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彼得·蒂尔警告:人工智能对这类岗位的威胁更大

Jake Angelo
2026-03-04

领英近期发布的一份报告显示,沟通能力、领导力及人员管理能力已经成为当今劳动力市场最抢手的技能。

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彼得·蒂尔,PayPal与Palantir Technologies联合创始人。图片来源:Marco Bello—Getty Images

2010年代,编程成为就业市场上最炙手可热的技能之一,热潮迅速席卷全美,家长们纷纷敦促孩子放弃英语专业,转而攻读科学、技术、工程和数学(以下简称STEM)学位。就连美国前总统贝拉克·奥巴马也呼吁人们学习编程,他更是成为首位参与“编程一小时”(Hour of Code)活动[这项线上活动旨在推广计算机科学教育周(Computer Science Education Week)]的总统,还亲自编写了一行代码。

然而这一现象的另一面,是英语与文科专业遭到质疑,有人戏称这些专业是“咖啡师学位”,认为攻读这类专业的人职业发展空间有限,最终只能在咖啡店打工。

但人工智能的崛起,正在颠覆这些固有认知。至少Palantir联合创始人、亿万富翁彼得·蒂尔是这么认为的。在一段2024年录制、近期重新走红的采访视频中,蒂尔在与经济学家泰勒·考恩对话时表示,STEM领域从业者的就业红利正在消退。

他说:“比起文字工作者,学数学的人的处境要糟糕得多。”

故事讲述者在就业市场炙手可热

这位亿万富翁的观点反映了当下劳动力市场的新趋势。领英(LinkedIn)2月早些时候发布的《2026年领英技能趋势:美国增长最快的技能》(LinkedIn Skills on the Rise 2026: The Fastest-Growing Skills in the U.S.)报告显示,沟通能力和创造性思维的需求正在持续攀升。该报告称,沟通能力、领导力及人员管理能力已经成为当今劳动力市场最抢手的技能。

领英的一位发言人告诉《财富》杂志:“企业越来越青睐沟通能力强的人才,因为出色的写作能力、清晰的表达能力和判断力依然至关重要。”他们指出,如今“讲故事”已经成为一项尤为抢手的技能。“在过去一年里,领英上提及‘讲故事者’的招聘启事数量翻倍。”事实上,部分企业为招募故事讲述者和高级公关专家开出的年薪甚至超过100万美元。例如,Anthropic公司正在招聘一名公关主管,起薪为40万美元;而Netflix为高级公关总监开出的薪酬范围在65.6万美元至120万美元之间。

当然,这份报告并不意味着你可以直接撕掉STEM学位证书。领英还发现,当下市场同样有不少热门技术技能,包括人工智能提示工程和数据标注。不过,这些技能与STEM学位的核心内容有所不同,因为它们侧重于训练人工智能,而非构建人工智能。尽管部分人工智能提示工程师的岗位要求应聘者具备编程语言知识(包括Python和JavaScript)以及大型语言模型相关背景,但这些招聘启事也强调,应聘者需要具备出色的语言能力和创造力,以优化人工智能的输出结果。据求职平台Glassdoor的数据,该岗位的平均年薪为12.8万美元。

随着人工智能技术的不断发展,许多领导者和人工智能专家预测,人工智能将彻底重塑就业市场,同时也将颠覆职场中最被看重的能力。在此背景下,数学及其他STEM领域的部分技能可能面临淘汰风险。

Anthropic公司Claude Code的开发者鲍里斯·切尔尼坦言,自去年11月以来,他未曾编写过一行代码(尽管仍然会检查人工智能编写的代码)。与此同时,人工智能正在持续侵入原本由STEM专业人士主导的领域,包括基础编程与数据分析。

劳动力市场的动荡

纽约联邦储备银行(New York Federal Reserve)的最新数据显示,近年来应届大学毕业生面临的就业形势尤为严峻——2022年,应届大学毕业生的失业率已经超过劳动者整体失业率,到2025年,这一比例已经攀升至5.6%——部分STEM相关专业的失业率尤为突出。计算机工程专业是失业率第二高的专业,失业率达到7.8%,仅次于人类学专业。

但部分STEM专业毕业生的失业率仍然低于大学毕业生3.1%的整体平均水平,比如航空航天工程专业和工程技术专业毕业生的失业率分别为2.2%和1.7%。

然而在2024年的访谈中,蒂尔指出,即使在当前尚未被人工智能自动化冲击的STEM领域,随着人工智能的发展,将数学技能作为准入门槛的做法也将逐渐过时。

“若想进入医学院,我们通过物理和微积分筛选人才。”他说,“作为神经外科医生,我可不希望给我做脑部手术的人在手术时还在脑子里分解质因数。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

2010年代,编程成为就业市场上最炙手可热的技能之一,热潮迅速席卷全美,家长们纷纷敦促孩子放弃英语专业,转而攻读科学、技术、工程和数学(以下简称STEM)学位。就连美国前总统贝拉克·奥巴马也呼吁人们学习编程,他更是成为首位参与“编程一小时”(Hour of Code)活动[这项线上活动旨在推广计算机科学教育周(Computer Science Education Week)]的总统,还亲自编写了一行代码。

然而这一现象的另一面,是英语与文科专业遭到质疑,有人戏称这些专业是“咖啡师学位”,认为攻读这类专业的人职业发展空间有限,最终只能在咖啡店打工。

但人工智能的崛起,正在颠覆这些固有认知。至少Palantir联合创始人、亿万富翁彼得·蒂尔是这么认为的。在一段2024年录制、近期重新走红的采访视频中,蒂尔在与经济学家泰勒·考恩对话时表示,STEM领域从业者的就业红利正在消退。

他说:“比起文字工作者,学数学的人的处境要糟糕得多。”

故事讲述者在就业市场炙手可热

这位亿万富翁的观点反映了当下劳动力市场的新趋势。领英(LinkedIn)2月早些时候发布的《2026年领英技能趋势:美国增长最快的技能》(LinkedIn Skills on the Rise 2026: The Fastest-Growing Skills in the U.S.)报告显示,沟通能力和创造性思维的需求正在持续攀升。该报告称,沟通能力、领导力及人员管理能力已经成为当今劳动力市场最抢手的技能。

领英的一位发言人告诉《财富》杂志:“企业越来越青睐沟通能力强的人才,因为出色的写作能力、清晰的表达能力和判断力依然至关重要。”他们指出,如今“讲故事”已经成为一项尤为抢手的技能。“在过去一年里,领英上提及‘讲故事者’的招聘启事数量翻倍。”事实上,部分企业为招募故事讲述者和高级公关专家开出的年薪甚至超过100万美元。例如,Anthropic公司正在招聘一名公关主管,起薪为40万美元;而Netflix为高级公关总监开出的薪酬范围在65.6万美元至120万美元之间。

当然,这份报告并不意味着你可以直接撕掉STEM学位证书。领英还发现,当下市场同样有不少热门技术技能,包括人工智能提示工程和数据标注。不过,这些技能与STEM学位的核心内容有所不同,因为它们侧重于训练人工智能,而非构建人工智能。尽管部分人工智能提示工程师的岗位要求应聘者具备编程语言知识(包括Python和JavaScript)以及大型语言模型相关背景,但这些招聘启事也强调,应聘者需要具备出色的语言能力和创造力,以优化人工智能的输出结果。据求职平台Glassdoor的数据,该岗位的平均年薪为12.8万美元。

随着人工智能技术的不断发展,许多领导者和人工智能专家预测,人工智能将彻底重塑就业市场,同时也将颠覆职场中最被看重的能力。在此背景下,数学及其他STEM领域的部分技能可能面临淘汰风险。

Anthropic公司Claude Code的开发者鲍里斯·切尔尼坦言,自去年11月以来,他未曾编写过一行代码(尽管仍然会检查人工智能编写的代码)。与此同时,人工智能正在持续侵入原本由STEM专业人士主导的领域,包括基础编程与数据分析。

劳动力市场的动荡

纽约联邦储备银行(New York Federal Reserve)的最新数据显示,近年来应届大学毕业生面临的就业形势尤为严峻——2022年,应届大学毕业生的失业率已经超过劳动者整体失业率,到2025年,这一比例已经攀升至5.6%——部分STEM相关专业的失业率尤为突出。计算机工程专业是失业率第二高的专业,失业率达到7.8%,仅次于人类学专业。

但部分STEM专业毕业生的失业率仍然低于大学毕业生3.1%的整体平均水平,比如航空航天工程专业和工程技术专业毕业生的失业率分别为2.2%和1.7%。

然而在2024年的访谈中,蒂尔指出,即使在当前尚未被人工智能自动化冲击的STEM领域,随着人工智能的发展,将数学技能作为准入门槛的做法也将逐渐过时。

“若想进入医学院,我们通过物理和微积分筛选人才。”他说,“作为神经外科医生,我可不希望给我做脑部手术的人在手术时还在脑子里分解质因数。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

During the 2010s, coding took the spotlight as one of the most desired skills in the job market. The coding craze spread quickly, with parents badgering their kids to drop the English major and opt for a STEM degree. Even former President Barack Obama urged people to learn to code; Obama also became the first president to write a line of code as part of the “Hour of Code”—an online event to promote Computer Science Education Week.

On the flip side of this phenomenon, English and liberal arts majors became subjects of scrutiny, some dubbing them “barista” degrees in the belief that pursuing those majors would inevitably confine one to a job at a coffee shop, assuming such degrees have limited career prospects.

But the insurgence of AI is actually upending those assumptions. That’s at least what Palantir cofounder and billionaire Peter Thiel thinks. In a resurfaced clip from a 2024 interview with economist Tyler Cowen, Thiel said the odds are falling out of favor for STEM folks.

“It seems much worse for the math people than the word people,” he said.

Storytellers are hot on the job market

The billionaire’s comments reflect an emerging trend in today’s labor market. LinkedIn released a skills study earlier this month titled “LinkedIn Skills on the Rise 2026: The Fastest-Growing Skills in the U.S.” that shows rising demand for communications and creative thinking skills. Communication, along with leadership and people management, are some of the most sought-after skills in today’s labor market, according to the report.

“Companies are increasingly looking for great communicators, because strong writing, clarity, and judgment still matter,” a LinkedIn spokesperson told Fortune. They noted “storytelling” has become an especially desirable skill today. “On LinkedIn, we’ve seen job postings mentioning ‘storytellers’ double over the last year.” In fact, some companies are shelling out more than $1 million for storytellers and high-level communications professionals. Anthropic, for example, is hiring for a head of communications with a $400,000 starting salary, and Netflix is offering between $656,000 and $1.2 million for a senior director of communications.

To be sure, the report does not necessarily serve as confirmation to shred your STEM diploma. LinkedIn also found several technical skills are hot on the market, including AI prompt engineering and data annotation. These skills, though, diverge from the bread and butter of STEM degrees as they’re oriented around training AI rather than building it. While some AI prompt engineer job openings call for knowledge of programming languages—including Python and JavaScript, as well as a background in large language models—the postings also emphasize strong linguistic and creative skills to optimize AI outputs, and pay an average salary of $128,000, according to job platform Glassdoor.

As AI development advances, many leaders and AI experts predict AI will dramatically reshape the job market, and with it, the most-valued skills. With that development, some math and other STEM skills risk becoming obsolete.

Boris Cherny, creator of Anthropic’s Claude Code, admitted he hasn’t written a single line of code since November (although he still checks the code he has AI write). Meanwhile, AI is increasingly expanding into fields occupied by STEM experts, including basic programming and data analysis.

Rumblings in the labor market

While the labor market has proved particularly dire for all recent college graduates—surpassing the unemployment rate for all workers in 2022 and hitting 5.6% in 2025—some STEM-oriented careers have an especially high unemployment rate, according to recently published data from the New York Federal Reserve. Computer engineering ranks as the major with the second-highest unemployment rate, at 7.8%, after anthropology.

But some STEM graduate unemployment rates hover below the average for all college graduates of 3.1%, including for aerospace engineering and engineering technologies majors, at 2.2% and 1.7%, respectively.

Still, during the 2024 interview, Thiel argued that even in STEM fields currently untouched by AI automation, using math skills as a bar to entry will fall out of fashion thanks to AI.

“If you want to go to medical school, we weed people out through physics and calculus,” he said. “As a neurosurgeon, I don’t really want someone operating on my brain to be doing prime number factorizations in their head while they’re operating on my brain.”

财富中文网所刊载内容之知识产权为财富媒体知识产权有限公司及/或相关权利人专属所有或持有。未经许可,禁止进行转载、摘编、复制及建立镜像等任何使用。
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