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大多数美国人的退休储蓄严重不足,巴菲特的投资建议或可破局

Sydney Lake
2026-05-17

财务成功的关键在于做好长远规划,而这一理念在美国远未普及,也尚未被大多数民众真正理解。

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沃伦·巴菲特分享积累财富建议。图片有:Getty Images—Johannes EISELE / AFP

全球最大资产管理公司贝莱德(BlackRock)的首席执行官拉里·芬克长期警示,美国民众普遍面临退休储蓄不足的困境。

他在2025年致股东信中警示称:“几乎没有人”的储蓄接近退休所需水平。这家管理着14万亿美元资产的机构对1000名登记选民开展调研,当受访者被问及安享退休生活所需资金时,他们给出的平均金额约为210万美元。

“这个数字非常惊人。”芬克写道,“远超我的预期。”

民众的实际储蓄额远低于这一水平。贝莱德的调查显示,62%的美国人退休储蓄不足15万美元,仅为他们认为安享退休生活所需金额的7%。

但若美国人当初听从了芬克和传奇投资者沃伦·巴菲特等人的建议,他们本来可以更从容地移居佛罗里达州,在高尔夫球场上享受悠闲时光,安心陪伴孙辈。

巴菲特退休储蓄的核心法则是坚持长期投资,让复利效应(利滚利产生的收益)为投资组合注入增长动力。

“我的财富源自三大要素:生在美国、拥有幸运基因以及复利效应。”巴菲特在2010年的《捐赠誓言》(Giving Pledge)信函中写道。他与比尔·盖茨、梅琳达·弗兰奇·盖茨共同发起这一倡议,鼓励亿万富豪及其他超高净值人士在生前或离世后捐出绝大部分财富。

这位在2025年年底正式卸任的伯克希尔-哈撒韦(Berkshire Hathaway)前首席执行官,经常用滚雪球的类比说明复利如何为投资者创造巨大价值。

在巴菲特的授权自传《滚雪球:巴菲特和他的财富人生》(The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life)中,他说:“人生就像滚雪球,重要的是找到很湿的雪和很长的坡。”

投资并坚守长期策略

没有什么比巴菲特本人的经历,更能够印证复利的力量。这位现年95岁的投资大师,尽管个人净资产接近1500亿美元,却仍然住在内布拉斯加州那套当年仅花3.1万美元买下的房子里。他曾经表示,自己的绝大部分财富都是65岁之后才积累起来的——彼时复利效应开始全面发力。

在巴菲特的财富增长逻辑中,核心是坚持投资可以创造价值的资产,绝不会因为股价短期波动而轻易抛售。

尽管巴菲特坚称自己的策略切实有效,但美国的经济体系并不总能让最应该获得回报的人得到应有的回馈。

“我身处的市场体系,有时会产生扭曲的结果,这在一定程度上放大了我的运气,不过总体而言,这套体系对我们国家大有裨益。”巴菲特在《捐赠誓言》信函中写道,“在这个经济体系里,在战场救人的英雄获得勋章,优秀教师得到家长的感谢信,而发现证券定价错误的人能够赚到数十亿美元。”

“简而言之,好运的分配,向来毫无章法可言。”他补充道。

但财务成功的关键在于做好长远规划,而这一理念在美国远未普及,也尚未被大多数民众真正理解。

美国国家退休保障研究所(National Institute on Retirement Security)今年2月发布的一份报告称:“多数理财顾问都建议劳动者一进入职场就开始为退休储蓄。然而,为退休做准备的现实情况,往往与劳动者的预期或顾问们过于乐观的财务预测相去甚远。”

芬克也长期对美国的退休危机发出警告,其核心论点之一是,随着人们预期寿命不断延长,美国的社保体系终将面临崩溃。

他强调:“随着最年长的X世代开始退休,问题将变得愈发棘手、严峻。他们是第一代主要依赖401(k)退休计划的群体,而千禧一代和Z世代正在延续这一模式。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

沃伦·巴菲特分享积累财富建议。图片有:Getty Images—Johannes EISELE / AFP

全球最大资产管理公司贝莱德(BlackRock)的首席执行官拉里·芬克长期警示,美国民众普遍面临退休储蓄不足的困境。

他在2025年致股东信中警示称:“几乎没有人”的储蓄接近退休所需水平。这家管理着14万亿美元资产的机构对1000名登记选民开展调研,当受访者被问及安享退休生活所需资金时,他们给出的平均金额约为210万美元。

“这个数字非常惊人。”芬克写道,“远超我的预期。”

民众的实际储蓄额远低于这一水平。贝莱德的调查显示,62%的美国人退休储蓄不足15万美元,仅为他们认为安享退休生活所需金额的7%。

但若美国人当初听从了芬克和传奇投资者沃伦·巴菲特等人的建议,他们本来可以更从容地移居佛罗里达州,在高尔夫球场上享受悠闲时光,安心陪伴孙辈。

巴菲特退休储蓄的核心法则是坚持长期投资,让复利效应(利滚利产生的收益)为投资组合注入增长动力。

“我的财富源自三大要素:生在美国、拥有幸运基因以及复利效应。”巴菲特在2010年的《捐赠誓言》(Giving Pledge)信函中写道。他与比尔·盖茨、梅琳达·弗兰奇·盖茨共同发起这一倡议,鼓励亿万富豪及其他超高净值人士在生前或离世后捐出绝大部分财富。

这位在2025年年底正式卸任的伯克希尔-哈撒韦(Berkshire Hathaway)前首席执行官,经常用滚雪球的类比说明复利如何为投资者创造巨大价值。

在巴菲特的授权自传《滚雪球:巴菲特和他的财富人生》(The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life)中,他说:“人生就像滚雪球,重要的是找到很湿的雪和很长的坡。”

投资并坚守长期策略

没有什么比巴菲特本人的经历,更能够印证复利的力量。这位现年95岁的投资大师,尽管个人净资产接近1500亿美元,却仍然住在内布拉斯加州那套当年仅花3.1万美元买下的房子里。他曾经表示,自己的绝大部分财富都是65岁之后才积累起来的——彼时复利效应开始全面发力。

在巴菲特的财富增长逻辑中,核心是坚持投资可以创造价值的资产,绝不会因为股价短期波动而轻易抛售。

尽管巴菲特坚称自己的策略切实有效,但美国的经济体系并不总能让最应该获得回报的人得到应有的回馈。

“我身处的市场体系,有时会产生扭曲的结果,这在一定程度上放大了我的运气,不过总体而言,这套体系对我们国家大有裨益。”巴菲特在《捐赠誓言》信函中写道,“在这个经济体系里,在战场救人的英雄获得勋章,优秀教师得到家长的感谢信,而发现证券定价错误的人能够赚到数十亿美元。”

“简而言之,好运的分配,向来毫无章法可言。”他补充道。

但财务成功的关键在于做好长远规划,而这一理念在美国远未普及,也尚未被大多数民众真正理解。

美国国家退休保障研究所(National Institute on Retirement Security)今年2月发布的一份报告称:“多数理财顾问都建议劳动者一进入职场就开始为退休储蓄。然而,为退休做准备的现实情况,往往与劳动者的预期或顾问们过于乐观的财务预测相去甚远。”

芬克也长期对美国的退休危机发出警告,其核心论点之一是,随着人们预期寿命不断延长,美国的社保体系终将面临崩溃。

他强调:“随着最年长的X世代开始退休,问题将变得愈发棘手、严峻。他们是第一代主要依赖401(k)退休计划的群体,而千禧一代和Z世代正在延续这一模式。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

Larry Fink, CEO of the world’s largest asset management firm, BlackRock, has been on Americans’ case about not saving enough for retirement.

In a 2025 shareholder letter, he warned “almost no one is close” to the amount they need to save for retirement. BlackRock, which has $14 trillion in assets under management, surveyed 1,000 registered voters, asking how much they’d need to retire comfortably, and the average response was roughly $2.1 million.

“That’s a lot,” Fink wrote. “More than I was expecting.”

And it’s far more than Americans have actually saved for retirement. BlackRock’s survey showed 62% of Americans had less than $150,000 saved for retirement—only 7% of what they think they need to retire comfortably.

But if Americans had listened to the likes of Fink and legendary investor Warren Buffett, they could be in better shape to migrate to Florida, hit the links, and enjoy uninterrupted time with their grandkids.

Buffett’s primary rule for saving for retirement is to invest for the long term and allow compound interest (interest earned on interest) power your portfolio.

“My wealth has come from a combination of living in America, some lucky genes, and compound interest,” Buffett wrote in his Giving Pledge letter in 2010. Buffett, along with Bill Gates and Melinda French Gates started the Giving Pledge, encouraging billionaires and other ultra-high-net-worth individuals to give away the vast majority of their wealth during their lifetime or upon their death.

The former Berkshire Hathaway CEO, who retired at the end of 2025, often uses a snowball analogy to illustrate how compound interest does much of the work for investors.

“Life is like a snowball,” Buffett has said, according to his authorized autobiography, The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life. “The important thing is finding wet snow and a really long hill.”

Invest and stay the course

Nothing better showcases the power of compound interest than Buffett himself. The 95-year-old, who still lives in a $31,000 Nebraska home despite having a net worth of nearly $150 billion, says he accumulated most of his wealth after the age of 65, when the power of compound interest kicked into high gear.

In his formula for wealth creation, Buffett stays invested in productive assets and doesn’t sell when stocks appear volatile in the short term.

And while Buffett insists his strategy works, America’s economy doesn’t always reward the people who most deserve it.

“My luck was accentuated by my living in a market system that sometimes produces distorted results, though overall it serves our country well,” Buffett wrote in his Giving Pledge letter. “I’ve worked in an economy that rewards someone who saves the lives of others on a battlefield with a medal, rewards a great teacher with thank-you notes from parents, but rewards those who can detect the mispricing of securities with sums reaching into the billions.”

“In short, fate’s distribution of long straws is wildly capricious,” he added.

But part of financial success is knowing how to plan for the long term, which isn’t widely taught or understood by Americans.

“Most financial advisors recommend workers start saving for retirement as soon as they enter the workforce,” according to a February report by the National Institute on Retirement Security. “However, the reality of preparing for retirement often differs from the expectations of workers or the overly optimistic financial projections of advisors.”

Fink has also long warned about America’s retirement crisis, with one of his other main arguments being the security system will fail because life expectancy is rising.

“The problem will only get harder and nastier as the oldest Gen-Xers start to retire,” Fink argued. “They’re the first generation primarily dependent on 401(k)s. And the 401(k) trend is growing with Millennials and Gen Z.”

财富中文网所刊载内容之知识产权为财富媒体知识产权有限公司及/或相关权利人专属所有或持有。未经许可,禁止进行转载、摘编、复制及建立镜像等任何使用。
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