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美国年轻人有望继承84万亿美元财富

Chloe Berger
2024-05-20

一份报告显示,到2045年,预计将有84.4万亿美元的巨额财富转移到年轻人手中。

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年轻人报告说,他们对独自处理遗产继承问题感到措手不及。图片来源:RICHARD DRURY—GETTY IMAGES

镜子中观察到的物体实际上比它们看起来离得更近。无论是曾经出演《侏罗纪公园》(Jurassic Park)的演员杰夫·高布伦正在躲避的恐龙,还是一笔巨额遗产,事情往往会比预计的来得更快。即便这种改变是大有裨益或备受期待的,也会让人们感到些许焦虑或不知所措。

Cerulli Associates的一份报告显示,到2045年,预计将有84.4万亿美元的巨额财富转移到年轻人手中。其中大部分资金(72.6万亿美元)将赠予继承人,11.6万亿美元将捐给慈善机构。婴儿潮一代预计将捐出大部分财富,约占63%。据美林(Merrill Lynch)预测,X世代继承的遗产最多,紧随其后的是千禧一代,然后是Z世代。

年轻一代由于要应对学生贷款、动荡的房地产市场和连年的通货膨胀,在经济上处于特殊的困境,他们将从这次财产转移中获益最多。据房地产咨询公司莱坊(Knight Frank)预测,富裕的千禧一代可能会比其他任何人赚得都多,原因是预计这一代人将在财富转移后成为“史上最富有的一代”。

不过,即使年轻一代在等待继承遗产,一些人也开始对即将到来的财富感到些许矛盾。美国公民银行(Citizens Bank)对1,500名美国成年人进行的一项调查显示,大多数美国人(72%)表示,他们没有足够的财务信心来独自管理大量涌入的资金。

美国公民银行的副董事长兼消费者银行业务主管布伦丹·库格林告诉《财富》杂志:“我们的调查结果显示,包括千禧一代在内的许多家庭在准备就绪方面存在巨大差距,他们对管理巨额资金缺乏信心。”他补充道,千禧一代尤其应该考虑自己的长期财务目标,熟悉投资和预算等财务基础知识,这样才能对潜在的遗产做出明智的选择。

当然,也有不平等因素会产生影响,因为并非所有的婴儿潮一代都富有。许多人都量入为出来维持退休后的生活开支,担心自己的积蓄会提前耗尽。据Cerulli Associates预测,大部分财富转移(35.8万亿美元,占42%)将来自最富有的人士,仅占美国家庭的1.5%。

即便如此,少数继承了遗产的人仍然不确定如何处理新净资产。虽然大多数美国人在继承遗产时会求助于顾问,但有29%的人称,他们只有在继承了100万美元或以上的遗产时,才会咨询顾问。由于绝大多数美国人对银行家存疑,许多美国人(51%)开始在社交媒体上寻求理财建议,甚至更多的美国人(61%)开始求助于人工智能。

“千禧一代和现在的Z世代是在全球和金融动荡中成长起来的。”纽约人寿保险公司(New York Life)的财务健康主管苏珊娜·施密特(Suzanne Schmitt)此前对《财富》杂志表示,她指的是2008年的金融危机和新冠疫情带来的困境。“这两代人在成长时期经历过经济变化,在理财习惯方面可能比他们的前辈更趋向于规避风险。”

美国公民银行补充道,年轻人似乎更倾向于求助社交媒体,而不是咨询顾问。年轻人尤其有可能报告在继承遗产后收到糟糕建议。日益依赖社交媒体以求获得帮助是一把双刃剑。库格林指出:“社交媒体极大地改变了年轻人投资和储蓄的方式,这有利也有弊。”他说,虽然社交媒体可以创建一个学习财务知识和实现知识民主化的社区,但它也“可能充斥着虚假信息和骗局,导致人们做出有风险的理财决策”。

美国公民银行发现,31%的美国人认为他们“很有可能或极有可能”在未来五年内获得一笔遗产,千禧一代和Z世代的这一比例分别上升到55%和41%。库格林补充道:“人们迫切需要为美国历史上规模最大的资产转移做好财务计划。”

无论他们是否在使用TikTok,年轻人都在等待一笔意外之财,这与其说是巨额财富,不如说是毛毛雨。最近有专家指出,由于婴儿潮一代的寿命更长,受赠人通常要到中年才能继承遗产,因此这笔遗产的继承还遥遥无期。新研究表明,即便真正到了继承遗产的时候,也很可能与受赠人的期望值相去甚远,因为千禧一代对遗产的期望高于婴儿潮一代计划留下的遗产。

纽约人寿保险公司在2024年的一份报告里也提到了年轻人对即将继承遗产的焦虑。这家保险公司发现,在15%预计会继承遗产的成年人中,只有42%的人表示,他们“在财务上对处理这笔新财富感到自如”。千禧一代和Z世代是最缺乏信心的,分别有21%和18%“在财务上对处理这笔新财富感到自如”。

但是,即使年轻人对这一现象百感交集,随着囤积财富的流动,婴儿潮一代的财富转移也可能在全国范围内产生更大的连锁反应。库格林说:“这一巨大转变不仅是家庭生活中一个重大财务事件,而且随着新财富投资于房地产、创业和教育等领域,也有可能刺激经济发展。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

镜子中观察到的物体实际上比它们看起来离得更近。无论是曾经出演《侏罗纪公园》(Jurassic Park)的演员杰夫·高布伦正在躲避的恐龙,还是一笔巨额遗产,事情往往会比预计的来得更快。即便这种改变是大有裨益或备受期待的,也会让人们感到些许焦虑或不知所措。

Cerulli Associates的一份报告显示,到2045年,预计将有84.4万亿美元的巨额财富转移到年轻人手中。其中大部分资金(72.6万亿美元)将赠予继承人,11.6万亿美元将捐给慈善机构。婴儿潮一代预计将捐出大部分财富,约占63%。据美林(Merrill Lynch)预测,X世代继承的遗产最多,紧随其后的是千禧一代,然后是Z世代。

年轻一代由于要应对学生贷款、动荡的房地产市场和连年的通货膨胀,在经济上处于特殊的困境,他们将从这次财产转移中获益最多。据房地产咨询公司莱坊(Knight Frank)预测,富裕的千禧一代可能会比其他任何人赚得都多,原因是预计这一代人将在财富转移后成为“史上最富有的一代”。

不过,即使年轻一代在等待继承遗产,一些人也开始对即将到来的财富感到些许矛盾。美国公民银行(Citizens Bank)对1,500名美国成年人进行的一项调查显示,大多数美国人(72%)表示,他们没有足够的财务信心来独自管理大量涌入的资金。

美国公民银行的副董事长兼消费者银行业务主管布伦丹·库格林告诉《财富》杂志:“我们的调查结果显示,包括千禧一代在内的许多家庭在准备就绪方面存在巨大差距,他们对管理巨额资金缺乏信心。”他补充道,千禧一代尤其应该考虑自己的长期财务目标,熟悉投资和预算等财务基础知识,这样才能对潜在的遗产做出明智的选择。

当然,也有不平等因素会产生影响,因为并非所有的婴儿潮一代都富有。许多人都量入为出来维持退休后的生活开支,担心自己的积蓄会提前耗尽。据Cerulli Associates预测,大部分财富转移(35.8万亿美元,占42%)将来自最富有的人士,仅占美国家庭的1.5%。

即便如此,少数继承了遗产的人仍然不确定如何处理新净资产。虽然大多数美国人在继承遗产时会求助于顾问,但有29%的人称,他们只有在继承了100万美元或以上的遗产时,才会咨询顾问。由于绝大多数美国人对银行家存疑,许多美国人(51%)开始在社交媒体上寻求理财建议,甚至更多的美国人(61%)开始求助于人工智能。

“千禧一代和现在的Z世代是在全球和金融动荡中成长起来的。”纽约人寿保险公司(New York Life)的财务健康主管苏珊娜·施密特(Suzanne Schmitt)此前对《财富》杂志表示,她指的是2008年的金融危机和新冠疫情带来的困境。“这两代人在成长时期经历过经济变化,在理财习惯方面可能比他们的前辈更趋向于规避风险。”

美国公民银行补充道,年轻人似乎更倾向于求助社交媒体,而不是咨询顾问。年轻人尤其有可能报告在继承遗产后收到糟糕建议。日益依赖社交媒体以求获得帮助是一把双刃剑。库格林指出:“社交媒体极大地改变了年轻人投资和储蓄的方式,这有利也有弊。”他说,虽然社交媒体可以创建一个学习财务知识和实现知识民主化的社区,但它也“可能充斥着虚假信息和骗局,导致人们做出有风险的理财决策”。

美国公民银行发现,31%的美国人认为他们“很有可能或极有可能”在未来五年内获得一笔遗产,千禧一代和Z世代的这一比例分别上升到55%和41%。库格林补充道:“人们迫切需要为美国历史上规模最大的资产转移做好财务计划。”

无论他们是否在使用TikTok,年轻人都在等待一笔意外之财,这与其说是巨额财富,不如说是毛毛雨。最近有专家指出,由于婴儿潮一代的寿命更长,受赠人通常要到中年才能继承遗产,因此这笔遗产的继承还遥遥无期。新研究表明,即便真正到了继承遗产的时候,也很可能与受赠人的期望值相去甚远,因为千禧一代对遗产的期望高于婴儿潮一代计划留下的遗产。

纽约人寿保险公司在2024年的一份报告里也提到了年轻人对即将继承遗产的焦虑。这家保险公司发现,在15%预计会继承遗产的成年人中,只有42%的人表示,他们“在财务上对处理这笔新财富感到自如”。千禧一代和Z世代是最缺乏信心的,分别有21%和18%“在财务上对处理这笔新财富感到自如”。

但是,即使年轻人对这一现象百感交集,随着囤积财富的流动,婴儿潮一代的财富转移也可能在全国范围内产生更大的连锁反应。库格林说:“这一巨大转变不仅是家庭生活中一个重大财务事件,而且随着新财富投资于房地产、创业和教育等领域,也有可能刺激经济发展。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

Objects in the mirror are closer than they appear. Whether it be a dinosaur that Jeff Goldblum is dodging or a colossal inheritance, things tend to creep up faster than projected. Even when the change is good or highly-anticipated, it can make people get a little anxious or feel overwhelmed.

This much is true for the long-expected great wealth transfer, wherein a hefty sum of $84.4 trillion dollars is expected to move to younger hands by 2045 , per a report from Cerulli Associates. Most of those funds, $72.6 trillion, are to be gifted to heirs, with $11.6 trillion going to charity. Boomers are projected to give away the bulk of this fortune, at around 63%. Gen Xers are predicted to inherit the most, followed closely by millennials, and then Gen Zers, according to Merrill Lynch.

Younger generations, in a particular economic bind as they navigate student loans, a volatile housing market, and years of inflation, stand to gain the most from this transfer. And affluent millennials might make more than anyone else, as the cohort is predicted to be the “richest generation in history” after this transfer, according to real estate consultancy Knight Frank.

But even if younger generations are awaiting money, some are starting to feel a bit ambivalent about its impending arrival. Most Americans (72%) report feeling that they don’t have enough financial confidence to manage a large influx of money by themselves, according to a Citizens Bank survey of 1,500 U.S. adults.

“Our findings reveal a significant gap in preparedness among many families, including millennials, who lack confidence in managing substantial financial windfalls,” Brendan Coughlin, vice chair and head of consumer banking for Citizens, tells Fortune. He adds that millennials in particular should consider their long-term financial goals and familiarize themselves with fundamentals of finances like investing and budgeting so they can make informed choices about their potential inheritance.

Of course, there’s a story of inequality at play, as not all boomers are wealthy. Many struggle to afford retirement and fear outliving their savings. A large portion of the wealth transfer — $35.8 trillion or 42% — is projected to come from extremely wealthy individuals that make up just 1.5% of households, per Cerulli Associates.

Even so, the few that get an inheritance are unsure of how to handle their new net worth. While most Americans would turn to an advisor in the case of receiving an inheritance, 29% said they would only consult someone if they inherited $1 million or more. With the overwhelming majority of Americans distrustful of bankers, many (51%) Americans are going to social media for financial advice and even more (61%) are turning to A.I.

“Millennials, and now Gen Z, have grown up amidst global and financial turmoil,” Suzanne Schmitt, head of financial wellness at New York Life, previously told Fortune, pointing to the financial crisis of 2008 and the pandemic hardships. “These two cohorts have witnessed economic changes in their formative years and may be more risk-averse when it comes to financial habits than their predecessors.”

It seems like young adults are more likely to turn to social media than an advisor, adds Citizens. And young adults are especially likely to report having received bad advice after receiving an inheritance. The growing reliance on social media for help is a double-edged sword. “Social media has significantly reshaped how young people approach investing and saving, offering both advantages and drawbacks,” says Coughlin. While social media can create a community for learning about finances and democratize knowledge, it also “can be fraught with misinformation and scams, leading to risky financial decisions,” he says.

Citizens finds that 31% of Americans feel that it’s “likely or extremely likely” they’ll receive an inheritance within the next five years, increasing to 55% of millennials and 41% of Gen Zers, “creating a sense of urgency to prepare financial plans for the largest transfer of assets in U.S. history,” adds Coughlin.

Whether they’re on TikTok or not, young adults are awaiting a windfall that might be more of a breeze than a gust. Recent experts have suggested that the transfer is a long way from coming, as boomers live longer and inheritance often doesn’t set in until recipients are middle-aged. And when the inheritance does come in it may well fall short of recipients’ hopes, as new research shows that millennials expect more than baby boomers plan on leaving.

Young adults’ anxiety regarding an incoming inheritance has been also covered by a 2024 report from New York Life. The insurance company found that only 42% of the 15% of adults that expected an inheritance said they “feel very comfortable financially handling the new wealth.” Confidence decreased by generation as millennials and Gen Zers were the least assured, at 21% and 18%, respectively.

But even if young adults have mixed feelings about this phenomenon, the boomer wealth transfer could have larger ripple effects across the country as hoarded wealth moves around. “This monumental shift represents not just a significant financial life event for families, but also the potential for economic stimulation as new wealth gets invested in areas like real estate, entrepreneurship and education,” says Coughlin.

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