将“几乎全部财富”——约1000亿美元——捐赠给该基金会。唯一的条件是,这笔资金须在未来20年内全部拨付。
然而,即便是如此巨额的资金,也远不足以抵消人工智能可能引发的财富失衡。美联储数据显示,美国最富有的1%人群持有全美半数以上股票,这意味着今年乃至未来产生的绝大部分资本收益将流向他们。
“因此,在人工智能时代,税收制度必须进行改革,包括建立对巨富征税、对亿万富翁征税的机制。”盖茨补充道。
“不过,在这套新税制落地之后,对于剩余财富的处置,我看到一批富有远见的人,无论是在美国本土,还是面向全球公益事业,他们年纪轻轻就在思考:‘我应当如何实现影响力的最大化?’以及‘我们应如何与政府的救助机制形成互补?’”
盖茨的另一项提议
不出所料,盖茨关于对超级富豪征税的主张,并未在科技行业创始人群体中形成普遍共识。谷歌联合创始人谢尔盖·布林及前首席执行官埃里克·施密特,已在加州酝酿亿万富翁税之际选择迁往税收政策更为宽松的州。而英伟达创始人黄仁勋等企业家则对提高富豪税负的必要性表示理解。
不过,黄仁勋并不认同盖茨提出的机器人征税提议。盖茨在8月刊发的文章中写道:““当前,企业雇佣员工需为薪资缴纳工薪税;而若购置机器人,通常可直接将其作为经营成本抵扣税款。现行税制实际上是在鼓励企业用机器替代人力。”
因此,盖茨提议对人工智能词元和机器人征税。
黄仁勋并不认同。数日后,黄仁勋在接受福克斯商业频道《克莱曼倒计时》节目采访时表示:“我非常敬重比尔,但我和他看法不同。我看到的是一幅截然不同的图景,因此,我的解决方案也略有不同。”
黄仁勋补充道:“我支持征税。我认为,纳税是所有创造价值者回馈社会与经济的绝佳途径。但事实是,解决这一问题的方式,或许并非只有一种。”(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
过去24小时的股市大幅下跌,可能导致全球富豪的净资产缩水数十亿美元。不过,这轮短期震荡并未动摇经济学家的判断:人工智能仍将在未来数年内成为财富增长的核心引擎。
尽管加州等地围绕亿万富翁税的提案引发争议,但微软联合创始人比尔·盖茨认为,在人工智能时代,此类税制改革或许是最佳出路。
当前,人工智能及相关企业创始人的财富迅速攀升,投资此类企业的家族也收获了可观的财富增值。
巨额财富增长的背后,不平等问题随之而来,尤其是在人工智能领域,人们担忧这会进一步加剧当前的K型经济分化。K型经济,指高收入群体与低收入群体的经济境遇和收入前景两极分化。
盖茨近期接受《金融时报》采访时表示,不能依靠富豪的慈善项目来弥合这一差距。政策制定者应推行累进式财富税,富人可从税后收入中自行决定捐赠额度。
“解决不平等问题的主要责任始终在政府,”盖茨说,“慈善属于自愿行为,不应被视为社会兜底的机制。”
作为盖茨基金会的创始人,盖茨去年年初决定将“几乎全部财富”——约1000亿美元——捐赠给该基金会。唯一的条件是,这笔资金须在未来20年内全部拨付。
然而,即便是如此巨额的资金,也远不足以抵消人工智能可能引发的财富失衡。美联储数据显示,美国最富有的1%人群持有全美半数以上股票,这意味着今年乃至未来产生的绝大部分资本收益将流向他们。
“因此,在人工智能时代,税收制度必须进行改革,包括建立对巨富征税、对亿万富翁征税的机制。”盖茨补充道。
“不过,在这套新税制落地之后,对于剩余财富的处置,我看到一批富有远见的人,无论是在美国本土,还是面向全球公益事业,他们年纪轻轻就在思考:‘我应当如何实现影响力的最大化?’以及‘我们应如何与政府的救助机制形成互补?’”
盖茨的另一项提议
不出所料,盖茨关于对超级富豪征税的主张,并未在科技行业创始人群体中形成普遍共识。谷歌联合创始人谢尔盖·布林及前首席执行官埃里克·施密特,已在加州酝酿亿万富翁税之际选择迁往税收政策更为宽松的州。而英伟达创始人黄仁勋等企业家则对提高富豪税负的必要性表示理解。
不过,黄仁勋并不认同盖茨提出的机器人征税提议。盖茨在8月刊发的文章中写道:““当前,企业雇佣员工需为薪资缴纳工薪税;而若购置机器人,通常可直接将其作为经营成本抵扣税款。现行税制实际上是在鼓励企业用机器替代人力。”
因此,盖茨提议对人工智能词元和机器人征税。
黄仁勋并不认同。数日后,黄仁勋在接受福克斯商业频道《克莱曼倒计时》节目采访时表示:“我非常敬重比尔,但我和他看法不同。我看到的是一幅截然不同的图景,因此,我的解决方案也略有不同。”
黄仁勋补充道:“我支持征税。我认为,纳税是所有创造价值者回馈社会与经济的绝佳途径。但事实是,解决这一问题的方式,或许并非只有一种。”(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
The stock rout of the past 24 hours may have wiped billions from the net worths of the world’s wealthiest people. Still, the hiccup will do little to dissuade economists from believing that artificial intelligence will be a major driver of wealth gains in the coming years.
And while proposals for a billionaire’s tax have proved divisive in states like California, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates suggests a similar policy is likely the best way forward in the age of AI.
Already, the fortunes of individuals who have founded AI or AI-adjacent companies have boomed, and the wealth effects for families invested in those companies promise to be significant.
But with massive wealth gains comes the question of inequality, and particularly in the case of AI, whether it might further exacerbate the current K-shaped economy. The K-shaped economy refers to the divergence between higher and lower earners and their economic prospects.
Philanthropic initiatives from the wealthy cannot be relied upon to address this gap, Gates said in a recent interview with The Financial Times. Rather, policymakers must move to tax wealth progressively, and then individuals can choose to donate accordingly from their earnings.
“The primary responsibility of dealing with inequality will always rest with governments,” Gates said. “We can’t expect philanthropy, which is voluntary in nature, to be the safety net.”
Gates, the founder of the Gates Foundation, decided to give “virtually all my wealth”—about $100 billion—to the organization early last year. The only catch was that it all had to be spent within the next 20 years.
Yet even these sums won’t go far enough to offset the inequality AI is likely to cause. According to Fed data, the top 1% of the wealthiest people in the U.S. own more than 50% of the nation’s stock market, meaning the gains experienced this year—and in the future—disproportionately flow to them.
“So, in a world of AI, there will have to be changes in tax systems, including the ability to tax people with huge wealth, the ability to tax billionaires,” added Gates.
“But whatever’s left over after those new taxes are put in place, I do think we’re seeing a very enlightened group that in both areas, here in the United States and for global good, they’re at a very young age already asking the questions about, ‘OK, what’s the most impact I can have?’ and ‘How do we be complementary to whatever government aid there is?'”
Gates’s other suggestion
Gates’s suggestion to tax the super-rich is—unsurprisingly—not universally popular among his tech-founder peers. Google co-founder Sergey Brin and former CEO Eric Schmidt have both flocked to tax-friendly states amid California’s proposed billionaire tax. Other entrepreneurs, like Nvidia founder Jensen Huang, say they understand why they may need to be taxed more.
But where Huang and Gates disagree is on the latter’s suggestion that robots should be taxed. In an essay shared in August, the entrepreneur and philanthropist wrote: “Right now, if you’re an employer and you hire someone, you pay payroll taxes on their earnings. But if you buy a robot, you can usually write it off right away as a business expense. The tax system nudges you toward replacing people with machines.”
As a result, Gates suggests taxing AI tokens and robots.
Huang disagrees. In an interview with Fox Business’s The Claman Countdown, the chipmaker boss said a few days later: “I love the heck out of Bill … but I don’t see what he sees. I see something very, very different. And so my remedies will be a little different.”
Huang added: “I’m in favor of taxes. And I think that … for anybody who is productive, it’s a great way for us to contribute back to society and the economy. But the fact of the matter is, there are probably lots of different ways to approach this.”