首页 500强 活动 榜单 商业 科技 领导力 专题 品牌中心
杂志订阅

巴菲特警告人工智能诈骗风险

这位亿万富翁投资大师预测,诈骗犯们将充分利用人工智能技术,对社会造成的影响弊大于利。

文本设置
小号
默认
大号
Plus(0条)

沃伦·巴菲特警告出席其年度股东大会的数万名股东,人工智能诈骗可能成为“有史以来增长最快的行业”。

巴菲特重申了2023年的警告,并向大家表示,自己最近直面了人工智能的负面影响:人工智能生成的人物形象的外表和声音都很像他。有人伪造了一段巴菲特的视频,显然足以以假乱真,以至于这位所谓的“奥马哈先知”本人也说,他可以想象这段视频会骗他把钱汇到海外。

这位亿万富翁投资大师预测,诈骗犯们将充分利用这项技术,对社会造成的影响弊大于利。

他说:“作为一位对这项技术一无所知的人,它既有巨大的潜在好处,也有巨大的潜在危害,我只是不知道结果会如何。”

沉思前的收益

5月4日早些时候,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway)宣布,由于其投资的账面价值暴跌,公司收益大幅下降,并减持了苹果公司(Apple)的股份。该公司公布,第一季度利润为127亿美元,A类股每股利润为8,825美元,较2023年同期的355亿美元(A类股每股利润为24,377美元)下降64%。

但巴菲特鼓励投资者更多地关注该集团从其实际拥有的公司获得的营业利润。在保险公司业绩的带动下,营业利润跃升39%,至112.22亿美元,合A类股每股7,796.47美元。

不过,这一消息并未影响现场的氛围。

大批观众蜂拥而入,抢购巴菲特和在2023年秋天逝世的前副董事长查理·芒格的人形玩偶(由Squishmallows品牌推出的)。该活动吸引了来自世界各地的投资者,与其他公司会议截然不同。许多首次出席的人都迫切希望能够亲临现场,争睹仍然健在的93岁高龄的巴菲特的风采。

“这是世界上学习投资的最佳活动之一,可以向行业之神学习。”阿克沙伊·班萨利说,他花了近两天时间从印度辗转来到奥马哈。

引人注目的缺席

信徒们从世界各地赶来,从巴菲特那里汲取智慧。巴菲特将这次会议称为“资本家的伍德斯托克音乐节”。

但今年缺少了一大关键要素:这是芒格去世后的首次会议。

会议开始时播放了一段悼念芒格的视频,其中突出了他的一些名言警句,包括“如果人们不经常犯错,我们就不会这么富有”等经典台词。该视频还播放了投资者多年来与好莱坞明星合作的短剧,包括《绝望主妇》(Desperate Housewives)的恶搞片段,其中一位女演员称芒格为自己的男朋友,还有一段是女演员杰米·李·柯蒂斯对芒格迷恋不已。

当视频结束时,全场长时间起立鼓掌,向芒格致敬,巴菲特称他为“伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的设计师”。

巴菲特称,芒格直到99岁寿终正寝时仍然对世界充满好奇。他经常举办晚宴,与人会面,并定期召开Zoom电话会议。

巴菲特说:“就像他的偶像本杰明·富兰克林一样,查理想了解一切。”

几十年来,芒格和巴菲特一直被视为经典的喜剧二人组,巴菲特为芒格诙谐的俏皮话提供冗长的开场白。他曾经称一些名不经传的互联网公司为“粪土”。

在这对搭档的共同努力下,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司从一家陷入困境的纺织厂转变为一家由各种利益集团组成的大型企业集团,其中包括美国政府员工保险公司(Geico)等保险公司、美国伯灵顿北方圣达菲铁路公司(BNSF)、几家大型公用事业公司以及其他各种公司。

芒格经常把伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司成功的关键归结为“通过努力保持不犯蠢,而不是努力变得非常聪明”。他和巴菲特还以坚持投资自己熟悉的业务而闻名。

“沃伦总是至少讲80%的内容,而查理是一个很好的陪衬。”Stansberry Research的分析师惠特尼·蒂尔森表示,他期待连续第27次参加年会。

下一代领导人

不过,芒格的缺席为股东们更好地了解直接管理伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的两位高管创造了机会:阿吉特·贾因负责管理保险部门;格雷格·阿贝尔负责处理其他一切事务,并已经被任命为巴菲特的继任者。今年,两人与巴菲特共同登上了舞台。

巴菲特第一次把问题踢给阿贝尔时,他口误说道:“查理?”阿贝尔对这一口误不以为然,并深入探讨了公用事业面临的挑战,即野火风险增加,以及一些监管机构不愿意让公用事业公司获得合理利润。

晨星公司(Morningstar)的分析师格雷戈里·沃伦说,他认为阿贝尔在5月4日发表了更多讲话,让股东们看到了伯克希尔的高管们高谈阔论的一些精彩之处。

阿贝尔对芒格那句经典的“我没有什么可以补充的”的台词进行了改编,他在5月4日的回答中经常以“我唯一要补充的是”开头。

Semper Augustus Investments Group的总裁克里斯托弗·布卢姆斯特朗说:“格雷格是一位摇滚明星。该团队拥有多名经验丰富、能力出色的备选人员。他在会议上不会表现出芒格那样的幽默。但我认为,我们每年来这里都是为了获得提醒,让自己保持理性。”

展望未来

巴菲特已经明确表示,阿贝尔将成为伯克希尔的下一任首席执行官,但他在5月4日称,已经改变对该公司投资组合应该如何处理的看法。他此前曾经指出,投资组合将由两名投资经理负责,他们现在负责管理投资组合的一小部分。5月4日,巴菲特支持阿贝尔担任这一职务,并负责监督运营业务和任何收购活动。

巴菲特说:“阿贝尔非常了解各种业务。如果你懂业务,你就懂普通股。”最终,这将取决于董事会的决定,但这位亿万富翁指出,如果他们试图以不同的方式行事,自己可能就会回来找他们算账。

巴菲特表示,总而言之,伯克希尔的制度运行良好:所有非保险公司向阿贝尔报告,而保险公司则向贾因报告。他自己也很少接到管理者们的电话,因为他们从阿贝尔和贾因那里得到了更多的指导。

巴菲特说:“如果我出了什么事情,这家公司第二天依旧会运转自如。”

尽管如此,巴菲特的结束语还是赢得了全场最热烈的掌声:“我不仅希望你们明年能来,也希望自己明年能来。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

沃伦·巴菲特警告出席其年度股东大会的数万名股东,人工智能诈骗可能成为“有史以来增长最快的行业”。

巴菲特重申了2023年的警告,并向大家表示,自己最近直面了人工智能的负面影响:人工智能生成的人物形象的外表和声音都很像他。有人伪造了一段巴菲特的视频,显然足以以假乱真,以至于这位所谓的“奥马哈先知”本人也说,他可以想象这段视频会骗他把钱汇到海外。

这位亿万富翁投资大师预测,诈骗犯们将充分利用这项技术,对社会造成的影响弊大于利。

他说:“作为一位对这项技术一无所知的人,它既有巨大的潜在好处,也有巨大的潜在危害,我只是不知道结果会如何。”

沉思前的收益

5月4日早些时候,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司(Berkshire Hathaway)宣布,由于其投资的账面价值暴跌,公司收益大幅下降,并减持了苹果公司(Apple)的股份。该公司公布,第一季度利润为127亿美元,A类股每股利润为8,825美元,较2023年同期的355亿美元(A类股每股利润为24,377美元)下降64%。

但巴菲特鼓励投资者更多地关注该集团从其实际拥有的公司获得的营业利润。在保险公司业绩的带动下,营业利润跃升39%,至112.22亿美元,合A类股每股7,796.47美元。

不过,这一消息并未影响现场的氛围。

大批观众蜂拥而入,抢购巴菲特和在2023年秋天逝世的前副董事长查理·芒格的人形玩偶(由Squishmallows品牌推出的)。该活动吸引了来自世界各地的投资者,与其他公司会议截然不同。许多首次出席的人都迫切希望能够亲临现场,争睹仍然健在的93岁高龄的巴菲特的风采。

“这是世界上学习投资的最佳活动之一,可以向行业之神学习。”阿克沙伊·班萨利说,他花了近两天时间从印度辗转来到奥马哈。

引人注目的缺席

信徒们从世界各地赶来,从巴菲特那里汲取智慧。巴菲特将这次会议称为“资本家的伍德斯托克音乐节”。

但今年缺少了一大关键要素:这是芒格去世后的首次会议。

会议开始时播放了一段悼念芒格的视频,其中突出了他的一些名言警句,包括“如果人们不经常犯错,我们就不会这么富有”等经典台词。该视频还播放了投资者多年来与好莱坞明星合作的短剧,包括《绝望主妇》(Desperate Housewives)的恶搞片段,其中一位女演员称芒格为自己的男朋友,还有一段是女演员杰米·李·柯蒂斯对芒格迷恋不已。

当视频结束时,全场长时间起立鼓掌,向芒格致敬,巴菲特称他为“伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的设计师”。

巴菲特称,芒格直到99岁寿终正寝时仍然对世界充满好奇。他经常举办晚宴,与人会面,并定期召开Zoom电话会议。

巴菲特说:“就像他的偶像本杰明·富兰克林一样,查理想了解一切。”

几十年来,芒格和巴菲特一直被视为经典的喜剧二人组,巴菲特为芒格诙谐的俏皮话提供冗长的开场白。他曾经称一些名不经传的互联网公司为“粪土”。

在这对搭档的共同努力下,伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司从一家陷入困境的纺织厂转变为一家由各种利益集团组成的大型企业集团,其中包括美国政府员工保险公司(Geico)等保险公司、美国伯灵顿北方圣达菲铁路公司(BNSF)、几家大型公用事业公司以及其他各种公司。

芒格经常把伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司成功的关键归结为“通过努力保持不犯蠢,而不是努力变得非常聪明”。他和巴菲特还以坚持投资自己熟悉的业务而闻名。

“沃伦总是至少讲80%的内容,而查理是一个很好的陪衬。”Stansberry Research的分析师惠特尼·蒂尔森表示,他期待连续第27次参加年会。

下一代领导人

不过,芒格的缺席为股东们更好地了解直接管理伯克希尔-哈撒韦公司的两位高管创造了机会:阿吉特·贾因负责管理保险部门;格雷格·阿贝尔负责处理其他一切事务,并已经被任命为巴菲特的继任者。今年,两人与巴菲特共同登上了舞台。

巴菲特第一次把问题踢给阿贝尔时,他口误说道:“查理?”阿贝尔对这一口误不以为然,并深入探讨了公用事业面临的挑战,即野火风险增加,以及一些监管机构不愿意让公用事业公司获得合理利润。

晨星公司(Morningstar)的分析师格雷戈里·沃伦说,他认为阿贝尔在5月4日发表了更多讲话,让股东们看到了伯克希尔的高管们高谈阔论的一些精彩之处。

阿贝尔对芒格那句经典的“我没有什么可以补充的”的台词进行了改编,他在5月4日的回答中经常以“我唯一要补充的是”开头。

Semper Augustus Investments Group的总裁克里斯托弗·布卢姆斯特朗说:“格雷格是一位摇滚明星。该团队拥有多名经验丰富、能力出色的备选人员。他在会议上不会表现出芒格那样的幽默。但我认为,我们每年来这里都是为了获得提醒,让自己保持理性。”

展望未来

巴菲特已经明确表示,阿贝尔将成为伯克希尔的下一任首席执行官,但他在5月4日称,已经改变对该公司投资组合应该如何处理的看法。他此前曾经指出,投资组合将由两名投资经理负责,他们现在负责管理投资组合的一小部分。5月4日,巴菲特支持阿贝尔担任这一职务,并负责监督运营业务和任何收购活动。

巴菲特说:“阿贝尔非常了解各种业务。如果你懂业务,你就懂普通股。”最终,这将取决于董事会的决定,但这位亿万富翁指出,如果他们试图以不同的方式行事,自己可能就会回来找他们算账。

巴菲特表示,总而言之,伯克希尔的制度运行良好:所有非保险公司向阿贝尔报告,而保险公司则向贾因报告。他自己也很少接到管理者们的电话,因为他们从阿贝尔和贾因那里得到了更多的指导。

巴菲特说:“如果我出了什么事情,这家公司第二天依旧会运转自如。”

尽管如此,巴菲特的结束语还是赢得了全场最热烈的掌声:“我不仅希望你们明年能来,也希望自己明年能来。”(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

Warren Buffett cautioned the tens of thousands of shareholders who packed an arena for his annual meeting that artificial intelligence scams could become “the growth industry of all time.”

Doubling down on his cautionary words from last year, Buffett told the throngs he recently came face to face with the downside of AI. And it looked and sounded just like him. Someone made a fake video of Buffett, apparently convincing enough that the so-called Oracle of Omaha himself said he could imagine it tricking him into sending money overseas.

The billionaire investing guru predicted scammers will seize on the technology, and may do more harm with it than society can wring good.

“As someone who doesn’t understand a damn thing about it, it has enormous potential for good and enormous potential for harm and I just don’t know how that plays out,” he said.

Earnings before musings

The day started early May 4 with Berkshire Hathaway announcing a steep drop in earnings as the paper value of its investments plummeted and it pared its Apple holdings. The company reported a $12.7 billion profit, or $8,825 per Class A share, in first the quarter, down 64% from $35.5 billion, or $24,377 per A share a year ago.

But Buffett encourages investors to pay more attention to the conglomerate’s operating earnings from the companies it actually owns. Those jumped 39% to $11.222 billion, or $7,796.47 per Class A share, led by insurance companies’ performance.

None of it that got in the way of the fun.

Throngs flooded the arena to buy up Squishmallows of Buffett and former Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, who died last fall. The event attracts investors from all over the world and is unlike any other company meeting. Those attending for the first time are driven by an urgency to get here while the 93-year-old Buffett is still alive.

“This is one of the best events in the world to learn about investing. To learn from the gods of the industry,” said Akshay Bhansali, who spent the better part of two days traveling from India to Omaha.

A notable absence

Devotees come from all over the world to vacuum up tidbits of wisdom from Buffett, who famously dubbed the meeting ‘Woodstock for Capitalists.’

But a key ingredient was missing this year: It was the first meeting since Munger died.

The meeting opened with a video tribute highlighting some of his best known quotes, including classic lines like “If people weren’t so often wrong, we wouldn’t be so rich.” The video also featured skits the investors made with Hollywood stars over the years, including a “Desperate Housewives” spoof where one of the women introduced Munger as her boyfriend and another in which actress Jaimie Lee Curtis swooned over him.

As the video ended, the arena erupted in a prolonged standing ovation honoring Munger, whom Buffett called “the architect of Berkshire Hathaway.”

Buffett said Munger remained curious about the world up until the end of his life at 99, hosting dinner parties, meeting with people and holding regular Zoom calls.

“Like his hero Ben Franklin, Charlie wanted to understand everything,” Buffett said.

For decades, Munger and Buffett functioned as a classic comedy duo, with Buffett offering lengthy setups to Munger’s witty one-liners. He once referred to unproven internet companies as “turds.”

Together, the pair transformed Berkshire from a floundering textile mill into a massive conglomerate made up of a variety of interests, from insurance companies such as Geico to BNSF railroad to several major utilities and an assortment of other companies.

Munger often summed up the key to Berkshire’s success as “trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.” He and Buffett also were known for sticking to businesses they understood well.

“Warren always did at least 80% of the talking. But Charlie was a great foil,” said Stansberry Research analyst Whitney Tilson, who was looking forward to his 27th consecutive meeting.

Next gen leaders

Munger’s absence, however, created space for shareholders to get to know better the two executives who directly oversee Berkshire’s companies: Ajit Jain, who manages the insurance units; and Abel, who handles everything else and has been named Buffett’s successor. The two shared the main stage with Buffett this year.

The first time Buffett kicked a question to Abel, he mistakenly said “Charlie?” Abel shrugged off the mistake and dove into the challenges utilities face from the increased risk of wildfires and some regulators’ reluctance to let them collect a reasonable profit.

Morningstar analyst Greggory Warren said he believes Abel spoke up more on May 4 and let shareholders see some of the brilliance Berkshire executives talk about.

Abel offered a twist on Munger’s classic “I have nothing to add” line by often starting his answers on May 4 by saying “The only thing I would add.”

“Greg’s a rock star,” said Chris Bloomstran, president of Semper Augustus Investments Group. “The bench is deep. He won’t have the same humor at the meeting. But I think we all come here to get a reminder every year to be rational.”

A look to the future

Buffett has made clear that Abel will be Berkshire’s next CEO, but he said on May 4 that he had changed his opinion on how the company’s investment portfolio should be handled. He had previously said it would fall to two investment managers who handle small chunks of the portfolio now. On May 4, Buffett endorsed Abel for the gig, as well as overseeing the operating businesses and any acquisitions.

“He understands businesses extremely well. and if you understand businesses, you understand common stocks,” Buffett said. Ultimately, it will be up to the board to decide, but the billionaire said he might come back and haunt them if they try to do it differently.

Overall, Buffett said Berkshire’s system of having all the noninsurance companies report to Abel and the insurers report to Jain is working well. He himself hardly gets any calls from managers anymore because they get more guidance from Abel and Jain.

“This place would work extremely well the next day if something happened to me,” Buffett said.

Nevertheless, the best applause line of the day was Buffett’s closing remark: “I not only hope that you come next year but I hope that I come next year.”

0条Plus
精彩评论
评论

撰写或查看更多评论

请打开财富Plus APP

前往打开