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美国国会预算办公室称,过去五个月美国每周借款500亿美元

Eleanor Pringle
2026-03-19

借款规模扩大必然推高债务利息支出。

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2026年3月9日,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普在佛罗里达州迈阿密市的特朗普多拉尔国家高尔夫俱乐部(Trump National Doral)举行的共和党议员问题会议(Republican Members Issues Conference)上发表讲话。图片来源:SAUL LOEB / AFP - Getty Images

随着美国进入2026财年后半段,美国财政部(U.S. Treasury)的借款规模未见放缓迹象。美国国会预算办公室(Congressional Budget Office)发布报告称,本财年前五个月,美国联邦赤字新增1万亿美元。

美国国会预算办公室3月9日发布了数据更新至2026年2月的月度预算评估报告,报告显示,仅今年2月,美国政府的借款额就高达3080亿美元。

借款规模扩大必然推高债务利息支出。2025年10月(2026财年起始)至2026年2月期间,美国财政部的公共债务净利息支出较上年同期增加310亿美元。因此,短短五个月内,美国财政部累计支付公共债务利息4330亿美元,而美国公共债务总额已经逼近38.9万亿美元。

美国国会预算办公室表示,利息支出上升主要源于两大因素:“一是当前债务规模高于2025财年同期,二是长期利率走高。”该机构同时补充道:“短期利率下行,在一定程度上缓冲了利息支出的整体涨幅。”

尽管支出数额惊人,但今年的赤字规模较上年同期实际有所改善。同期(2024年10月至2025年2月),美国政府的借款规模比今年同期高出1420亿美元。

然而,这种改善对敦促美国整顿财政的预算鹰派而言,几乎起不到任何安抚作用。美国负责任联邦预算委员会(Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget)的主席玛雅·麦吉尼亚斯指出,今年美国债务利息支出预计将突破1万亿美元,到2036年更将超过2万亿美元。

“这种局面难以为继。”麦吉尼亚斯说,“我们的财政问题不会自行解决。政策制定者必须携手合作,就削减赤字达成共识——设定财政赤字占GDP比重降至3%的目标,以此为良好开端,推动国债占经济总量的比重步入可持续的下行轨道。”

经济学家们未必担忧债务总规模(事实上,政府债务是全球市场不可或缺的基石),真正令人担忧的是债务与GDP之比——这一指标衡量的是国家借款规模与经济增长的匹配度。一旦该比例严重失衡,巨额的利息支付需求就会拖累经济增长。

尽管将年度赤字占GDP比重控制在3%的目标,与债务比率概念不同,但该目标仍将政府借贷与经济产出挂钩。近年来,赤字占GDP的比重始终维持在5%至6%之间。

政府资产负债表

2026财年前五个月,美国赤字状况较2025财年有所改善,但这并非源于支出削减,而是源于政府财政收入增加,抵消了更高支出。

关税等海关税收收入较去年同期增长逾四倍,增收1090亿美元。尽管2月20日美国最高法院(U.S. Supreme Court)作出裁决后,2025年征收的部分关税需退还美国进口商,但白宫随后宣布的关税政策,意味着由此带来的财政收入缺口相对有限。

与此同时,个人所得税与工资薪金(社会保险)税的增长进一步充实了国库,两项税收合计增收1320亿美元。

但财政支出也出现了大幅增长:本财年前五个月,政府支出总额达3.1万亿美元,较上年同期增加640亿美元。其中最为突出的是,社会保障(Social Security)、联邦医疗保险(Medicare)、联邦医疗补助(Medicaid)这三大支出项目的支出合计增加1040亿美元。

美国国防部(Department of Defense)与美国退伍军人事务部(Department of Veterans Affairs)的支出同样有所上升,而美国农业部(Department of Agriculture)、美国国土安全部(Department of Homeland Security)与美国教育部(Department of Education)则削减了支出。美国环境保护署(Environmental Protection Agency)的支出也减少了200亿美元,原因是该机构在2024年11月和12月,依据2022年预算协调法案设立的清洁能源补助计划,支出200亿美元。(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

随着美国进入2026财年后半段,美国财政部(U.S. Treasury)的借款规模未见放缓迹象。美国国会预算办公室(Congressional Budget Office)发布报告称,本财年前五个月,美国联邦赤字新增1万亿美元。

美国国会预算办公室3月9日发布了数据更新至2026年2月的月度预算评估报告,报告显示,仅今年2月,美国政府的借款额就高达3080亿美元。

借款规模扩大必然推高债务利息支出。2025年10月(2026财年起始)至2026年2月期间,美国财政部的公共债务净利息支出较上年同期增加310亿美元。因此,短短五个月内,美国财政部累计支付公共债务利息4330亿美元,而美国公共债务总额已经逼近38.9万亿美元。

美国国会预算办公室表示,利息支出上升主要源于两大因素:“一是当前债务规模高于2025财年同期,二是长期利率走高。”该机构同时补充道:“短期利率下行,在一定程度上缓冲了利息支出的整体涨幅。”

尽管支出数额惊人,但今年的赤字规模较上年同期实际有所改善。同期(2024年10月至2025年2月),美国政府的借款规模比今年同期高出1420亿美元。

然而,这种改善对敦促美国整顿财政的预算鹰派而言,几乎起不到任何安抚作用。美国负责任联邦预算委员会(Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget)的主席玛雅·麦吉尼亚斯指出,今年美国债务利息支出预计将突破1万亿美元,到2036年更将超过2万亿美元。

“这种局面难以为继。”麦吉尼亚斯说,“我们的财政问题不会自行解决。政策制定者必须携手合作,就削减赤字达成共识——设定财政赤字占GDP比重降至3%的目标,以此为良好开端,推动国债占经济总量的比重步入可持续的下行轨道。”

经济学家们未必担忧债务总规模(事实上,政府债务是全球市场不可或缺的基石),真正令人担忧的是债务与GDP之比——这一指标衡量的是国家借款规模与经济增长的匹配度。一旦该比例严重失衡,巨额的利息支付需求就会拖累经济增长。

尽管将年度赤字占GDP比重控制在3%的目标,与债务比率概念不同,但该目标仍将政府借贷与经济产出挂钩。近年来,赤字占GDP的比重始终维持在5%至6%之间。

政府资产负债表

2026财年前五个月,美国赤字状况较2025财年有所改善,但这并非源于支出削减,而是源于政府财政收入增加,抵消了更高支出。

关税等海关税收收入较去年同期增长逾四倍,增收1090亿美元。尽管2月20日美国最高法院(U.S. Supreme Court)作出裁决后,2025年征收的部分关税需退还美国进口商,但白宫随后宣布的关税政策,意味着由此带来的财政收入缺口相对有限。

与此同时,个人所得税与工资薪金(社会保险)税的增长进一步充实了国库,两项税收合计增收1320亿美元。

但财政支出也出现了大幅增长:本财年前五个月,政府支出总额达3.1万亿美元,较上年同期增加640亿美元。其中最为突出的是,社会保障(Social Security)、联邦医疗保险(Medicare)、联邦医疗补助(Medicaid)这三大支出项目的支出合计增加1040亿美元。

美国国防部(Department of Defense)与美国退伍军人事务部(Department of Veterans Affairs)的支出同样有所上升,而美国农业部(Department of Agriculture)、美国国土安全部(Department of Homeland Security)与美国教育部(Department of Education)则削减了支出。美国环境保护署(Environmental Protection Agency)的支出也减少了200亿美元,原因是该机构在2024年11月和12月,依据2022年预算协调法案设立的清洁能源补助计划,支出200亿美元。(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

The U.S. Treasury’s borrowing showed no signs of slowing as the U.S. headed deeper into fiscal year 2026, with the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) reporting that another $1 trillion was added to the federal deficit in the first five months of the year.

The monthly budget review from the CBO, updated to February 2026 and released on March 9, showed that the government is estimated to have borrowed $308 billion last month alone.

Of course, with more borrowing comes higher interest costs on the debt. Between October 2025 (when the 2026 fiscal year started) and February, the Treasury spent an additional $31 billion on net interest on public debt, compared to the prior year. As a result, in just five months, the Treasury forked out a total of $433 billion to service public debt, which is now nearing $38.9 trillion.

The CBO said that outlays for interest increased “because the debt was larger than it was in the first five months of fiscal year 2025 and because of higher long-term interest rates.” It added: “Declines in short-term interest rates partially mitigated the overall rise in interest payments.”

Despite the eye-watering sums, the deficit was actually an improvement on last year’s borrowing. For the same period (October 2024 to February 2025), the government needed to borrow an additional $142 billion compared to this year’s figure.

However, the improvement will do little to reassure budget hawks pushing for the U.S. to get its fiscal house in better order. Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), said that interest payments on the debt are expected to exceed $1 trillion this year, and will surpass $2 trillion by 2036.

“This cannot be sustainable,” MacGuineas said. “Our fiscal problems will not solve themselves. We need policymakers to come together, agree to reduce deficits—a 3% deficit-to-GDP target would be a great start—and put our national debt on a downward sustainable path as a share of the economy.”

Economists aren’t necessarily worried by the total level of debt (in fact, government debt is a necessary foundation of global markets). Rather it’s the debt-to-GDP ratio, which measures a nation’s borrowing against its growth. If this tips too far out of balance, growth can be hampered by the excessive amount of cash needed for interest payments.

While the call for an annual 3% deficit-to-GDP target differs from the debt-to-GDP ratio, it still ties government borrowing to the economy’s output. In recent years, the deficit-to-GDP figure has sat between 5% and 6%.

The government’s balance sheet

Looking at the first five months of FY26, the deficit picture didn’t improve from FY25 because of a reduction in spending. Rather, the government generated greater revenues to offset its higher spending.

Collections of customs duties—such as revenues from tariffs—were more than four times the amount recorded in the first five months of last year, an increase of $109 billion. While some of the duties collected in 2025 will have to be returned to U.S. importers following a U.S. Supreme Court ruling on February 20, subsequent tariffs announced by the Oval Office mean the shortfall in revenues is relatively subdued.

Likewise, the coffers were further topped up by increases from individual income and payroll (social insurance) taxes, which together increased by $132 billion.

But outlays also grew significantly: In the first five months of the year, spending reached $3.1 trillion, $64 billion more than during the same period last year. Most notably, outlays for the three largest spending programs (social security, Medicare and Medicaid) rose by $104 billion.

The Department of Defense and Department of Veterans Affairs also saw upticks in spending, while the Department of Agriculture, Department of Homeland Security and Department of Education reduced outlays. The Environmental Protection Agency also reported decreased outlays of $20 billion, given the fact that in November and December 2024 the agency spent $20 billion under a clean energy grant program established by the 2022 reconciliation act.

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