旅客们都清楚,天气预报发布雷暴、暴雪或大风预警时,航班大概率会延误。但在晴空万里的炎炎夏日,高温带来的飞行风险征兆并不直观。
然而,极端高温同样会扰乱航班运行与出行计划。气温极高时,空气密度下降,飞机难以安全起飞。航空公司只能通过削减载客量、载货量或是减少燃油装载量,降低整机重量。
这一问题在美国西南部、中东等全球沙漠气候区域的机场十分常见。即便气温尚未达到极值,高海拔或跑道较短的机场也会面临类似挑战。研究人员表示,人为活动引发的气候变化,会让这类航班运行异常变得愈发频繁。
今夏,热浪席卷美国和欧洲多地,拉斯维加斯的航班状况直观展现了极端高温对航空出行的影响。7月24日,哈里·里德国际机场气温飙升至114华氏度(47摄氏度),美国航空公司为自愿放弃座位的旅客提供补偿。
航空公司表示,在炎热地区,为保障安全起飞,根据环境条件调整飞机载重是行业标准操作,背后原理可用物理学解释。
美国联合航空公司(United Airlines)退役机长、Aero Consulting Experts首席执行官罗斯·艾梅尔(Ross Aimer)解释道,热空气比冷空气稀薄,机翼更难产生升力,喷气发动机也难以产生起飞所需的推力。
“这一切背后都有科学依据,”艾梅尔说,“飞行的科学规律无法违背,飞机运行的客观条件也无法回避。”
高温稀薄空气制约飞机性能
艾梅尔将高温对飞机性能的影响类比为运动员在高海拔地区参赛。今年世界杯期间,外国球队赴海拔超2225米(7300英尺)的墨西哥城比赛时,就需要适应高原环境空气稀薄(稀薄空气会加速球员体能消耗)。
“和人类一样,喷气发动机也需足量低温、高密度空气,才能稳定运转。”艾梅尔说道。
达美航空公司(Delta Air Lines)退役机长艾伦·普莱斯(Alan Price)表示,每次起飞前,飞行员与航空公司会测算飞机重量、机场海拔、环境气温等多项核心参数,以此判定飞机是否具备安全起飞条件。
高海拔机场的空气本就更稀薄,因此气温无需升至极值,就会影响飞机起飞性能。以丹佛机场为例,其海拔超过1524米(5000英尺)。
跑道长度同样关键。普莱斯表示,气温飙升时,客机需要更长的滑行距离加速起飞,而短跑道会压缩滑行距离。这也是纽约拉瓜迪亚机场、华盛顿里根国家机场等在极端高温天气下更易面临起飞管控或载重限制的原因之一。
若飞行员起飞前测算判定飞机无法按原计划安全起飞,航空公司可能选择卸下货物、减少燃油装载量并安排中途经停补油、等待气温下降,或是让旅客自愿改签后续航班。
气温一旦突破临界值,减重也无法保障安全起飞。
“到了某个临界点,所有测算数据都会失效,”艾梅尔表示,“无论跑道多长,飞机都无法起飞。”
高温导致的航班延误或将愈发普遍
美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)并未设定统一的最高起飞温度。该局表示,运行限制因飞机型号、载重以及机场海拔而异。
哥伦比亚大学、美国航空航天局戈达德太空研究所与后勤管理研究所2017年联合开展的研究预测:若温室气体排放持续上升,到本世纪中叶,部分机场日间高温时段起飞的航班中,10%至30%可能面临载重限制。该研究覆盖全球19座机场,发现跑道短、海拔高、气候炎热的机场受冲击最为严重。
最新研究显示,依据现有气候预测模型测算,到2065年,欧洲四座机场的出港航班每趟需削减相当于10名乘客体重的载荷。
虽然三位数华氏度气温是沙漠地区的常态,但在凤凰城和拉斯维加斯,干扰航班运行的高温天数正逐年增多。
美联社对气象站点数据的分析显示,自2020年以来,凤凰城天港国际机场年均有43天气温达到至少110华氏度(43摄氏度)。这一数字在数十年间逐步攀升,在21世纪20年代急剧飙升,已达到上世纪中叶年均值的三倍多。
美联社数据分析显示,2020至2025年间,拉斯维加斯哈里·里德国际机场年均约有18天达到这一阈值,是上世纪40年代至60年代年均值的两倍多。
21世纪20年代,南加州棕榈泉国际机场也异常炎热。该机场近十年年均有55天气温达到110华氏度,较21世纪初(当地气象站开始记录数据)增幅达83%。
安全是减载的核心依据
航空公司应对高温起降难题已有多年经验。2016年6月持续高温期间,美国航空公司取消了加州棕榈泉往返凤凰城的多趟支线航班。次年凤凰城气温攀升至120华氏度(49摄氏度),该航空公司取消了亚利桑那州数十趟支线航班。
据丹佛KDVR电视台报道,2018年7月,丹佛国际机场气温升至98华氏度(37摄氏度)时,部分航空公司协调旅客改签后续航班。
2023年7月,拉斯维加斯发布极端高温预警,受高温带来的载重限制约束,达美航空劝导旅客下机改签。旅客在闷热机舱中滞留数小时后,该航班最终被取消。
气候中心数据科学家詹妮弗·布雷迪(Jennifer Brady)表示,机场尤其容易受到城市热岛效应影响——建成区气温显著高于周边地区。
机场几乎没有遮荫植被或绿地,大面积硬质路面持续蓄热,飞机、地面车辆不间断运转,空调系统持续排放废热,"所有因素叠加,机场成为城市内热岛效应最突出的区域之一。”布雷迪说道。
驻康涅狄格州哈特福德记者怀尔德曼报道。(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
旅客们都清楚,天气预报发布雷暴、暴雪或大风预警时,航班大概率会延误。但在晴空万里的炎炎夏日,高温带来的飞行风险征兆并不直观。
然而,极端高温同样会扰乱航班运行与出行计划。气温极高时,空气密度下降,飞机难以安全起飞。航空公司只能通过削减载客量、载货量或是减少燃油装载量,降低整机重量。
这一问题在美国西南部、中东等全球沙漠气候区域的机场十分常见。即便气温尚未达到极值,高海拔或跑道较短的机场也会面临类似挑战。研究人员表示,人为活动引发的气候变化,会让这类航班运行异常变得愈发频繁。
今夏,热浪席卷美国和欧洲多地,拉斯维加斯的航班状况直观展现了极端高温对航空出行的影响。7月24日,哈里·里德国际机场气温飙升至114华氏度(47摄氏度),美国航空公司为自愿放弃座位的旅客提供补偿。
航空公司表示,在炎热地区,为保障安全起飞,根据环境条件调整飞机载重是行业标准操作,背后原理可用物理学解释。
美国联合航空公司(United Airlines)退役机长、Aero Consulting Experts首席执行官罗斯·艾梅尔(Ross Aimer)解释道,热空气比冷空气稀薄,机翼更难产生升力,喷气发动机也难以产生起飞所需的推力。
“这一切背后都有科学依据,”艾梅尔说,“飞行的科学规律无法违背,飞机运行的客观条件也无法回避。”
高温稀薄空气制约飞机性能
艾梅尔将高温对飞机性能的影响类比为运动员在高海拔地区参赛。今年世界杯期间,外国球队赴海拔超2225米(7300英尺)的墨西哥城比赛时,就需要适应高原环境空气稀薄(稀薄空气会加速球员体能消耗)。
“和人类一样,喷气发动机也需足量低温、高密度空气,才能稳定运转。”艾梅尔说道。
达美航空公司(Delta Air Lines)退役机长艾伦·普莱斯(Alan Price)表示,每次起飞前,飞行员与航空公司会测算飞机重量、机场海拔、环境气温等多项核心参数,以此判定飞机是否具备安全起飞条件。
高海拔机场的空气本就更稀薄,因此气温无需升至极值,就会影响飞机起飞性能。以丹佛机场为例,其海拔超过1524米(5000英尺)。
跑道长度同样关键。普莱斯表示,气温飙升时,客机需要更长的滑行距离加速起飞,而短跑道会压缩滑行距离。这也是纽约拉瓜迪亚机场、华盛顿里根国家机场等在极端高温天气下更易面临起飞管控或载重限制的原因之一。
若飞行员起飞前测算判定飞机无法按原计划安全起飞,航空公司可能选择卸下货物、减少燃油装载量并安排中途经停补油、等待气温下降,或是让旅客自愿改签后续航班。
气温一旦突破临界值,减重也无法保障安全起飞。
“到了某个临界点,所有测算数据都会失效,”艾梅尔表示,“无论跑道多长,飞机都无法起飞。”
高温导致的航班延误或将愈发普遍
美国联邦航空管理局(FAA)并未设定统一的最高起飞温度。该局表示,运行限制因飞机型号、载重以及机场海拔而异。
哥伦比亚大学、美国航空航天局戈达德太空研究所与后勤管理研究所2017年联合开展的研究预测:若温室气体排放持续上升,到本世纪中叶,部分机场日间高温时段起飞的航班中,10%至30%可能面临载重限制。该研究覆盖全球19座机场,发现跑道短、海拔高、气候炎热的机场受冲击最为严重。
最新研究显示,依据现有气候预测模型测算,到2065年,欧洲四座机场的出港航班每趟需削减相当于10名乘客体重的载荷。
虽然三位数华氏度气温是沙漠地区的常态,但在凤凰城和拉斯维加斯,干扰航班运行的高温天数正逐年增多。
美联社对气象站点数据的分析显示,自2020年以来,凤凰城天港国际机场年均有43天气温达到至少110华氏度(43摄氏度)。这一数字在数十年间逐步攀升,在21世纪20年代急剧飙升,已达到上世纪中叶年均值的三倍多。
美联社数据分析显示,2020至2025年间,拉斯维加斯哈里·里德国际机场年均约有18天达到这一阈值,是上世纪40年代至60年代年均值的两倍多。
21世纪20年代,南加州棕榈泉国际机场也异常炎热。该机场近十年年均有55天气温达到110华氏度,较21世纪初(当地气象站开始记录数据)增幅达83%。
安全是减载的核心依据
航空公司应对高温起降难题已有多年经验。2016年6月持续高温期间,美国航空公司取消了加州棕榈泉往返凤凰城的多趟支线航班。次年凤凰城气温攀升至120华氏度(49摄氏度),该航空公司取消了亚利桑那州数十趟支线航班。
据丹佛KDVR电视台报道,2018年7月,丹佛国际机场气温升至98华氏度(37摄氏度)时,部分航空公司协调旅客改签后续航班。
2023年7月,拉斯维加斯发布极端高温预警,受高温带来的载重限制约束,达美航空劝导旅客下机改签。旅客在闷热机舱中滞留数小时后,该航班最终被取消。
气候中心数据科学家詹妮弗·布雷迪(Jennifer Brady)表示,机场尤其容易受到城市热岛效应影响——建成区气温显著高于周边地区。
机场几乎没有遮荫植被或绿地,大面积硬质路面持续蓄热,飞机、地面车辆不间断运转,空调系统持续排放废热,"所有因素叠加,机场成为城市内热岛效应最突出的区域之一。”布雷迪说道。
驻康涅狄格州哈特福德记者怀尔德曼报道。(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
Airline passengers know to expect possible flight delays when weather forecasts call for thunderstorms, heavy snow or strong wind. The omens are less obvious on a hot summer day with clear skies.
Yet extreme heat also disrupts flights and travel plans. On the hottest days, thinner air can make it harder for aircraft to get off the ground safely. Airlines may have to lighten the load by removing passengers or cargo, or carrying less fuel.
The snag is well known at airports in desert climates around the world, from the U.S. Southwest to the Middle East. But even less extreme heat can create similar challenges at airports with higher elevations or shorter runways. Researchers say human-caused climate change could make such disruptions more common.
With heat waves searing parts of the United States and Europe this summer, Las Vegas illustrated how extreme heat can interfere with air travel. American Airlines offered compensation to customers who voluntarily gave up their seats on a July 24 flight from Harry Reid International Airport after temperatures reached 114 degrees Fahrenheit (47 degrees Celsius).
The airline described reducing a plane’s weight as a standard industry practice in hot-weather destinations when conditions require it to ensure a safe takeoff. The explanation comes down to physics.
Hot air is thinner than cool air, making it harder for a plane’s wings to generate lift and for jet engines to generate the thrust needed for takeoff, explained Ross Aimer, a retired United Airlines captain and CEO of Aero Consulting Experts.
“There is a science behind all this,” Aimer said. “You can’t deny the science of flight and what it takes for an airplane to operate.”
Airplanes struggle in hot, thin air
Aimer likens the effect of high temperatures on airplane performance to athletes competing at high altitude. During this year’s World Cup, foreign teams competing in Mexico City — located more than 7,300 feet (2,225 meters) above sea level — had to contend with thinner air that can leave players fatigued more quickly.
“Just like human beings, jet engines require lots of cool, dense air to perform well,” Aimer said.
Before every departure, pilots and airlines determine whether an aircraft can safely take off by calculating several key factors, including the airplane’s weight, the airport’s elevation and the outside temperature, said Alan Price, a retired Delta Air Lines captain.
Aircraft at higher elevations are already operating in thinner air, so temperatures don’t have to climb as high to affect takeoff performance. Denver, for example, sits more than 5,000 feet (1,524 meters) above sea level.
Runway length also matters. Airliners need room to build enough speed for takeoff when temperatures soar, and shorter runways leave less distance to do that, Price said. That’s one reason airports such as New York’s LaGuardia and Washington’s Reagan National can be more likely to face takeoff restrictions or weight limits during very hot weather.
If the pilot’s preflight math shows an aircraft cannot safely depart as planned, airlines may choose to reduce cargo, carry less fuel and make a refueling stop later, wait for cooler temperatures or ask passengers to volunteer for a later flight.
But there comes a point when removing weight isn’t enough to make a safe takeoff possible.
“At some point, the numbers just don’t make sense,” Aimer said. “You could roll down a runway as long as you want, and you still can’t take off.”
Delays due to hot weather could become more common
The Federal Aviation Administration does not set a single maximum temperature for takeoff. Instead, the FAA says, operating limits vary based on an aircraft’s make and model, its weight and the airport’s altitude.
A 2017 study by researchers from Columbia University, NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies and the Logistics Management Institute projected that some airports could see weight restrictions on 10% to 30% of flights departing during the hottest part of the day by midcentury if greenhouse gas emissions continued to rise. The study examined 19 airports around the world and found that airports with short runways, high elevations and hotter climates would be affected most.
A more recent study concluded that current climate prediction models indicated planes taking off from four European airports would have to shed the weight equivalent of 10 passengers per flight by 2065.
While triple-digit temperatures come with desert living, the kind of hot days that might affect flights are becoming more frequent in both Phoenix and Las Vegas.
Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport has averaged 43 days each year since 2020 when the temperature reached at least 110 F (43 C), according to an analysis of weather station data by The Associated Press. The number of such days increased gradually over several decades before surging in the 2020s to more than triple the average during the middle of the last century.
At Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas, temperatures reached that threshold an average of about 18 days a year between 2020 and 2025 — more than double the annual average during the 1940s through 1960s, the AP analysis found.
The 2020s have also been exceedingly hot at Palm Springs International Airport. The airport in Southern California has recorded an annual average this decade of 55 days with temperatures reaching 110 F — an 83% increase compared to the 2000s, when the weather station there began recording data.
Safety determines when airlines reduce weight
Airlines have dealt with these issues for years. During a stretch of scorching heat in June 2016, American canceled several round-trip regional flights between Palm Springs, California, and Phoenix. The following year, the airline canceled dozens of regional flights in Arizona as temperatures in Phoenix climbed toward 120 F (49 C).
In July 2018, some airlines bumped passengers at Denver International Airport to later flights as temperatures reached 98 F (37 C), KDVR-TV in Denver reported.
Delta Air Lines also asked for volunteers to step off a plane in Las Vegas during an excessive heat warning in July 2023 because of weight restrictions tied to the extreme temperatures. That flight was ultimately canceled after passengers spent hours aboard the aircraft in the heat.
Airports can be especially vulnerable to the urban heat island effect, which is the phenomenon of built-up areas becoming hotter than their surroundings, said Jennifer Brady, a data scientist with Climate Central.
With little shade or green space, vast expanses of heat-absorbing pavement and constant activity from airplanes, ground vehicles and air conditioning systems that generate waste heat, “all of the elements are there for it being one of the hottest spaces in a city,” Brady said.
Wildeman reported from Hartford, Connecticut.