
随着伊朗能源危机进入第八周,东南亚各国车主们的出行成本压力持续加剧。整个地区燃油价格飙升,泰国、越南和菲律宾的加油站外排起长队,司机们焦急等待着加满油箱。
尽管油价已从数周前的高点有所回落——目前西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)价格徘徊在每桶90美元左右——但仍远高于战前水平。霍尔木兹海峡的封锁,以及中韩等国对成品油实施出口限制,切断了亚洲的汽油供应。
但在整个东南亚,司机们或许已经找到了答案:电动汽车。
今年4月初的曼谷车展上,中国电动车巨头比亚迪(BYD)订单量位居所有车企首位,首次超过丰田(Toyota);在前十大品牌中,有七家来自中国。
新加坡科技设计大学(Singapore University of Technology and Design ,SUTD)研究助理教授庄宗伟表示,能源安全问题正在重塑电动车市场需求。“电动车不仅被视为应对气候变化的解决方案,更被看作降低对进口能源依赖的途径。”
根据美国环境保护署的数据,电动汽车可将约90%的储存能量转化为动力,而传统燃油发动机的能量转化率仅为约25%。这使得在能源紧缺背景下,电动汽车对消费者而言更具吸引力,也更有性价比。
新加坡国立大学(National University of Singapore,NUS)治理与可持续发展中心负责人卢耀群表示:“与气候变化相关的各种宣传相比,能源紧张对加速电动汽车转型的作用要大得多。归根结底,关键在于是否影响到你的钱包,而伊朗战争的影响立竿见影。”
根据基准矿业情报机构(Benchmark Mineral Intelligence)的数据,全球3月电动汽车销量达到175万辆,环比暴涨66%。
亚洲电动车热潮
凭借兼具创新性与价格优势的电动车,中国车企早已在重塑全球汽车产业格局。总部位于华盛顿的战略与国际问题研究中心(Center for Strategic and International Studies)估计,自2009年以来,中国政府已向电动车产业投入超过2,300亿美元,包括基础设施补贴、销售税减免以及研发投入。这也在国内引发了比亚迪、小鹏(Xpeng)和蔚来(Nio)等车企之间的激烈竞争。
新加坡南洋理工大学(Nanyang Technological University)能源研究院联席院长曾少华表示,激烈的竞争“加速了技术创新,降低了电池成本,并压低了整车价格,使电动车更易普及,同时推动了出口增长”。(一辆比亚迪汽车的价格可比特斯拉最高便宜2万美元。)
为了在本土市场生存,中国电动车制造商正加大对驾驶体验的投入,集成辅助驾驶和由大语言模型驱动的车载助手等功能。同时,中国车企也开始将这些功能推向海外市场。本月初,比亚迪与美国软件公司Cerence AI扩大合作,推出基于其平台的车载对话式大语言模型助手。
新加坡国立大学能源研究所高级研究员金贞圆表示:“在同等价格下,亚洲电动车制造商通过提供更多配置来吸引消费者。”
企业正通过与本地大型集团和汽车企业合作,加速进军东南亚市场。《财富》东南亚500强排名第22位的森那美集团(Sime Darby),是比亚迪在马来西亚和新加坡的官方经销商,而阿亚拉集团(Ayala)旗下的ACMobility则负责菲律宾市场的销售。
本土电动车制造商同样受益。越南电动车品牌VinFast去年在本土市场售出超过17.5万辆电动车,是2024年的两倍。能源智库Ember的数据显示,电动车目前已占越南汽车销量的近40%,超过欧盟平均水平。
在新加坡,政府政策正在推动电动车普及。2025年,新加坡延长了对电动车的购车补贴,同时取消了对混合动力汽车的补贴。新加坡还规定,自2030年起,所有新注册汽车均须为清洁能源车型,例如电动、混动或氢能车型,并承诺在2027年前在每个居民区建设一个快速充电枢纽。
尽管东南亚地区对电动车的前景持乐观态度,但东亚部分地区的普及进程相对较慢。金贞圆解释称:“虽然电动车在中国已经成为主流,但日韩消费者对纯电动车仍较为谨慎,更偏爱混合动力车型。”
电动汽车并非万全之策
专家提醒,电动汽车无法彻底解决绿色转型和能源安全问题。南洋理工大学的曾少华表示:“电动车整体的气候效益,取决于所在国家电网的清洁能源占比。否则,排放只是被转移到了上游环节。”(东南亚发电仍高度依赖煤炭等化石燃料。)
新加坡国立大学城市规划专家李圣晓指出,电动汽车在其全生命周期中还存在一些隐性的环境和经济成本。例如,锂离子电池由于存在过热和起火风险,不能简单地填埋处理,电动汽车电池回收也较为困难。
李圣晓表示:“如果考虑全生命周期成本,也就是从购车到报废过程中涉及的所有因素,例如保险和使用年限等,电动车的单位里程成本,最终可能高于燃油车。”(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
随着伊朗能源危机进入第八周,东南亚各国车主们的出行成本压力持续加剧。整个地区燃油价格飙升,泰国、越南和菲律宾的加油站外排起长队,司机们焦急等待着加满油箱。
尽管油价已从数周前的高点有所回落——目前西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)价格徘徊在每桶90美元左右——但仍远高于战前水平。霍尔木兹海峡的封锁,以及中韩等国对成品油实施出口限制,切断了亚洲的汽油供应。
但在整个东南亚,司机们或许已经找到了答案:电动汽车。
今年4月初的曼谷车展上,中国电动车巨头比亚迪(BYD)订单量位居所有车企首位,首次超过丰田(Toyota);在前十大品牌中,有七家来自中国。
新加坡科技设计大学(Singapore University of Technology and Design ,SUTD)研究助理教授庄宗伟表示,能源安全问题正在重塑电动车市场需求。“电动车不仅被视为应对气候变化的解决方案,更被看作降低对进口能源依赖的途径。”
根据美国环境保护署的数据,电动汽车可将约90%的储存能量转化为动力,而传统燃油发动机的能量转化率仅为约25%。这使得在能源紧缺背景下,电动汽车对消费者而言更具吸引力,也更有性价比。
新加坡国立大学(National University of Singapore,NUS)治理与可持续发展中心负责人卢耀群表示:“与气候变化相关的各种宣传相比,能源紧张对加速电动汽车转型的作用要大得多。归根结底,关键在于是否影响到你的钱包,而伊朗战争的影响立竿见影。”
根据基准矿业情报机构(Benchmark Mineral Intelligence)的数据,全球3月电动汽车销量达到175万辆,环比暴涨66%。
亚洲电动车热潮
凭借兼具创新性与价格优势的电动车,中国车企早已在重塑全球汽车产业格局。总部位于华盛顿的战略与国际问题研究中心(Center for Strategic and International Studies)估计,自2009年以来,中国政府已向电动车产业投入超过2,300亿美元,包括基础设施补贴、销售税减免以及研发投入。这也在国内引发了比亚迪、小鹏(Xpeng)和蔚来(Nio)等车企之间的激烈竞争。
新加坡南洋理工大学(Nanyang Technological University)能源研究院联席院长曾少华表示,激烈的竞争“加速了技术创新,降低了电池成本,并压低了整车价格,使电动车更易普及,同时推动了出口增长”。(一辆比亚迪汽车的价格可比特斯拉最高便宜2万美元。)
为了在本土市场生存,中国电动车制造商正加大对驾驶体验的投入,集成辅助驾驶和由大语言模型驱动的车载助手等功能。同时,中国车企也开始将这些功能推向海外市场。本月初,比亚迪与美国软件公司Cerence AI扩大合作,推出基于其平台的车载对话式大语言模型助手。
新加坡国立大学能源研究所高级研究员金贞圆表示:“在同等价格下,亚洲电动车制造商通过提供更多配置来吸引消费者。”
企业正通过与本地大型集团和汽车企业合作,加速进军东南亚市场。《财富》东南亚500强排名第22位的森那美集团(Sime Darby),是比亚迪在马来西亚和新加坡的官方经销商,而阿亚拉集团(Ayala)旗下的ACMobility则负责菲律宾市场的销售。
本土电动车制造商同样受益。越南电动车品牌VinFast去年在本土市场售出超过17.5万辆电动车,是2024年的两倍。能源智库Ember的数据显示,电动车目前已占越南汽车销量的近40%,超过欧盟平均水平。
在新加坡,政府政策正在推动电动车普及。2025年,新加坡延长了对电动车的购车补贴,同时取消了对混合动力汽车的补贴。新加坡还规定,自2030年起,所有新注册汽车均须为清洁能源车型,例如电动、混动或氢能车型,并承诺在2027年前在每个居民区建设一个快速充电枢纽。
尽管东南亚地区对电动车的前景持乐观态度,但东亚部分地区的普及进程相对较慢。金贞圆解释称:“虽然电动车在中国已经成为主流,但日韩消费者对纯电动车仍较为谨慎,更偏爱混合动力车型。”
电动汽车并非万全之策
专家提醒,电动汽车无法彻底解决绿色转型和能源安全问题。南洋理工大学的曾少华表示:“电动车整体的气候效益,取决于所在国家电网的清洁能源占比。否则,排放只是被转移到了上游环节。”(东南亚发电仍高度依赖煤炭等化石燃料。)
新加坡国立大学城市规划专家李圣晓指出,电动汽车在其全生命周期中还存在一些隐性的环境和经济成本。例如,锂离子电池由于存在过热和起火风险,不能简单地填埋处理,电动汽车电池回收也较为困难。
李圣晓表示:“如果考虑全生命周期成本,也就是从购车到报废过程中涉及的所有因素,例如保险和使用年限等,电动车的单位里程成本,最终可能高于燃油车。”(财富中文网)
译者:刘进龙
审校:汪皓
Southeast Asia’s motorists are increasingly feeling the pinch as the Iran energy crisis extends into its eighth week. Fuel prices have soared across the region, and drivers are waiting in long lines outside petrol stations in Thailand, Vietnam, and the Philippines, hoping to fill their tanks.
While oil prices have slipped from their highs just a few weeks ago—West Texas Intermediate crude is currently hovering around $90 per barrel—they are still far above prewar levels. The closed Strait of Hormuz, as well as export bans of refined fuel products from countries like China and South Korea, have cut off petrol supplies in Asia.
But across the region, drivers may have found an answer: electric vehicles.
Chinese EV giant BYD received the most orders of any automaker at the Bangkok Auto Show in early April, beating Toyota for the first time. Among the top 10 brands, seven were Chinese.
Energy security concerns are shaping EV demand, says Samuel Chng, a research assistant professor at the Singapore University of Technology and Design (SUTD). “EVs are increasingly framed not just as a climate solution, but as a way to reduce dependence on imported energy.”
EVs convert roughly 90% of stored energy into movement, according to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Conventional gasoline engines manage to convert around 25% of the energy from fuel into movement. That makes EVs an attractive and affordable option for consumers during periods of energy scarcity.
“The energy crunch is doing much more to accelerate the EV transition than any message on climate change,” said Lawrence Loh, who heads the Center for Governance and Sustainability at the National University of Singapore (NUS). “Ultimately, it’s about what hits your pocket—and the Iran war hits your pocket right away.”
Globally, 1.75 million EVs were sold in March, a 66% jump from the month before, according to Benchmark Mineral Intelligence.
Asia’s EV boom
Chinese automakers were already transforming the global car industry, thanks to their innovative yet affordable electric vehicles. According to estimates by the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies, Beijing has invested over $230 billion into its EV industry since 2009, including into infrastructure subsidies, sales tax exemptions, and R&D. This has sparked fierce domestic competition among manufacturers like BYD, Xpeng, and Nio.
Intense competition has “accelerated innovation, lowered battery costs, and pushed prices down, making EVs more accessible and boosting exports,” said Chan Siew Hwa, the codirector of the Energy Research Institute at Singapore’s Nanyang Technological University. (A BYD car can cost as much as $20,000 less than a Tesla.)
Chinese EV makers are investing in the driver experience to stay afloat in their home market, building in features like assisted driving and LLM-powered assistants. Chinese carmakers are also starting to bring these features to global markets: Earlier this month, BYD extended its partnership with U.S. software firm Cerence AI to roll out an in-car conversational LLM assistant powered by the latter’s platform.
“Asian EV makers appeal to consumers by offering more features at the same price,” said Kim Jeong Won, a senior fellow at NUS’s Energy Studies Institute.
Companies are making inroads into Southeast Asia by partnering with local conglomerates and automotive groups. Sime Darby, No. 22 on the Southeast Asia 500, is BYD’s official distributor in both Malaysia and Singapore, while Ayala subsidiary ACMobility manages sales in the Philippines.
Local EV manufacturers are benefiting as well. VinFast sold just over 175,000 EVs in its home market last year, doubling its 2024 figure. EVs now make up almost 40% of Vietnam’s car sales, overtaking the EU average, according to energy think tank Ember.
In Singapore, government policy is propelling EV adoption. In 2025, the country extended subsidies for EVs, while removing those for hybrid cars. Singapore has also mandated that all new cars registered from 2030 will have to use cleaner energy models, e.g. electric, hybrid, or hydrogen, and promised a fast-charging EV hub in every housing estate by 2027.
Despite EV optimism in Southeast Asia, parts of East Asia have been slower to adopt the technology. “While EVs have already become mainstream in China, consumers in Japan and South Korea have been more cautious about fully electric EVs and prefer hybrid cars,” Kim explains.
Not a panacea
Experts cautioned that EVs won’t fully solve problems around the green transition and energy security. “The overall climate benefit of EVs depends on how clean a country’s electricity grid is,” said Chan of NTU. “Otherwise, emissions are simply shifted upstream.” (Southeast Asia still relies heavily on fossil fuels like coal for power generation.)
Shengxiao (Alex) Li, an urban planning expert from NUS, points out that EVs have hidden environmental and economic costs over their life cycle. For example, their lithium-ion batteries can’t simply be thrown into landfills due to their propensity to overheat and catch fire. It’s also difficult to recycle EV batteries.
“When you think about the life cycle costs—which consider all the factors from the time you purchase a car to when you give it up, such as insurance and longevity—EVs might ultimately cost more per mile than gasoline vehicles,” said Li.