不出所料,美国劳工统计局7月就业报告刚刚发布,“非农就业人数下降”的消息便登上各大媒体头版头条。但透过现象看本质,我们会发现一个极易被忽视的经济复苏信号,那就是临时用工服务正在逆势增长。
事实很清楚。2026年,在劳工统计局追踪分析的300余个行业中,临时用工服务业的新增岗位数位列第二,且今年以来实现逐月正增长,其中7月新增岗位3400个。今年每10个新增就业岗位里,就有1个为临时岗位。
那么,推动临时用工实现复苏的力量是什么?
我在代表第三方人资服务及招聘机构的美国人力派遣协会(American Staffing Association)工作,任首席经济学家一职,一直关注着临时用工服务行业在多年衰退后的复苏进程。我认为,这轮复苏的影响远超人资服务行业本身。它还折射出职场观念的深刻转变,或将重塑劳资双方的合作模式。
合同制就业正成为年轻人进入职场的重要路径。美国劳工统计局(BLS)2023年对非典型用工模式的最新调查显示,24岁以下年轻人从事临时工作的概率是“黄金年龄”劳动者(25—54岁)的4倍,是更年长劳动者的6倍。美国人力派遣协会与民调机构i360的联合调查显示,2025年从事临时工作的劳动者中,有40%年龄在18至29岁之间。
在充满不确定性的就业市场中,这种用工模式对年轻求职者格外具有吸引力,他们可以同时承接多份工作,或在全职岗位之外额外兼职,这种灵活性,正契合他们不愿将经济命脉托付给单一雇主的心理。而这种安排所赋予的自主空间,也击中了新一代劳动者的核心诉求,他们不愿再拿自己的时间与身心健康去赌一个前途未明的长期职业生涯。
不过,临时用工模式并非仅仅得到了年轻劳动者的青睐,而是同时也得到了雇主的认可。在通胀走高、经济风险加剧的背景下,企业纷纷转向项目制用工,借此压缩支出,避免重蹈“大辞职潮”期间过度扩招的覆辙。
这一转变,从人资服务机构的业务量变化中便可见一斑。建筑、交通、专业服务、医疗、政府等多个用工板块,对临时用工的需求不断增加。出现这种局面,并非因为这些行业突然发现了合同用工的优势,而是雇主希望能够灵活调整用工规模,以便适应不断变化的市场环境。
由于雇主与年轻求职者都越来越倾向于选择合同制用工模式,劳资双方的关系正在重塑,自主与灵活成了新导向。为应对成本不断走高、经济波动多变的市场环境,企业宁愿舍弃全职团队的稳定性,来换取灵活调整的空间。而年轻人也不再贪恋传统工作的安稳,而是希望在工作形式与劳动回报上拥有更多自主权。
当然,这种推崇个体自主的趋势,也会给劳动力市场带来风险。当劳动者在职业选择上拥有更大自主权时,企业想要留住人才,就必须打造更好的企业文化、完善人才留存机制。否则,在退休人数增加、移民流入收缩、合格求职者供给本就趋紧的背景下,企业很可能出现知识传承断裂,生产效率也将遭受严重打击。
企业可以灵活调整短期用工规模,意味着劳动者必须对自己的职业发展负起更大责任,从每一次短期任务、每一段工作经历中积累职业资本。与此同时,完备的社会保障体系必不可少,帮助劳动者不同合同制岗位之间平稳过渡。微证书、失业保险以及可转移福利等举措,能够为持续扩容的灵活就业人群托底,降低劳动力市场下行带来的冲击。
临时用工就业情况往往是劳动力市场变动的风向标,其近期回升所传递的信号,远不止需求反弹那么简单。在雇主与年轻一代都将合同制用工视作动荡就业市场中的“另类安全保障”之际,本轮增长才刚刚拉开序幕。
但合同制用工赋予劳资双方的,不仅有灵活性,还有沉甸甸的责任。企业必须以更激进的姿态争抢人才,劳动者则需更用心地将每一份短期任务转化为长期职业生涯的基石。当“永久雇佣”对双方都成了难以兑现的承诺时,适应变化的能力,或许就是未来劳动力市场最有价值的安全保障。(财富中文网)
诺亚・约西夫现任美国人力派遣协会首席经济学家,同时兼任世界就业联盟经济咨询委员会委员。
Fortune.com上评论文章中表达的观点仅代表作者个人观点,并不代表《财富》杂志的观点和立场。
译者:梁宇
审校:夏林
不出所料,美国劳工统计局7月就业报告刚刚发布,“非农就业人数下降”的消息便登上各大媒体头版头条。但透过现象看本质,我们会发现一个极易被忽视的经济复苏信号,那就是临时用工服务正在逆势增长。
事实很清楚。2026年,在劳工统计局追踪分析的300余个行业中,临时用工服务业的新增岗位数位列第二,且今年以来实现逐月正增长,其中7月新增岗位3400个。今年每10个新增就业岗位里,就有1个为临时岗位。
那么,推动临时用工实现复苏的力量是什么?
我在代表第三方人资服务及招聘机构的美国人力派遣协会(American Staffing Association)工作,任首席经济学家一职,一直关注着临时用工服务行业在多年衰退后的复苏进程。我认为,这轮复苏的影响远超人资服务行业本身。它还折射出职场观念的深刻转变,或将重塑劳资双方的合作模式。
合同制就业正成为年轻人进入职场的重要路径。美国劳工统计局(BLS)2023年对非典型用工模式的最新调查显示,24岁以下年轻人从事临时工作的概率是“黄金年龄”劳动者(25—54岁)的4倍,是更年长劳动者的6倍。美国人力派遣协会与民调机构i360的联合调查显示,2025年从事临时工作的劳动者中,有40%年龄在18至29岁之间。
在充满不确定性的就业市场中,这种用工模式对年轻求职者格外具有吸引力,他们可以同时承接多份工作,或在全职岗位之外额外兼职,这种灵活性,正契合他们不愿将经济命脉托付给单一雇主的心理。而这种安排所赋予的自主空间,也击中了新一代劳动者的核心诉求,他们不愿再拿自己的时间与身心健康去赌一个前途未明的长期职业生涯。
不过,临时用工模式并非仅仅得到了年轻劳动者的青睐,而是同时也得到了雇主的认可。在通胀走高、经济风险加剧的背景下,企业纷纷转向项目制用工,借此压缩支出,避免重蹈“大辞职潮”期间过度扩招的覆辙。
这一转变,从人资服务机构的业务量变化中便可见一斑。建筑、交通、专业服务、医疗、政府等多个用工板块,对临时用工的需求不断增加。出现这种局面,并非因为这些行业突然发现了合同用工的优势,而是雇主希望能够灵活调整用工规模,以便适应不断变化的市场环境。
由于雇主与年轻求职者都越来越倾向于选择合同制用工模式,劳资双方的关系正在重塑,自主与灵活成了新导向。为应对成本不断走高、经济波动多变的市场环境,企业宁愿舍弃全职团队的稳定性,来换取灵活调整的空间。而年轻人也不再贪恋传统工作的安稳,而是希望在工作形式与劳动回报上拥有更多自主权。
当然,这种推崇个体自主的趋势,也会给劳动力市场带来风险。当劳动者在职业选择上拥有更大自主权时,企业想要留住人才,就必须打造更好的企业文化、完善人才留存机制。否则,在退休人数增加、移民流入收缩、合格求职者供给本就趋紧的背景下,企业很可能出现知识传承断裂,生产效率也将遭受严重打击。
企业可以灵活调整短期用工规模,意味着劳动者必须对自己的职业发展负起更大责任,从每一次短期任务、每一段工作经历中积累职业资本。与此同时,完备的社会保障体系必不可少,帮助劳动者不同合同制岗位之间平稳过渡。微证书、失业保险以及可转移福利等举措,能够为持续扩容的灵活就业人群托底,降低劳动力市场下行带来的冲击。
临时用工就业情况往往是劳动力市场变动的风向标,其近期回升所传递的信号,远不止需求反弹那么简单。在雇主与年轻一代都将合同制用工视作动荡就业市场中的“另类安全保障”之际,本轮增长才刚刚拉开序幕。
但合同制用工赋予劳资双方的,不仅有灵活性,还有沉甸甸的责任。企业必须以更激进的姿态争抢人才,劳动者则需更用心地将每一份短期任务转化为长期职业生涯的基石。当“永久雇佣”对双方都成了难以兑现的承诺时,适应变化的能力,或许就是未来劳动力市场最有价值的安全保障。(财富中文网)
诺亚・约西夫现任美国人力派遣协会首席经济学家,同时兼任世界就业联盟经济咨询委员会委员。
Fortune.com上评论文章中表达的观点仅代表作者个人观点,并不代表《财富》杂志的观点和立场。
译者:梁宇
审校:夏林
When the July Jobs Report was released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the headlines were understandably dominated by the drop in overall nonfarm payroll employment. Look beyond the headlines, however, and you’ll find an economic comeback story that was easy to miss: the growth of temporary help services.
The facts are clear. Out of more than 300 industries analyzed by BLS, temporary help services has added the second-highest number of jobs in 2026. It’s also shown growth every month this year, including 3,400 jobs in July. One in ten jobs created this year have been temporary positions.
So what’s driving the return of temporary work?
As the chief economist at the American Staffing Association, which represents third-party staffing and recruiting firms, I’ve been closely tracking the return of temporary help services after a multi-year decline. I believe this recovery goes beyond the staffing industry. It coincides with shifting perceptions of work with the potential to change the way employers and employees interact with each other.
Contract employment is becoming a popular avenue for young adults seeking an entry point into the workforce. When the BLS last examined contingent work in 2023, young adults under the age of 24 were four times more likely than prime age workers and six times more likely than older workers to hold contingent jobs. An ASA-i360 survey suggested that 40 percent of temporary workers in 2025 were between the ages of 18 and 29.
This format of work is uniquely appealing to young job seekers in an uncertain labor market. The ability to hold multiple assignments at once, or in addition to a full-time job, aligns with young job seekers’ aversion to relying on one employer for economic security. The autonomy afforded by such arrangements also resonates with a generation of young workers who are less willing to trade their time and well-being for the uncertain promise of a long-term career.
But young workers are not embracing temporary employment by themselves. Their choices are coinciding with employers’ own preferences for such arrangements as well. At a time of rising inflation as well as increased economic uncertainty, employers are turning towards project-based hiring as a way to limit costs and avoid another episode of over-hiring like the Great Reshuffle.
That shift is visible in the business received by staffing companies today. Demand for temporary workers is rising in many segments of the labor market such as construction, transportation, professional services, healthcare and government – not because these industries have suddenly embraced contract work, but because employers are seeking the ability to adjust their workforces as conditions change.
Together, shifting preferences among employers and young job seekers in favor of contract work are reshaping the terms of employment around greater autonomy and adaptability. Employers are willing to trade the stability of a permanent workforce for the flexibility to adjust to volatile market conditions like rising cost pressures as well as economic uncertainty. At the same time, young workers are willing to trade the stability of a traditional career path for flexibility over how they work and what they gain from it.
Naturally, this kind of rugged individualism poses risks to the broader labor market. As workers gain more autonomy over where they build their careers, employers will have to fight for their headcount through investments in culture and retention. Otherwise, they could realize substantial disruptions to their knowledge pipelines and productivity, just as increased retirements as well as lower levels of immigration constrict the number of eligible job-seekers available to them.
As employers exercise their freedom to execute short-term adjustments in headcount, workers will have to assume more accountability for building long-term careers out of each assignment and every experience. They will also require robust safety nets to seamlessly transition between contracts. Initiatives like microcredentialing programs, unemployment insurance, and portable benefits could limit the severity of future labor market downturns by supporting this growing cohort of workers.
Temporary help services employment often stands at the forefront of changes within the broader labor market, and its recent pickup signals more than a mere rebound in demand. It is just beginning to rise at a time when both employers and young adults are increasingly viewing contract work as a new kind of security within an uncertain labor market.
But with the flexibility afforded by contract work comes responsibilities for both sides. Employers will have to compete more aggressively to attract the employees they need, while workers will have to be more deliberate about turning short-term assignments into long-term careers. As permanence becomes harder for either side to promise, the flexibility to adapt might become the most valuable form of security in the labor market of tomorrow.
Noah Yosif serves as Chief Economist at the American Staffing Association (ASA). He is also a member of the Economic Advisory Committee of the World Employment Confederation (WEC).
The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.