
人们或许再也不用在周五上班,甚至彻底无需工作——这正是亚马逊创始人杰夫·贝佐斯描绘的人工智能未来图景。
Anthropic首席执行官达里奥·阿莫迪(Dario Amodei)、OpenAI首席执行官萨姆·奥尔特曼(Sam Altman)等科技同行一直警示人工智能的潜在风险,贝佐斯的看法则有所不同。他近日表示,在不久的将来,人工智能带来的生产力提升,将使人们更容易维持生计,工作时间也会随之缩短。
贝佐斯上周在接受福克斯新闻采访时表示:“有些人会做出这样的选择:‘我每周工作三天,就能养家糊口。’这就是经济生产力提升的意义。”
他补充道,人工智能时代财富与资源变得充裕,甚至可能引发劳动力短缺。不少家庭将回归单收入模式:只要其中一方不愿外出工作,便可不再上班。
“家庭无需夫妻双方都外出工作。愿意维持双职工家庭当然可以;若不愿如此,其中一方便可退出职场,”贝佐斯说,"未来招聘将变得困难,因为生产力的提升意味着,夫妻双方无需为了生计都外出工作。”
贝佐斯:人工智能对投资者是挑战,但其旗下企业有望受益
贝佐斯虽看好人工智能的长期潜力,但他也坦言,随着这项技术重塑经济,投资者将面临更多不确定性。
当被问及人工智能热潮是否是泡沫时,贝佐斯表示“很难下定论”。他认为,这项技术本身是真实存在的,只是眼下各方急于从中获利,大量资金正涌入一些最终未必能成功的企业。
“我能确定的是,这项技术是真实存在的。我认为这对社会是好事,”贝佐斯继续说道,但同时补充道:“这对投资者而言很棘手。无论构想好坏,各类实验项目都能获得融资。在当下这场混战中,投资者很难分辨哪些想法可行、哪些不可行。”
亚马逊由贝佐斯1995年在自家车库创立,如今已成为重金押注人工智能的大型企业之一。公司计划今年投入逾2000亿美元资本开支,主要用于数据中心建设。与此同时,自去年年底以来,亚马逊已裁撤约3万个企业岗位。这凸显出人工智能有望大幅提升生产力与企业重组过程中劳动者面临的不确定性之间的矛盾。
贝佐斯还将通过旗下太空探索公司蓝色起源(Blue Origin)从人工智能热潮中获益。该公司提出宏大规划,计划在太空建设数据中心,并最终将人类活动拓展至月球乃至更远的太空。据报道,蓝色起源最新一轮融资募资100亿美元,估值达1400亿美元,推动贝佐斯的净资产飙升至3650亿美元。
多位商界领袖均预判AI会缩短工作周,但对缩短幅度看法不一
并非只有贝佐斯认为人工智能将提升生产力、赋予劳动者更多灵活性。但在人工智能究竟能在多大程度上重塑工作周,以及未来工作是否会成为可选项的问题上,商界领袖们依然存在分歧。
英伟达(Nvidia)首席执行官黄仁勋称,人工智能“很可能”会催生每周4天工作制;摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)董事长杰米·戴蒙预测,未来员工每周可能只需工作3.5天。比尔·盖茨的设想更为大胆,认为每周2天工作制也有望成为现实。
但或许没有哪位高管的预测比埃隆·马斯克更宏大。这位SpaceX创始人预测,人工智能和机器人技术将开启“全民高收入”时代,金钱的价值会弱化,人们不必再为谋生工作。
去年年底,马斯克表示:“不到20年,甚至可能只需10到15年,人工智能和机器人技术的进步就将使工作变成可选项。”(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
人们或许再也不用在周五上班,甚至彻底无需工作——这正是亚马逊创始人杰夫·贝佐斯描绘的人工智能未来图景。
Anthropic首席执行官达里奥·阿莫迪(Dario Amodei)、OpenAI首席执行官萨姆·奥尔特曼(Sam Altman)等科技同行一直警示人工智能的潜在风险,贝佐斯的看法则有所不同。他近日表示,在不久的将来,人工智能带来的生产力提升,将使人们更容易维持生计,工作时间也会随之缩短。
贝佐斯上周在接受福克斯新闻采访时表示:“有些人会做出这样的选择:‘我每周工作三天,就能养家糊口。’这就是经济生产力提升的意义。”
他补充道,人工智能时代财富与资源变得充裕,甚至可能引发劳动力短缺。不少家庭将回归单收入模式:只要其中一方不愿外出工作,便可不再上班。
“家庭无需夫妻双方都外出工作。愿意维持双职工家庭当然可以;若不愿如此,其中一方便可退出职场,”贝佐斯说,"未来招聘将变得困难,因为生产力的提升意味着,夫妻双方无需为了生计都外出工作。”
贝佐斯:人工智能对投资者是挑战,但其旗下企业有望受益
贝佐斯虽看好人工智能的长期潜力,但他也坦言,随着这项技术重塑经济,投资者将面临更多不确定性。
当被问及人工智能热潮是否是泡沫时,贝佐斯表示“很难下定论”。他认为,这项技术本身是真实存在的,只是眼下各方急于从中获利,大量资金正涌入一些最终未必能成功的企业。
“我能确定的是,这项技术是真实存在的。我认为这对社会是好事,”贝佐斯继续说道,但同时补充道:“这对投资者而言很棘手。无论构想好坏,各类实验项目都能获得融资。在当下这场混战中,投资者很难分辨哪些想法可行、哪些不可行。”
亚马逊由贝佐斯1995年在自家车库创立,如今已成为重金押注人工智能的大型企业之一。公司计划今年投入逾2000亿美元资本开支,主要用于数据中心建设。与此同时,自去年年底以来,亚马逊已裁撤约3万个企业岗位。这凸显出人工智能有望大幅提升生产力与企业重组过程中劳动者面临的不确定性之间的矛盾。
贝佐斯还将通过旗下太空探索公司蓝色起源(Blue Origin)从人工智能热潮中获益。该公司提出宏大规划,计划在太空建设数据中心,并最终将人类活动拓展至月球乃至更远的太空。据报道,蓝色起源最新一轮融资募资100亿美元,估值达1400亿美元,推动贝佐斯的净资产飙升至3650亿美元。
多位商界领袖均预判AI会缩短工作周,但对缩短幅度看法不一
并非只有贝佐斯认为人工智能将提升生产力、赋予劳动者更多灵活性。但在人工智能究竟能在多大程度上重塑工作周,以及未来工作是否会成为可选项的问题上,商界领袖们依然存在分歧。
英伟达(Nvidia)首席执行官黄仁勋称,人工智能“很可能”会催生每周4天工作制;摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)董事长杰米·戴蒙预测,未来员工每周可能只需工作3.5天。比尔·盖茨的设想更为大胆,认为每周2天工作制也有望成为现实。
但或许没有哪位高管的预测比埃隆·马斯克更宏大。这位SpaceX创始人预测,人工智能和机器人技术将开启“全民高收入”时代,金钱的价值会弱化,人们不必再为谋生工作。
去年年底,马斯克表示:“不到20年,甚至可能只需10到15年,人工智能和机器人技术的进步就将使工作变成可选项。”(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
Say goodbye to working Fridays—or possibly ever working at all. That’s the future that Amazon founder Jeff Bezos predicts AI could bring.
In contrast to his tech peers like Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei and OpenAI leader Sam Altman, who have warned about the technology’s potential risks, Bezos recently revealed that he sees a not-so-distant world in which AI-driven productivity makes it easier for people to support themselves, in turn requiring fewer working hours.
“Some people will decide, ‘I can support my family working three days a week.’ That’s what productivity in the economy means,” Bezos told Fox News this week.
He added that the abundance of wealth and resources in the AI era will even likely cause a labor shortage because many families will revert to single-income households, meaning one member won’t have to work if they don’t want to.
“You’re not going to need to have a two-earner household. If you want it, fine. If you don’t want to have it, one of the people might drop out,” Bezos said. “It’s going to be difficult to hire people, because the productivity in the economy will make it so that [if] people don’t want to work two jobs, they won’t have to.”
Bezos says AI poses a challenge for investors—but his own companies stand to gain
While Bezos is bullish on AI’s long-term potential, he also acknowledged that investors face a more uncertain path as the technology reshapes the economy.
When asked whether the AI boom is a bubble, Bezos said that it was “hard to know.” The technology itself is real, he argued, even if the rush to capitalize on it means money is flowing to businesses that may not ultimately succeed.
“What I do know is the technology is real. I think this is a good thing for society,” Bezos continued, but added that: “It’s tricky for investors. Every experiment gets funded—the good ideas and the bad ideas. In the moment, in the tussle of this, it’s hard for investors to know the difference between the good ideas and the bad ideas.”
Amazon, the company Bezos founded in his garage back in 1995, is one of many major businesses betting heavily on AI. It plans to devote over $200 billion to capital expenditures this year, largely thanks to investments in data centers. At the same time, Amazon has cut about 30,000 corporate roles since late last year, underscoring the tension between AI’s promise of greater productivity and the uncertainty facing workers as companies restructure.
Bezos also stands to benefit from the AI boom through Blue Origin, his space exploration company, which has ambitions to build data centers in space and eventually expand human activity to the Moon and beyond. The company’s latest funding round reportedly raised $10 billion, valuing the firm at $140 billion—helping Bezos’s net worth soar to $365 billion.
From Jamie Dimon to Elon Musk, leaders predict AI will shorten the workweek—but disagree on how much
Bezos isn’t alone in predicting that AI will boost productivity and give workers more flexibility. But business leaders are split on just how dramatically the technology could reshape the workweek—and whether it could eventually make working optional altogether.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has said that AI will “probably” lead to a four-day workweek, while JPMorgan Chase boss Jamie Dimon has predicted employees could eventually work just 3.5 days a week. Bill Gates has gone even further, floating the possibility of a two-day workweek.
But perhaps no executive has made more sweeping predictions than Elon Musk. The SpaceX founder has predicted that AI and robotics could usher in an era of “universal high income,” making money less relevant and freeing people from the need to work.
Late last year, Musk said: “In less than 20 years—but maybe even as little as 10 or 15 years—the advancements in AI and robotics will bring us to the point where working is optional.”