如果你关注加密货币行业,就可能听说过一个名为Filecoin的项目。2017年,Filecoin的母公司筹集了2.05亿美元,用于建设一种新型的数字存储网络。该网络将使用令牌和区块链技术在全球数百万台计算机上存储数据。
三年后,Filecoin还没有一款产品问世,但它确实面临一个法律问题。一众风险投资人指责该项目领导者出售本应属于他们的数字代币(区块链版本的股票)。这场纠纷据说正在调解中。Filecoin的发言人告诉《财富》杂志:“我们不会对我们与特定股东的私下讨论发表置评。”
Filecoin几乎肯定不是唯一出现问题的区块链项目。在2017年和2018年初的繁盛时期,数十家加密公司通过所谓的“首次代币发行”(ICO)筹集到令人瞠目结舌的巨额资金。ICO意指通过互联网向所有参与者出售数字代币。理论上,消费者有朝一日会使用代币购买区块链项目上的服务,而这些代币的增值前景也让它们成为投机者趋之若鹜的购买对象。
事实上,所有这些几乎都是炒作而已。诸如Bancor和Paragon这类区块链公司筹集了数亿美元,寻求改变做市商和大麻等行业,但这些公司至今还没有做出任何有价值的东西,而他们的代币也已经崩盘。倘若这些项目是传统的硅谷初创公司,如此惨不忍睹的崩溃注定会招致投资者的强烈谴责,并成为极具爆炸性的头条商业新闻。
Filecoin的案例尤其令人不安。原因是,与许多不靠谱的代币项目不同,Filecoin由一个备受尊敬的团队领导,并且获得A级风险投资人的鼎力支持。现在就宣判这家公司出局还为时过早——Filecoin仍然有可能给我们带来惊喜,仍然有望颠覆微软和亚马逊云计算服务。但如果随着时间的流逝,这家公司还是拿不出一款可行的产品,它就很可能沦为一个令人痛惜的警世故事。
这不由得让人产生疑问:这些区块链公司到底出了什么问题?毕竟,就在三年前,一篇病毒式传播的文章预言,代币的出售将使金融民主化,并颠覆硅谷的风险投资公司。如今,风投公司仍然牢牢掌控主导权,而大多数人现在已经将投资代币与投资委内瑞拉债券或佛罗里达沼泽地划上等号。
其中一个原因是,像区块链这样的新技术是很难驾驭的;就像无人驾驶汽车或虚拟现实一样,在这种技术的成长道路上,涌现很多失败案例在所难免。要知道,互联网经济历经数年波折才展翅高飞,指望像Filecoin这种涉及大量工作和新奇基础设施的项目一夜之间收获成功是不现实的。
还有另一个质疑区块链公司的理由。那就是这些公司往往缺乏成功的动力。在传统的初创公司,获得一笔小额投资后,创始人会竭尽全力打造一款产品,然后筹集更多的资金来维持运营。与此同时,由经验丰富的投资人组成的董事会会为他们的项目提供指导——如果进展太慢,他们就有可能撤资。
这跟那些进行ICO的创始人形成鲜明对比。突然之间,这些区块链创始人获得了一笔笔几乎没有附加条件的巨额投资。纷至沓来的投资让他们几乎感受不到特别的压力来执行创业计划。即使是那些怀着最美好的愿望创办区块链公司的人(他们很可能只是极少数)也很难保持动力。如果你可以携带数百万美元环游世界,非常潇洒地享受人生,为什么还要整天不辞辛苦地伏案编写区块链代码呢?
这并不意味着每一家出售代币的区块链公司都注定要失败。代币经济中也不乏亮点,比如在2017年筹集到逾2亿美元的Tezos。尽管在创立早期陷入争议,但这家公司已经建立了一个颇受欢迎的智能合约网络。话说回来,如果Filecoin现在设法扭转局面,推出一款让世界惊艳的产品,那也不算太晚——但它最好尽快行动起来。(财富中文网)
译者:任文科
如果你关注加密货币行业,就可能听说过一个名为Filecoin的项目。2017年,Filecoin的母公司筹集了2.05亿美元,用于建设一种新型的数字存储网络。该网络将使用令牌和区块链技术在全球数百万台计算机上存储数据。
三年后,Filecoin还没有一款产品问世,但它确实面临一个法律问题。一众风险投资人指责该项目领导者出售本应属于他们的数字代币(区块链版本的股票)。这场纠纷据说正在调解中。Filecoin的发言人告诉《财富》杂志:“我们不会对我们与特定股东的私下讨论发表置评。”
Filecoin几乎肯定不是唯一出现问题的区块链项目。在2017年和2018年初的繁盛时期,数十家加密公司通过所谓的“首次代币发行”(ICO)筹集到令人瞠目结舌的巨额资金。ICO意指通过互联网向所有参与者出售数字代币。理论上,消费者有朝一日会使用代币购买区块链项目上的服务,而这些代币的增值前景也让它们成为投机者趋之若鹜的购买对象。
事实上,所有这些几乎都是炒作而已。诸如Bancor和Paragon这类区块链公司筹集了数亿美元,寻求改变做市商和大麻等行业,但这些公司至今还没有做出任何有价值的东西,而他们的代币也已经崩盘。倘若这些项目是传统的硅谷初创公司,如此惨不忍睹的崩溃注定会招致投资者的强烈谴责,并成为极具爆炸性的头条商业新闻。
Filecoin的案例尤其令人不安。原因是,与许多不靠谱的代币项目不同,Filecoin由一个备受尊敬的团队领导,并且获得A级风险投资人的鼎力支持。现在就宣判这家公司出局还为时过早——Filecoin仍然有可能给我们带来惊喜,仍然有望颠覆微软和亚马逊云计算服务。但如果随着时间的流逝,这家公司还是拿不出一款可行的产品,它就很可能沦为一个令人痛惜的警世故事。
这不由得让人产生疑问:这些区块链公司到底出了什么问题?毕竟,就在三年前,一篇病毒式传播的文章预言,代币的出售将使金融民主化,并颠覆硅谷的风险投资公司。如今,风投公司仍然牢牢掌控主导权,而大多数人现在已经将投资代币与投资委内瑞拉债券或佛罗里达沼泽地划上等号。
其中一个原因是,像区块链这样的新技术是很难驾驭的;就像无人驾驶汽车或虚拟现实一样,在这种技术的成长道路上,涌现很多失败案例在所难免。要知道,互联网经济历经数年波折才展翅高飞,指望像Filecoin这种涉及大量工作和新奇基础设施的项目一夜之间收获成功是不现实的。
还有另一个质疑区块链公司的理由。那就是这些公司往往缺乏成功的动力。在传统的初创公司,获得一笔小额投资后,创始人会竭尽全力打造一款产品,然后筹集更多的资金来维持运营。与此同时,由经验丰富的投资人组成的董事会会为他们的项目提供指导——如果进展太慢,他们就有可能撤资。
这跟那些进行ICO的创始人形成鲜明对比。突然之间,这些区块链创始人获得了一笔笔几乎没有附加条件的巨额投资。纷至沓来的投资让他们几乎感受不到特别的压力来执行创业计划。即使是那些怀着最美好的愿望创办区块链公司的人(他们很可能只是极少数)也很难保持动力。如果你可以携带数百万美元环游世界,非常潇洒地享受人生,为什么还要整天不辞辛苦地伏案编写区块链代码呢?
这并不意味着每一家出售代币的区块链公司都注定要失败。代币经济中也不乏亮点,比如在2017年筹集到逾2亿美元的Tezos。尽管在创立早期陷入争议,但这家公司已经建立了一个颇受欢迎的智能合约网络。话说回来,如果Filecoin现在设法扭转局面,推出一款让世界惊艳的产品,那也不算太晚——但它最好尽快行动起来。(财富中文网)
译者:任文科
If you follow the cryptocurrency industry, you’ve probably heard of a project called Filecoin. In 2017, Filecoin’s parent company raised $205 million to build a new type of digital storage network. The network would use tokens and blockchain technology to store data on millions of computers around the world.
Three years later, Filecoin does not have a product, but it does have a legal headache. Its venture capital investors are accusing the project’s leaders of selling off digital tokens—the blockchain version of shares—that should belong to them. The dispute is reportedly in mediation, while a spokesperson for Filecoin tells Fortune that “we do not comment on our private discussions with specific shareholders.”
Filecoin is hardly the only blockchain project having problems. In the go-go days of 2017 and early 2018, dozens of crypto firms raised absurd amounts of money in “initial coin offerings” that sold digital tokens to all comers via the Internet. In theory, consumers would one day use the tokens to purchase services on the blockchain projects—while the promise of future value made the tokens a hot target for speculators.
In reality, it’s been almost all speculation. Blockchain companies like Bancor and Paragon raised hundreds of millions to transform industries like market-making and cannabis, but have yet to produce anything of value, and the prices of their tokens have collapsed. If these projects had been traditional Silicon Valley startups, their crackups would have produced howls of outrage from investors and blaring headlines in the business press.
The case of Filecoin is especially troubling since, unlike many of the fly-by-night token projects, it is led by a respected team and has the support of A-list venture capitalists. It’s too soon to count the company out—Filecoin could still surprise us and disrupt Microsoft and Amazon Web Services—but the more time elapses without a viable product, the less likely it is that Filecoin will become anything more than a cautionary tale.
All of this raises the question of what went wrong with these blockchain companies. After all, it was just three years ago that a viral essay predicted that the sale of tokens would democratize finance and disrupt the venture capital firms of Silicon Valley. Today, VC firms are still firmly in control, while most people see token investments as akin to Venezuelan bonds or Florida swamp land.
One reason for this is that new technologies like blockchain are hard, and that—like driverless cars or virtual reality—there will be a lot of failures along the way. It took years for the Internet economy to take off, and it’s not realistic to expect projects like Filecoin, which involve an immense amount of work and novel infrastructure, to succeed overnight.
But there is another reason to be skeptical, and that is the lack of incentive that blockchain companies have to succeed. In the case of a traditional startup, founders receive a small pot of money and scramble ferociously to build a product and raise more cash to keep going. Meanwhile, a board of experienced investors guides their progress—and can pull the plug if that progress is too slow.
Contrast that with founders who conduct an initial coin offering. Suddenly, these founders are awash in gobs of money with few strings attached, leaving them under no particular pressure to follow through on their plans. Even those who launch blockchain companies with the best intentions (they are likely in the minority) will struggle to stay motivated. Why toil over blockchain code all day when you can travel the world enjoying your millions?
This does not mean that every blockchain company that sold tokens is doomed. There are bright spots in the token economy, including Tezos, which raised over $200 million in 2017 and, despite early controversies, has built a popular network for smart contracts. Meanwhile, it’s not too late for Filecoin to turn it around and dazzle the world with a product—but it had better get going soon.