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美国8月新增就业岗位几乎全部来自女性

Eva Roytburg
2026-09-08

相比之下,在新增岗位中,男性仅占4000个。

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8月,美国新增就业岗位中,女性占比达98%。图片来源:Getty Images

8月,是谁主导世界,或者说美国劳动力市场?答案是女性。

美国8月就业报告出人意料:新增就业岗位几乎全部来自女性。

美国劳工统计局数据显示,上月新增16.2万个就业岗位,几乎是多数经济学家预期(约5.5万个)的三倍。在新增岗位中,女性占15.8万个,约占非农净增就业岗位的98%。

相比之下,在新增岗位中,男性仅占4000个。

海军联邦信用合作社(Navy Federal Credit Union)首席经济学家希瑟·朗(Heather Long)提醒,不要过度解读单月性别就业分化数据,称这类数据本身“波动较大”。

朗在接受《财富》杂志采访时表示:“我认为人们过度关注月度变化:新增就业岗位究竟来自男性还是女性。这项数据本身波动很大。”

尽管这份月度数据存在明显的性别失衡,但它仍是美国劳动力市场格局深度转型的又一佐证:今年早些时候,美国女性非农就业总人数历史上第三次超过男性。前两次分别出现在大衰退时期与新冠疫情前夕,而本次转变并非由危机驱动,更多源于结构性变化:医疗保健、酒店服务业等女性从业者占比高的行业持续吸纳劳动力,而制造业这类男性主导的行业则陷入增长停滞。

8月数据凸显了这一分化态势。以休闲酒店业为例,女性新增约6.8万个岗位,而整个行业仅新增6.2万个,这意味着男性在该行业的岗位数量反而减少6000个。其他多个服务行业也呈现相同态势:由于男性岗位数量下降,女性对净增就业的贡献率超过100%。

“医疗行业仍是后疫情时代劳动力市场的核心驱动力,该行业女性从业者占比高。”朗表示,并补充道,女性获得大学学历的人数多于男性,因此在部分专业行业的就业竞争中更占优势。

不过朗认为,8月数据的剧烈波动,原因其实很简单:教师和服务业岗位的季节性变动。

“7月女性就业下滑、8月反弹,几乎完全由教育行业招聘驱动,也就是教师季节性效应,”她说,并指出酒店服务业就业回暖,该行业女性从业者占比高,“但这并不代表女性就业基本面已发生根本性变化。”

事实上,餐饮服务和酒馆行业新增5.9万个岗位,地方政府教育部门新增同样惊人的4.2万个岗位,二者合计占8月全部新增就业的62%。教育行业就业回暖属于夏季季节性回落后的反弹,美国劳工统计局表示,自2025年1月以来,该行业就业净变动极小。

6月、7月就业数据合计上修5.5万。

“8月超预期的就业报告提醒我们,劳动力统计数据如今波动性强。”骏利亨德森(Janus Henderson Investors)投资组合经理布拉德福德·史密斯(Bradford Smith)表示。

失业率维持在4.1%,劳动力参与率小幅上升。工资增长停滞,8月环比上涨0.3%,同比增长3.1%,创下近年最低同比增速。

对市场而言,强劲的就业数据反而构成利空:交易员随即将加息预期计入定价。芝商所美联储观察工具显示,9月加息概率从上周四的49.4%升至52.6%;两年期国债收益率上升7.6个基点至4.41%,十年期国债收益率升至4.792%;股指期货则涨跌不一。市场担忧,劳动力市场持续过热可能加剧通胀上行压力,进而推动美联储于9月加息,以防范通胀偏离2%目标的风险。

摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)财富管理首席经济策略师埃伦·曾特纳(Ellen Zentner)表示:“非农就业数据超预期,或将加剧市场对加息的担忧。”但她补充称,最终决策仍取决于本周的通胀报告。曾特纳表示,如果本周通胀数据低于预期,美联储或可忽略强劲的就业数据,维持联邦基金利率不变;倘若通胀居高不下,8月超预期的就业数据将为政策制定者再提供一项加息依据。(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

8月,是谁主导世界,或者说美国劳动力市场?答案是女性。

美国8月就业报告出人意料:新增就业岗位几乎全部来自女性。

美国劳工统计局数据显示,上月新增16.2万个就业岗位,几乎是多数经济学家预期(约5.5万个)的三倍。在新增岗位中,女性占15.8万个,约占非农净增就业岗位的98%。

相比之下,在新增岗位中,男性仅占4000个。

海军联邦信用合作社(Navy Federal Credit Union)首席经济学家希瑟·朗(Heather Long)提醒,不要过度解读单月性别就业分化数据,称这类数据本身“波动较大”。

朗在接受《财富》杂志采访时表示:“我认为人们过度关注月度变化:新增就业岗位究竟来自男性还是女性。这项数据本身波动很大。”

尽管这份月度数据存在明显的性别失衡,但它仍是美国劳动力市场格局深度转型的又一佐证:今年早些时候,美国女性非农就业总人数历史上第三次超过男性。前两次分别出现在大衰退时期与新冠疫情前夕,而本次转变并非由危机驱动,更多源于结构性变化:医疗保健、酒店服务业等女性从业者占比高的行业持续吸纳劳动力,而制造业这类男性主导的行业则陷入增长停滞。

8月数据凸显了这一分化态势。以休闲酒店业为例,女性新增约6.8万个岗位,而整个行业仅新增6.2万个,这意味着男性在该行业的岗位数量反而减少6000个。其他多个服务行业也呈现相同态势:由于男性岗位数量下降,女性对净增就业的贡献率超过100%。

“医疗行业仍是后疫情时代劳动力市场的核心驱动力,该行业女性从业者占比高。”朗表示,并补充道,女性获得大学学历的人数多于男性,因此在部分专业行业的就业竞争中更占优势。

不过朗认为,8月数据的剧烈波动,原因其实很简单:教师和服务业岗位的季节性变动。

“7月女性就业下滑、8月反弹,几乎完全由教育行业招聘驱动,也就是教师季节性效应,”她说,并指出酒店服务业就业回暖,该行业女性从业者占比高,“但这并不代表女性就业基本面已发生根本性变化。”

事实上,餐饮服务和酒馆行业新增5.9万个岗位,地方政府教育部门新增同样惊人的4.2万个岗位,二者合计占8月全部新增就业的62%。教育行业就业回暖属于夏季季节性回落后的反弹,美国劳工统计局表示,自2025年1月以来,该行业就业净变动极小。

6月、7月就业数据合计上修5.5万。

“8月超预期的就业报告提醒我们,劳动力统计数据如今波动性强。”骏利亨德森(Janus Henderson Investors)投资组合经理布拉德福德·史密斯(Bradford Smith)表示。

失业率维持在4.1%,劳动力参与率小幅上升。工资增长停滞,8月环比上涨0.3%,同比增长3.1%,创下近年最低同比增速。

对市场而言,强劲的就业数据反而构成利空:交易员随即将加息预期计入定价。芝商所美联储观察工具显示,9月加息概率从上周四的49.4%升至52.6%;两年期国债收益率上升7.6个基点至4.41%,十年期国债收益率升至4.792%;股指期货则涨跌不一。市场担忧,劳动力市场持续过热可能加剧通胀上行压力,进而推动美联储于9月加息,以防范通胀偏离2%目标的风险。

摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)财富管理首席经济策略师埃伦·曾特纳(Ellen Zentner)表示:“非农就业数据超预期,或将加剧市场对加息的担忧。”但她补充称,最终决策仍取决于本周的通胀报告。曾特纳表示,如果本周通胀数据低于预期,美联储或可忽略强劲的就业数据,维持联邦基金利率不变;倘若通胀居高不下,8月超预期的就业数据将为政策制定者再提供一项加息依据。(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

Who runs the world—or the U.S. labor market—in August? Girls.

Women accounted for almost every job added to the U.S. economy in August, an extraordinary statistic within a jobs report full of surprises.

The economy added 162,000 jobs last month, nearly triple most economists’ projections of around 55,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Of those gains, women accounted for 158,000 of them, roughly 98% of the net increase in payroll employment.

Men, by comparison, gained only about 4,000 jobs.

Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, cautioned against reading too much into the gender split of one month, calling it “noisy.”

“I think there’s been way too much focus on the month to month—is it men gaining jobs or women?” Long told Fortune. “That moves around a lot.”

Nevertheless, the lopsided month is another data point for a broad transformation in the American workforce: Earlier this year, women overtook men in total payroll employment for the third time in history. Unlike the other two times—the Great Recession and just before the pandemic—the latest shift looks less crisis-driven and more structural: Female-heavy industries such as health care and hospitality continue to add workers even as male-heavy sectors like manufacturing stagnate.

August really emphasized this divergence. Women gained around 68,000 jobs in leisure and hospitality, even as the whole sector added only 62,000, meaning men lost 6,000 jobs in the sector. Several other service industries showed the same pattern, where women accounted for more than 100% of net job growth since male employment fell.

“One of the main drivers of the post-pandemic labor force has once again been health care, where women are highly represented,” said Long. Women also earn more college degrees than men, she added, leaving them relatively well positioned to capture growth in some professional industries.

Still, Long said, much of the dramatic August swing had a simple explanation: teachers and servers.

“The reason that women were down in July and up in August is almost entirely driven by education hiring—the teacher effect,” she said, along with a rebound in hospitality, where women make up a large share of workers. “It’s not like something dramatically changed for women.”

Indeed, food service and drinking places added 59,000 jobs, while local government education added another startling 42,000—together making up 62% of all the jobs created in August. Education was seen as a reversal of a seasonal summer decline, and BLS said employment there has shown very little net change since January 2025.

June and July were revised up by a combined 55,000 jobs.

“A monster jobs report for August reminds us that this labor statistic has become highly volatile,” said Bradford Smith, portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors.

The unemployment rate held at 4.1%, while labor force participation ticked higher. Wage growth stagnated, rising only 0.3% in August and just 3.1% from a year earlier, the slowest annual pace in years.

For markets, good news becomes bad news as traders immediately began pricing in a higher chance of a rate hike. September hike odds rose to 52.6% from 49.4% Thursday, according to CME’s FedWatch tool, while the two-year yield rose 7.6 bps to 4.41% and the 10-year to 4.792%. Stock futures were mixed. The concern is that a strong labor market gives the Fed more reason to nip the bud of inflation above 2%, and raise rates in September.

“An upside surprise in payrolls will likely ramp up concerns about a rate hike,” Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said, though she added that the decision ultimately rests on next week’s inflation report. If inflation comes in cooler than expected next week, Zentner said, the Fed may be comfortable looking through the stronger jobs number and sitting at the current Fed funds rate. If it doesn’t, August’s surprising labor market gave policymakers one more reason to hike.

财富中文网所刊载内容之知识产权为财富媒体知识产权有限公司及/或相关权利人专属所有或持有。未经许可,禁止进行转载、摘编、复制及建立镜像等任何使用。
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