
新年伊始,特朗普总统向美国石油公司开放委内瑞拉市场,又对格陵兰潜在的油气和关键矿产资源念念不忘,美国页岩油生产商却愈发恼火。因为特朗普更重视海外能源,却不关注他们日益下滑的利润。
美国石油产量逼近历史峰值,然而随着油价疲软和钻探活动减弱,特朗普那句“钻油啊,使劲钻!”口号已失去实际意义。特朗普压低汽油价的执念确实奏效,主要因为欧佩克如他所愿提高了产量。但低廉的燃油价格让利润微薄的美国石油生产商陷入困境。
“我觉得大家都有些被轻视了,”一家美国大型石油生产商首席执行官对《财富》表示。为避免遭到特朗普政府的潜在报复,该人士要求匿名。
当前美国原油基准价格略低于每桶60美元。低于这一价格,多数美国石油生产商就难以盈利,也很难启动新钻井。截至1月16日,美国活跃石油钻井数年内已骤降约15%。由于此前钻井作业积累和效率提升,产量达到每日1380万桶的高位,也是油价走低的重要因素。不过,特朗普政府加速能源项目审批,放宽环保监管的举措让从业者略感欣慰。
与此同时,特朗普正敦促美国企业进军委内瑞拉,计划投入逾1,000亿美元重建当地破败的基础设施,提高委内瑞拉重质原油的产量。
“未来半年委内瑞拉赚的钱将超过去20年总和。各大石油公司都将和我们一起进军委内瑞拉,”特朗普1月21日在瑞士达沃斯世界经济论坛上放话。
他还称,在美国“汽油均价很快将跌破每加仑2美元。”本周美国普通无铅汽油均价为每加仑2.76美元,较去年同期下跌32美分。
白宫发言人泰勒・罗杰斯表示:“多亏特朗普总统的能源主导议程,石油和天然气产量创历史新高。特朗普总统与委内瑞拉达成历史性协议,为美国石油企业投资全球最大的石油储备区创造了前所未有的新机遇。”
Raymond James能源主管马歇尔・阿德金斯说,一方面是油价低迷,另一方面特朗普急着在欧佩克以及委内瑞拉在内的各国“按下增产按钮”,都让美国页岩油生产商倍感沮丧。
“特朗普态度很明确,他要压低油价,”阿德金斯说,“这对美国生产商不利。”
得克萨斯州米德兰一家小型石油生产商首席执行官认为,特朗普的石油相关言论令人恼火,把获取原油作为武力推翻委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯・马杜罗的主要理由更是 “可耻”。
“特朗普的说辞很烦人,不过都是空话而已,”这位首席执行官也要求匿名,称委内瑞拉石油产量要提升到能影响价格的水平还需要数年。他表示当前的油价已造成严重伤害。
“非常糟糕,”他说起西德克萨斯州二叠纪盆地(Permian Basin)油气产区现状时说,“从基本面来看,已不支持继续钻井采油。”
委内瑞拉原油梦
阿德金斯表示,或许有些动作快的小公司计划进军委内瑞拉,但特朗普真想推动市场,仍需石油巨头砸下数百亿。而埃克森美孚(Exxon Mobil)首席执行官达伦・伍兹近期已对特朗普直言,委内瑞拉目前“不具备投资价值”。
哪些企业会去委内瑞拉?
雪佛龙(Chevron)肯定会去。凭借特别许可证,雪伏龙是目前唯一在当地开采石油的美国公司。雪佛龙副董事长马克·尼尔森告诉特朗普,两年内可将产量提高50%。但如此也仅能将委内瑞拉石油日产量从近100万桶提高到110多万桶,而该国拥有全球最大探明储量,日产量峰值曾接近400万桶。
油田服务钻井公司也渴望重返委内瑞拉,毕竟只是服务商,不需要投资数千亿美元。
哈利伯顿公司(Halliburton)首席执行官杰夫·米勒在1月21日财报电话会上表示,可根据需要“迅速扩大规模。”
“咨询委内瑞拉业务的电话都快打爆了,”他也坦言,与十年前相比委内瑞拉石油市场已“大幅缩水”。
油田服务公司Intelligent Water Solutions总裁杜安·格尔梅尼斯不会回去,他曾在委内瑞拉断断续续工作过,近20年前石油资产被政府征收。他表示愿意向前往委内瑞拉的美国石油公司出售设备,但不会在当地经营。
“委内瑞拉确实还有大量石油资源待开发,但有何安全保障?”格尔梅尼斯告诉《财富》,“这个国家欠了很多供应商巨额款项,永远也收不回来。”
还有一些私营美国石油生产商如希尔科普(Hilcorp)和阿姆斯特朗油气公司(Armstrong Oil & Gas),其负责人曾向特朗普表示有意投资委内瑞拉市场。不过《财富》多次联系置评均未获得回应。
反倒是欧洲巨头可能成为委内瑞拉核心投资方。白宫一次会议上,壳牌(Shell)首席执行官瓦埃尔・萨万直言,壳牌在委内瑞拉有“价值数十亿美元的投资机会”。
西班牙雷普索尔(Repsol)与意大利埃尼(Eni)已通过合资形式进驻委内瑞拉,为该国大部分电力供应提供天然气。两家企业均表示,若获得美国许可,很乐意扩大原油产量。
雷普索尔首席执行官何塞·乔恩·伊马兹表示,三年内可将目前相对较小的每日4.5万桶产量翻两倍。
“我们也准备好与美国企业合作,借助美国企业的优秀投资者和专业技术加速开发,”埃尼首席执行官克劳迪奥・德斯卡尔齐告诉特朗普。(财富中文网)
译者:梁宇
审校:夏林
新年伊始,特朗普总统向美国石油公司开放委内瑞拉市场,又对格陵兰潜在的油气和关键矿产资源念念不忘,美国页岩油生产商却愈发恼火。因为特朗普更重视海外能源,却不关注他们日益下滑的利润。
美国石油产量逼近历史峰值,然而随着油价疲软和钻探活动减弱,特朗普那句“钻油啊,使劲钻!”口号已失去实际意义。特朗普压低汽油价的执念确实奏效,主要因为欧佩克如他所愿提高了产量。但低廉的燃油价格让利润微薄的美国石油生产商陷入困境。
“我觉得大家都有些被轻视了,”一家美国大型石油生产商首席执行官对《财富》表示。为避免遭到特朗普政府的潜在报复,该人士要求匿名。
当前美国原油基准价格略低于每桶60美元。低于这一价格,多数美国石油生产商就难以盈利,也很难启动新钻井。截至1月16日,美国活跃石油钻井数年内已骤降约15%。由于此前钻井作业积累和效率提升,产量达到每日1380万桶的高位,也是油价走低的重要因素。不过,特朗普政府加速能源项目审批,放宽环保监管的举措让从业者略感欣慰。
与此同时,特朗普正敦促美国企业进军委内瑞拉,计划投入逾1,000亿美元重建当地破败的基础设施,提高委内瑞拉重质原油的产量。
“未来半年委内瑞拉赚的钱将超过去20年总和。各大石油公司都将和我们一起进军委内瑞拉,”特朗普1月21日在瑞士达沃斯世界经济论坛上放话。
他还称,在美国“汽油均价很快将跌破每加仑2美元。”本周美国普通无铅汽油均价为每加仑2.76美元,较去年同期下跌32美分。
白宫发言人泰勒・罗杰斯表示:“多亏特朗普总统的能源主导议程,石油和天然气产量创历史新高。特朗普总统与委内瑞拉达成历史性协议,为美国石油企业投资全球最大的石油储备区创造了前所未有的新机遇。”
Raymond James能源主管马歇尔・阿德金斯说,一方面是油价低迷,另一方面特朗普急着在欧佩克以及委内瑞拉在内的各国“按下增产按钮”,都让美国页岩油生产商倍感沮丧。
“特朗普态度很明确,他要压低油价,”阿德金斯说,“这对美国生产商不利。”
得克萨斯州米德兰一家小型石油生产商首席执行官认为,特朗普的石油相关言论令人恼火,把获取原油作为武力推翻委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯・马杜罗的主要理由更是 “可耻”。
“特朗普的说辞很烦人,不过都是空话而已,”这位首席执行官也要求匿名,称委内瑞拉石油产量要提升到能影响价格的水平还需要数年。他表示当前的油价已造成严重伤害。
“非常糟糕,”他说起西德克萨斯州二叠纪盆地(Permian Basin)油气产区现状时说,“从基本面来看,已不支持继续钻井采油。”
委内瑞拉原油梦
阿德金斯表示,或许有些动作快的小公司计划进军委内瑞拉,但特朗普真想推动市场,仍需石油巨头砸下数百亿。而埃克森美孚(Exxon Mobil)首席执行官达伦・伍兹近期已对特朗普直言,委内瑞拉目前“不具备投资价值”。
哪些企业会去委内瑞拉?
雪佛龙(Chevron)肯定会去。凭借特别许可证,雪伏龙是目前唯一在当地开采石油的美国公司。雪佛龙副董事长马克·尼尔森告诉特朗普,两年内可将产量提高50%。但如此也仅能将委内瑞拉石油日产量从近100万桶提高到110多万桶,而该国拥有全球最大探明储量,日产量峰值曾接近400万桶。
油田服务钻井公司也渴望重返委内瑞拉,毕竟只是服务商,不需要投资数千亿美元。
哈利伯顿公司(Halliburton)首席执行官杰夫·米勒在1月21日财报电话会上表示,可根据需要“迅速扩大规模。”
“咨询委内瑞拉业务的电话都快打爆了,”他也坦言,与十年前相比委内瑞拉石油市场已“大幅缩水”。
油田服务公司Intelligent Water Solutions总裁杜安·格尔梅尼斯不会回去,他曾在委内瑞拉断断续续工作过,近20年前石油资产被政府征收。他表示愿意向前往委内瑞拉的美国石油公司出售设备,但不会在当地经营。
“委内瑞拉确实还有大量石油资源待开发,但有何安全保障?”格尔梅尼斯告诉《财富》,“这个国家欠了很多供应商巨额款项,永远也收不回来。”
还有一些私营美国石油生产商如希尔科普(Hilcorp)和阿姆斯特朗油气公司(Armstrong Oil & Gas),其负责人曾向特朗普表示有意投资委内瑞拉市场。不过《财富》多次联系置评均未获得回应。
反倒是欧洲巨头可能成为委内瑞拉核心投资方。白宫一次会议上,壳牌(Shell)首席执行官瓦埃尔・萨万直言,壳牌在委内瑞拉有“价值数十亿美元的投资机会”。
西班牙雷普索尔(Repsol)与意大利埃尼(Eni)已通过合资形式进驻委内瑞拉,为该国大部分电力供应提供天然气。两家企业均表示,若获得美国许可,很乐意扩大原油产量。
雷普索尔首席执行官何塞·乔恩·伊马兹表示,三年内可将目前相对较小的每日4.5万桶产量翻两倍。
“我们也准备好与美国企业合作,借助美国企业的优秀投资者和专业技术加速开发,”埃尼首席执行官克劳迪奥・德斯卡尔齐告诉特朗普。(财富中文网)
译者:梁宇
审校:夏林
While President Donald Trump began his new year opening Venezuela to U.S. oil companies and pining over Greenland’s potential oil and critical mineral reserves, American shale producers became increasingly miffed over the commander-in-chief’s focus on international energy as opposed to their declining domestic profits.
Although the U.S. is, in fact, churning out barrels of oil near all-time highs, Trump’s “Drill, baby, drill” ethos is ringing hollow amid weaker oil prices and waning drilling activity. The president’s fixation on lower prices at the pump is working in his favor—largely because of higher OPEC output, as he desired. But cheap fuel proves a detriment to U.S. oil producers struggling to turn a profit for their crude.
“I think everyone feels a bit slighted here,” the CEO of one big U.S. oil producer told Fortune, requesting confidentiality to avoid any potential reprisal from the Trump administration.
The U.S. benchmark for crude oil is sitting at just under $60 per barrel, the threshold below which American oil producers struggle to profit and justify new activity. And the number of active oil-drilling rigs has plunged about 15% for the year as of Jan. 16. Despite all that, previous drilling activity and oilfield efficiency gains have pushed domestic oil production near world-leading, all-time highs of 13.8 million barrels a day—a stubbornly high level that’s contributing to lower oil prices. U.S. producers are at least pleased that Trump has expedited green-lighting energy projects and rolled back environmental protections.
At the same time, Trump is urging U.S. companies to move into Venezuela and spend more than $100 billion to rebuild its dilapidated infrastructure and pump more heavy Venezuelan crude oil.
“Venezuela is going to make more money in the next six months than they’’ve made in the last 20 years. Every major oil company is coming in with us,” Trump said Jan. 21 at the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos, Switzerland.
In the U.S., Trump said, “we’ll soon be averaging less than $2 a gallon.” The U.S. average for a gallon of regular unleaded fuel is $2.76 per gallon this week, down 32 cents in a year.
White House spokesperson Taylor Rogers said, “Thanks to President Trump’s energy dominance agenda, oil and gas production is at an all-time high. President Trump’s historic energy deal with Venezuela has unlocked a new, unprecedented opportunity for oil companies to invest in the world’s largest oil reserve.”
Marshall Adkins, head of energy for Raymond James, said U.S. shale producers are frustrated by low oil prices and Trump’s eagerness to “press every button” with OPEC and countries around the world, including in Venezuela, to produce more oil.
“Trump has been unequivocal. He wants lower prices,” Adkins said, “and that’s bad for U.S. producers.”
The CEO of a smaller U.S. oil producer in Midland, Texas, said Trump’s oil rhetoric is frustrating and his emphasis on crude oil as a primary reason for forcibly removing Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro was “disgraceful.”
“[Trump’s] messaging is annoying, but it’s just noise,” the CEO said, asking for confidentiality, arguing that increasing Venezuelan oil production enough to notably impact pricing would take years. Oil pricing is already at harmful levels, he said.
“It’s miserable,” he said of West Texas’s Permian Basin. “The fundamentals are negative to keep drilling for oil.”
Crude Venezuelan dreams
While there may be some smaller, fast-moving companies going into Venezuela, Adkins said, Trump really needs the Big Oil giants to invest many billions of dollars there to move the needle. And Exxon Mobil CEO Darren Woods “hit the nail on the head” when he recently told Trump that Venezuela is currently “uninvestable.”
So, who will go into Venezuela?
Chevron, for one, because the oil giant is the only U.S. company currently pumping out oil there thanks to its special license. Chevron vice chairman Mark Nelson told Trump it could hike its oil flows by 50% in less than two years. But that would equate to raising the country’s overall volumes from almost 1 million barrels of oil daily to more than 1.1 million barrels for a country—with the world’s largest proven oil reserves—that peaked decades ago with an output of nearly 4 million barrels.
And oilfield services drillers also are eager to go back—partly because they’re contractors and not the ones investing many billions of dollars.
Halliburton CEO Jeff Miller said on a Jan. 21 earnings call that he can “scale up very quickly” there as needed.
“My phone is ringing off the hook in terms of interest in Venezuela,” Miller said, calling it a “small market” compared with the industry just a decade ago.
Duane Germenis, president of the Intelligent Water Solutions oilfield services firm, used to work in Venezuela periodically before oil assets were expropriated by the government almost two decades ago, but he won’t go back. He said he’s happy to sell equipment to U.S. oil companies going there, but not to operate there.
“There’s a lot of oil to find, but how safe are you going to be?” Germenis told Fortune. “The country already owes many vendors lots of money that they’ll never see.”
The leaders of some privately held U.S. oil producers, such as Hilcorp and Armstrong Oil & Gas, told Trump they’re eager to invest in Venezuela, but those companies did not respond to repeated requests for comment by Fortune.
Instead of U.S. producers, major European players may prove to be key investors in Venezuela. Shell CEO Wael Sawan said at a White House meeting that the Big Oil giant has a “few billion dollars worth of opportunities to invest.”
Likewise, Spain’s Repsol and Italy’s Eni already operate in Venezuela under a joint venture to produce natural gas for much of the country’s domestic electricity. And they said they’d love to produce more crude oil as well with U.S. permission.
Repsol CEO Josu Jon Imaz said the company could triple its relatively small output of 45,000 barrels of oil daily in three years.
“We are also ready to join with American companies in our assets to develop and go faster with good investors and good know-how from the U.S. companies,” Eni CEO Claudio Descalzi told Trump.