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早早布局AI的财捷集团,为何沦为SaaS行业末日的牺牲品

Geoff Colvin
2026-04-22

率先布局人工智能,能否让企业在这一技术引发的市场恐慌中免受冲击?

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财捷集团(Intuit)首席执行官萨桑·古达尔齐(Sasan Goodarzi)率先布局人工智能。图片来源:Courtesy of Intuit

率先布局人工智能,能否让企业在这一技术引发的市场恐慌中免受冲击?

从财捷集团的经历来看,显然并非如此。这家以TurboTax和QuickBooks闻名的企业在今年年初沦为标普500指数中表现最差的股票。这家软件公司的命运迎来戏剧性反转:财捷集团是税务与个人财务软件领域的龙头企业,其股票是华尔街的“宠儿”,上市33年来,其股价表现大幅跑赢标普500指数。然而,1月和2月,即便正值报税季,财捷的股价仍因市场恐慌(所谓的SaaS行业末日)而遭遇重挫。投资者突然陷入恐慌,担心人工智能会颠覆各类软件公司。

对财捷集团首席执行官萨桑·古达尔齐而言,股价暴跌极具讽刺意味。他非但没有被人工智能浪潮打个措手不及,反而率先布局该技术。早在大多数首席执行官布局人工智能之前,他就已将其确立为公司的核心战略,将其视为强大工具,而非竞争对手。2020年,他在接受《财富》杂志采访时表示:“未来五到十年内,人工智能的影响力无疑将堪比电力与互联网。”

他绝非纸上谈兵:同年,古达尔齐推动了财捷集团史上前所未有的人员调整,裁减715名员工,同时招聘了约700名新员工,以推动公司全面部署人工智能。通过采取上述举措,财捷集团成为人工智能时代前沿商业模式的标杆企业,生动诠释了如何在全力投资人工智能的同时,全力投资人才。许多人将该公司的实践视为人工智能未来发展的风向标。

在“SaaS行业末日”期间,这种声誉没能为财捷提供任何保护:事实上,财捷是投资者抛售最猛烈的个股。“年初的六周时间里,我们股票的抛售幅度甚至超过了其他同行,原因是此前我们的股价表现远优于同行。”古达尔齐表示。股价暴跌之际,财捷无法充分回应投资者,因为公司财季将于1月底结束,必须遵守常规的静默期规定。

截至本文发稿时,财捷股价已有所反弹,但仍远低于2025年末水平。许多投资者仍然认为,OpenAI、谷歌Gemini、Anthropic、Perplexity等头部人工智能企业碾压所有软件服务提供商只是时间问题。

古达尔齐表示,财捷集团的战略不仅依托人工智能,还深植于人际互动这一古老“魔法”。该战略已助力公司在过去五年实现两位数的年增长率,其核心在于“将软件与人融为一体”。

古达尔齐出生于德黑兰,九岁时被送往新泽西州的一所寄宿学校就读。他于2004年加入财捷并迅速晋升。任职期间,他负责管理公司两大核心业务——TurboTax和QuickBooks。时任首席执行官布拉德·史密斯(Brad Smith)在取得卓越成就后将企业交给古达尔齐时表示:“萨桑为接任首席执行官所做的准备,远比我11年前接任时要充分得多。”

在晋升过程中,古达尔齐形成了三大洞见,并以此为基石搭建了公司的整体战略,具体如下:

“人们不愿处理任何与金钱相关的事务,他们希望我们代劳。”对于消费者和中小企业主而言,错误的财务决策可能带来毁灭性的后果。大多数人都需要专业帮助来规避这些风险:他们不想成为财务专家,而是希望专注于自身生活和企业经营。

“在我们所处的行业,客户在专家服务(税务专家、会计专家、簿记员、审计师)上的支出是软件费用的7倍。”客户认可财捷集团的软件,但认为这还不够。财捷集团基于软件的战略并未触及真正能带来收益的领域。客户还需要专家服务,而这类需求此前只能依靠他们自行解决。

“人们购买的不是软件,而是信心。”这就是人们愿意为专家服务支付高昂费用的原因:对许多客户而言,没有专业人士把关,就无法真正安心。

基于此,财捷集团制定了如下战略:除了利用人工智能升级软件、优化运营外,财捷集团还为客户提供不同价位的真人专业服务选项。这些专业人士均为美国本土从业者,包括注册会计师、簿记员、律师及其他领域专家,客户可通过在线聊天、电话,或单向视频(专家可看到客户,全程指导客户处理复杂事务)的方式获取服务。针对企业主,财捷集团甚至会安排专属簿记员提供支持。

为全面革新财捷集团战略,古达尔齐收购了两家公司:斥资80亿美元收购Credit Karma,将其海量的消费者信用数据与财捷的纳税人数据整合;斥资120亿美元收购Mailchimp,帮助QuickBooks用户通过线上营销拓展业务。这两笔交易是财捷史上规模最大的并购,几乎使公司的投入资本翻了两番——这在资本市场通常被视为危险信号。财捷集团的业绩却有所提升。“他们成功消化了这些收购标的,充分释放其价值,并实现业务整合,这一点相当令人赞叹。”企业财务权威专家贝内特·斯图尔特(Bennett Stewart)评价道,谈及古达尔齐时,他表示:“他做得非常出色。”

然而,即便采取了这些举措,财捷集团仍未能在SaaS行业末日中幸免。如今,古达尔齐的任务是持续聚焦业务本身,这意味着要抛开股价波动,直面引发这场抛售潮的恐慌——头部人工智能企业将吞并所有软件厂商。

“这场大规模技术变革带来的核心问题是,谁将掌控客户交互层?”他表示,“最终是否会由谷歌Gemini、Anthropic、OpenAI等少数几家公司主导?”他决心阻止这种情况发生。作为人工智能技术的重度使用者,财捷集团已与OpenAI和Anthropic达成合作,古达尔齐称:“合同中明确规定,客户体验与客户关系归我们所有。”

投资者仍持谨慎态度。但从财务指标来看,财捷集团表现良好,绝大多数华尔街分析师给予其“买入”或“强力买入”评级。

未来几年,市场将见证财捷集团这一开创性“人工智能+人工服务”实验的成效。无论结果如何,萨桑·古达尔齐都将为此负责。(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

率先布局人工智能,能否让企业在这一技术引发的市场恐慌中免受冲击?

从财捷集团的经历来看,显然并非如此。这家以TurboTax和QuickBooks闻名的企业在今年年初沦为标普500指数中表现最差的股票。这家软件公司的命运迎来戏剧性反转:财捷集团是税务与个人财务软件领域的龙头企业,其股票是华尔街的“宠儿”,上市33年来,其股价表现大幅跑赢标普500指数。然而,1月和2月,即便正值报税季,财捷的股价仍因市场恐慌(所谓的SaaS行业末日)而遭遇重挫。投资者突然陷入恐慌,担心人工智能会颠覆各类软件公司。

对财捷集团首席执行官萨桑·古达尔齐而言,股价暴跌极具讽刺意味。他非但没有被人工智能浪潮打个措手不及,反而率先布局该技术。早在大多数首席执行官布局人工智能之前,他就已将其确立为公司的核心战略,将其视为强大工具,而非竞争对手。2020年,他在接受《财富》杂志采访时表示:“未来五到十年内,人工智能的影响力无疑将堪比电力与互联网。”

他绝非纸上谈兵:同年,古达尔齐推动了财捷集团史上前所未有的人员调整,裁减715名员工,同时招聘了约700名新员工,以推动公司全面部署人工智能。通过采取上述举措,财捷集团成为人工智能时代前沿商业模式的标杆企业,生动诠释了如何在全力投资人工智能的同时,全力投资人才。许多人将该公司的实践视为人工智能未来发展的风向标。

在“SaaS行业末日”期间,这种声誉没能为财捷提供任何保护:事实上,财捷是投资者抛售最猛烈的个股。“年初的六周时间里,我们股票的抛售幅度甚至超过了其他同行,原因是此前我们的股价表现远优于同行。”古达尔齐表示。股价暴跌之际,财捷无法充分回应投资者,因为公司财季将于1月底结束,必须遵守常规的静默期规定。

截至本文发稿时,财捷股价已有所反弹,但仍远低于2025年末水平。许多投资者仍然认为,OpenAI、谷歌Gemini、Anthropic、Perplexity等头部人工智能企业碾压所有软件服务提供商只是时间问题。

古达尔齐表示,财捷集团的战略不仅依托人工智能,还深植于人际互动这一古老“魔法”。该战略已助力公司在过去五年实现两位数的年增长率,其核心在于“将软件与人融为一体”。

古达尔齐出生于德黑兰,九岁时被送往新泽西州的一所寄宿学校就读。他于2004年加入财捷并迅速晋升。任职期间,他负责管理公司两大核心业务——TurboTax和QuickBooks。时任首席执行官布拉德·史密斯(Brad Smith)在取得卓越成就后将企业交给古达尔齐时表示:“萨桑为接任首席执行官所做的准备,远比我11年前接任时要充分得多。”

在晋升过程中,古达尔齐形成了三大洞见,并以此为基石搭建了公司的整体战略,具体如下:

“人们不愿处理任何与金钱相关的事务,他们希望我们代劳。”对于消费者和中小企业主而言,错误的财务决策可能带来毁灭性的后果。大多数人都需要专业帮助来规避这些风险:他们不想成为财务专家,而是希望专注于自身生活和企业经营。

“在我们所处的行业,客户在专家服务(税务专家、会计专家、簿记员、审计师)上的支出是软件费用的7倍。”客户认可财捷集团的软件,但认为这还不够。财捷集团基于软件的战略并未触及真正能带来收益的领域。客户还需要专家服务,而这类需求此前只能依靠他们自行解决。

“人们购买的不是软件,而是信心。”这就是人们愿意为专家服务支付高昂费用的原因:对许多客户而言,没有专业人士把关,就无法真正安心。

基于此,财捷集团制定了如下战略:除了利用人工智能升级软件、优化运营外,财捷集团还为客户提供不同价位的真人专业服务选项。这些专业人士均为美国本土从业者,包括注册会计师、簿记员、律师及其他领域专家,客户可通过在线聊天、电话,或单向视频(专家可看到客户,全程指导客户处理复杂事务)的方式获取服务。针对企业主,财捷集团甚至会安排专属簿记员提供支持。

为全面革新财捷集团战略,古达尔齐收购了两家公司:斥资80亿美元收购Credit Karma,将其海量的消费者信用数据与财捷的纳税人数据整合;斥资120亿美元收购Mailchimp,帮助QuickBooks用户通过线上营销拓展业务。这两笔交易是财捷史上规模最大的并购,几乎使公司的投入资本翻了两番——这在资本市场通常被视为危险信号。财捷集团的业绩却有所提升。“他们成功消化了这些收购标的,充分释放其价值,并实现业务整合,这一点相当令人赞叹。”企业财务权威专家贝内特·斯图尔特(Bennett Stewart)评价道,谈及古达尔齐时,他表示:“他做得非常出色。”

然而,即便采取了这些举措,财捷集团仍未能在SaaS行业末日中幸免。如今,古达尔齐的任务是持续聚焦业务本身,这意味着要抛开股价波动,直面引发这场抛售潮的恐慌——头部人工智能企业将吞并所有软件厂商。

“这场大规模技术变革带来的核心问题是,谁将掌控客户交互层?”他表示,“最终是否会由谷歌Gemini、Anthropic、OpenAI等少数几家公司主导?”他决心阻止这种情况发生。作为人工智能技术的重度使用者,财捷集团已与OpenAI和Anthropic达成合作,古达尔齐称:“合同中明确规定,客户体验与客户关系归我们所有。”

投资者仍持谨慎态度。但从财务指标来看,财捷集团表现良好,绝大多数华尔街分析师给予其“买入”或“强力买入”评级。

未来几年,市场将见证财捷集团这一开创性“人工智能+人工服务”实验的成效。无论结果如何,萨桑·古达尔齐都将为此负责。(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

Does being an early adopter to AI protect a company in an AI-induced market panic?

Apparently not, based on the experience of Intuit, best known for TurboTax and QuickBooks—and the worst performing stock in the S&P 500 as this year opened. It was a twist in fate for the software company: Intuit is a big name in tax and personal accounting software, and its stock is Wall Street royalty, smashing the S&P Index over the company’s 33 years as a publicly traded company. But in January and February, even as tax preparation season began, it took a drubbing in a market scare—the so-called SaaSpocalypse. Investors were suddenly gripped with the fear that AI would annihilate software companies of every kind.

For Intuit CEO Sasan Goodarzi, the stock’s plunge was painfully ironic. Far from being caught off guard by AI, he was an early AI adopter. Years before most CEOs, he made AI a centerpiece of his company’s strategy, seeing it as a powerful tool, not a competitor. He told Fortune in 2020: “In five to ten years, undisputed, it will be as powerful as the impact of electricity and the internet.”

And he didn’t just talk the talk: That same year, Goodarzi laid off 715 employees—unprecedented at Intuit—and hired some 700 new employees who could advance AI throughout the company. Those moves made Intuit a leading-edge business model in the AI era—a high-profile example of how to go all-in on AI and simultaneously all-in on humans. The company’s example was seen by many as a portent of the AI future.

That reputation offered little protection during the SaaSpocalypse: Indeed, Intuit was the stock investors hammered most ferociously. “We got sold even more [than others] in the first six weeks of the year because we were trading so much better than our peer companies,” Goodarzi says. As the stock plunged, Intuit couldn’t fully respond to investors because a company quarter was closing at the end of January, so it had to observe the normal silent period.

Intuit’s stock price has rebounded partially to around $350 at publication time, with a valuation of shy of $100 billion—nowhere near its 2025 year-end level and less than half its all-time high of just over $220 billion, reached last summer. Many investors still think it’s only a matter of time until the major AI companies—OpenAI, Google Gemini, Anthropic, Perplexity—steamroll all companies that sell software-based services.

Intuit’s strategy, which has delivered double-digit annual growth over the past five years, is built not just on AI, but also on the ancient, deep-seated magic of human interaction, Goodarzi says: It has “combined software and people into one.”

Born in Tehran and sent to a New Jersey boarding school at age nine, Goodarzi joined Intuit in 2004 and rose quickly. Along the way, he was put in charge of the company’s biggest businesses, TurboTax and QuickBooks. When CEO Brad Smith handed off the job to him after his own highly successful run, he said, “Sasan is better prepared to be CEO than I was 11 years ago.”

On his way up, Goodarzi had three insights that formed his strategy as CEO. They are:

“People don’t want to do anything that has to do with their money. They want us to do it for them.” For consumers and owners of small and medium businesses, wrong financial decisions can be ruinously expensive. Most people need help avoiding these: They don’t want to be finance experts; they want to focus on their lives and running their businesses.

“In our category, the spend on experts—tax experts, accounting experts, bookkeepers, auditors—is 7x what it is on software.” The company’s customers liked Intuit software but didn’t think it was enough. Intuit’s software-based strategy wasn’t playing where the real money is. They also needed experts, whom they had to find by themselves.

“People don’t buy software. They buy confidence.” That’s why people were spending so much money on experts: Many customers weren’t fully confident without a human in the picture.

Thus the strategy: In addition to using AI to upgrade the company’s software and improve operations, Intuit offered customers the option of bringing humans into the picture, at a range of price points. Those humans are live, U.S.-based professionals including CPAs, bookkeepers, lawyers, and other experts who are available via on-screen chat and phone, or one-way video in which experts see customers and guide them through complex scenarios. For business owners, Intuit will even arrange a dedicated bookkeeper.

For Goodarzi to complete his overhaul of Intuit’s strategy, he bought two companies: Credit Karma, for its enormous cache of consumer credit data to combine with Intuit’s taxpayer data, at $8 billion; and Mailchimp, to help QuickBook users build their businesses through online marketing, for $12 billion. Those acquisitions were Intuit’s most expensive by far, almost quadrupling the capital invested in the company—often a red flag. Yet Intuit’s performance improved. “They’ve been able to digest those acquisitions, put them to work, integrate them—that was quite impressive,” says Bennett Stewart, a corporate finance authority. Of Goodarzi he said, “He’s doing a very good job.”

Still, those moves were not enough for the SaaSpocalypse to spare Intuit. Goodarzi’s job now is to stay focused on the business, which means pushing past the stock price and confronting the fear that ignited the sell-off—that the leading AI companies will eat software makers.

“The big question with this massive technological transformation is, who will own the customer interaction layer?” he says. “Is it going to come down to a few companies like Google Gemini, Anthropic, Open AI?” He is intent on preventing that from happening. Intuit, as a heavy user of AI, has made deals with Open AI and Anthropic, and “it’s in the contract,” Goodarzi says, “we own the customer experience and the customer relationship.”

Investors remain leery. But Intuit is performing well by financial measures, and Wall Street analysts overwhelmingly rate it “buy” or “strong buy.”

The next few years will show the results of Intuit’s pioneering AI-plus-humans experiment. Whatever happens, Sasan Goodarzi owns it.

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