首页 500强 活动 榜单 商业 科技 商潮 专题 品牌中心
杂志订阅

美银CEO:不必过度关注美联储的一举一动

Jason Ma
2026-01-05

华尔街一直希望美联储采取进一步的宽松政策,以维持股市的上涨势头。

文本设置
小号
默认
大号
Plus(0条)

2025年12月5日,美银CEO布莱恩・莫伊尼汉在英国伦敦接受彭博电视台采访。图片来源:Chris J. Ratcliffe—Bloomberg via Getty Images

美国银行(Bank of America)首席执行官布莱恩·莫伊尼汉指出,美国经济的体量远大于美联储(Federal Reserve),后者不应获得如此多的关注。

在哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)新闻节目《面对全国》(Face the Nation)访谈中,当被问及唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)即将提名新主席接替杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell),以及这对消费者意味着什么时,他阐述了上述观点。

莫伊尼汉表示:“(目前)人们对美联储过于着迷了。”

他补充道,经济是由私营部门驱动的,其中包括大、中、小型企业以及企业家。

他说:“那种认为我们的经济仿佛就悬于美联储那25个基点的利率调整之上的想法,在我看来是失之偏颇的。”

此次采访录制于2025年12月17日。就在12月10日,鉴于劳动力市场疲软迹象加剧,美联储在连续第三次政策会议上宣布降息25个基点。

尽管这位银行巨头认为大多数美国人不应过度关注美联储的利率行动,但华尔街一直寄望于更多的宽松政策以维持股市涨势。

莫伊尼汉也承认,美联储作为最后贷款人(lender of last resort),在金融危机和新冠肺炎(COVID-19)疫情等极端压力时期,对稳定经济、市场和物价发挥着关键作用。

“但坦率地说,除此之外,你甚至不应该察觉到它的存在,”他表示。

然而,当被进一步追问是否担忧美联储在新主席上任后可能面临政治干预时,他回答说:“如果我们没有一个独立的美联储,市场就会惩罚所有人。”

这是因为自特朗普重返白宫以来,持续要求更大幅度的降息,并对政策制定者施加极大压力。他不断辱骂鲍威尔放松政策力度不够,曾考虑将其解职,并威胁就美联储总部翻修成本超支提起诉讼,目前仍试图罢免美联储理事莉萨·库克(Lisa Cook)。

最近,政府官员更提议应为美联储各地区分行行长设置新的任职条件,这引发了人们对(美联储内部可能)进行“清洗”的担忧。

但早些时候,美联储比往常稍早重新任命了这些分行行长,此举令华尔街感到意外,并减轻了对其独立性面临威胁的担忧。

这可能让鲍威尔在任期结束时,能够更加安心地离开美联储。

但据凯投宏观(Capital Economics)分析,特朗普仍可能与他亲手挑选的继任者发生冲突,因为经济状况可能阻止央行如他所愿那般大幅降息。

该公司近期一份报告指出,由人工智能(AI)引领的投资激增仅是资本支出多年繁荣期的开端。因此,即使考虑到就业市场疲软将拖累消费,预计2026年和2027年国内生产总值(GDP)仍将保持2.5%的强劲增速。

凯投宏观预测:“鉴于核心通胀率将在相当长一段时间内保持在2%的目标之上,我们认为美联储在2026年只会降息25个基点,这将几乎立即导致新任美联储主席与特朗普总统陷入僵局。”(财富中文网)

译者:朴成奎

美国银行(Bank of America)首席执行官布莱恩·莫伊尼汉指出,美国经济的体量远大于美联储(Federal Reserve),后者不应获得如此多的关注。

在哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)新闻节目《面对全国》(Face the Nation)访谈中,当被问及唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)即将提名新主席接替杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell),以及这对消费者意味着什么时,他阐述了上述观点。

莫伊尼汉表示:“(目前)人们对美联储过于着迷了。”

他补充道,经济是由私营部门驱动的,其中包括大、中、小型企业以及企业家。

他说:“那种认为我们的经济仿佛就悬于美联储那25个基点的利率调整之上的想法,在我看来是失之偏颇的。”

此次采访录制于2025年12月17日。就在12月10日,鉴于劳动力市场疲软迹象加剧,美联储在连续第三次政策会议上宣布降息25个基点。

尽管这位银行巨头认为大多数美国人不应过度关注美联储的利率行动,但华尔街一直寄望于更多的宽松政策以维持股市涨势。

莫伊尼汉也承认,美联储作为最后贷款人(lender of last resort),在金融危机和新冠肺炎(COVID-19)疫情等极端压力时期,对稳定经济、市场和物价发挥着关键作用。

“但坦率地说,除此之外,你甚至不应该察觉到它的存在,”他表示。

然而,当被进一步追问是否担忧美联储在新主席上任后可能面临政治干预时,他回答说:“如果我们没有一个独立的美联储,市场就会惩罚所有人。”

这是因为自特朗普重返白宫以来,持续要求更大幅度的降息,并对政策制定者施加极大压力。他不断辱骂鲍威尔放松政策力度不够,曾考虑将其解职,并威胁就美联储总部翻修成本超支提起诉讼,目前仍试图罢免美联储理事莉萨·库克(Lisa Cook)。

最近,政府官员更提议应为美联储各地区分行行长设置新的任职条件,这引发了人们对(美联储内部可能)进行“清洗”的担忧。

但早些时候,美联储比往常稍早重新任命了这些分行行长,此举令华尔街感到意外,并减轻了对其独立性面临威胁的担忧。

这可能让鲍威尔在任期结束时,能够更加安心地离开美联储。

但据凯投宏观(Capital Economics)分析,特朗普仍可能与他亲手挑选的继任者发生冲突,因为经济状况可能阻止央行如他所愿那般大幅降息。

该公司近期一份报告指出,由人工智能(AI)引领的投资激增仅是资本支出多年繁荣期的开端。因此,即使考虑到就业市场疲软将拖累消费,预计2026年和2027年国内生产总值(GDP)仍将保持2.5%的强劲增速。

凯投宏观预测:“鉴于核心通胀率将在相当长一段时间内保持在2%的目标之上,我们认为美联储在2026年只会降息25个基点,这将几乎立即导致新任美联储主席与特朗普总统陷入僵局。”(财富中文网)

译者:朴成奎

Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan pointed out the U.S. economy is much bigger than the Federal Reserve, which shouldn't merit so much attention.

In an interview with CBS News' Face the Nation that aired Sunday, he was asked about President Donald Trump's upcoming nomination of a new Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell and what it means for consumers.

"There's too much fascination with the Fed," Moynihan said.

The economy is driven by the private sector, which includes small, medium, and large companies as well as entrepreneurs, he added.

"The idea that we are, like, hanging on the thread by the Fed moving rates 25 basis points, it seems to me we've gotten out of whack," he said.

The interview was recorded on Dec. 17, a week after the central bank lowered rates by a quarter point for a third consecutive meeting amid mounting signs of weakness in the labor market.

While the bank chief doesn't think most Americans should fixate so much on the Fed's rate moves, Wall Street has been counting on more easing to keep the stock market rally going.

Moynihan also acknowledged the Fed is the lender of last resort and plays a key role in stabilizing the economy, markets, and prices in times of extreme stress, such as during the financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic.

"But other than that, you shouldn't know they exist, quite frankly," he said.

However, when pressed about political interference worries at the Fed when a new chair takes over, he replied: "The market will punish people if we don't have an independent Fed."

That's as Trump has continued to demand steeper rate cuts since he returned to the White House this year while applying extreme pressure on policymakers. He has relentlessly insulted Powell for not easing more, considered firing him, threatened to sue over cost overruns on the Fed's headquarters renovation, and is still attempting to oust Fed Gov. Lisa Cook.

More recently, administration officials have suggested new conditions ought to be placed on the Fed's regional presidents, raising fears of a purge.

But earlier this month, the Fed reappointed those bank presidents a bit earlier than usual, surprising Wall Street and reducing concerns about threats to its independence.

That likely sets up Powell to step down from the Fed with more reassurance when his term as chair expires in May.

But Trump may still clash with his hand-picked replacement because the economy may prevent the central bank from lowering rates as much as he would like, according to Capital Economics.

The investment surge led by artificial intelligence is just the start of a multiyear boom in capital spending. As a result, GDP will grow at a robust rate of 2.5% in both 2026 and 2027, even after accounting for a weaker job market that will slow consumption, according to a recent note.

"With core inflation remaining above the 2% target for some considerable time, we think the Fed will cut its policy rate by only 25 [basis points] in 2026, putting the new Fed chair and President Trump at loggerheads almost immediately," Capital Economics predicted.

财富中文网所刊载内容之知识产权为财富媒体知识产权有限公司及/或相关权利人专属所有或持有。未经许可,禁止进行转载、摘编、复制及建立镜像等任何使用。
0条Plus
精彩评论
评论

撰写或查看更多评论

请打开财富Plus APP

前往打开