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专栏 - 从华尔街到硅谷

爆料人详解Mt. Gox文件泄密事件内幕

Dan Primack 2014年02月28日

Dan Primack专注于报道交易和交易撮合者,从美国金融业到风险投资业均有涉及。此前,Dan是汤森路透(Thomson Reuters)的自由编辑,推出了peHUB.com和peHUB Wire邮件服务。作为一名新闻工作者,Dan还曾在美国马萨诸塞州罗克斯伯里经营一份社区报纸。目前他居住在波士顿附近。
雷恩•希尔基斯踢爆了比特币交易平台Mt. Gox大量比特币被盗的丑闻。他从哪儿得到的风声?他怎么判定消息是否准确?他这么做背后有什么动机?

    您能否详细说说收到Mt. Gox相关文件的情况,以及您是如何确信它们都是合法的?

    泄露的文件来自一个可靠的消息人士,他在业内人脉广泛。这些文件能很好地支持我周末收集的大量间接证据。就在几个小时内,有四个独立的高质量消息人士向我证实,泄露文件中的数字是可靠的。其中一个关键人物是公司的内部员工,我知道他可以直接接触Mt. Gox的首席执行官马克•卡佩雷斯。实际上就在我们浏览这些文件的时候,他就在给卡佩雷斯发短信,后者则确认了这些数字,同时表示这份文件“可能是真的”。看起来这份文件可能出自一个潜在的投资者之手,而不是公司自己,这也意味着背后可能有更多内幕。

    您在博文里表示,这次泄密对比特币来说可能是“大祸临头”。为什么这么说?

    首先,美国最终会在国际上就如何监管比特币定调。迄今为止,监管层和立法者始终对此态度十分谨慎。即便是“丝绸之路”(Silk Road,建立在TOR 隐藏服务上的,以Bitcoin作为交易货币的黑市交易网站——译注)丑闻损害了比特币的形象,但它也强化了这样一个事实,即在比特币领域不法交易是可以追踪的。而Mt. Gox事件对比特币形象造成的是另一种损害。即使Mt. Gox只是一个交易平台,这个丑闻的性质也更恶劣。据称,这次偷窃行为足有两年未被发觉,它所盗取的比特币是流通总量的6%,给投资者造成了1亿多美元的损失。更有甚者,我所披露的文件表明,Mt. Gox和那些准备无限期隐瞒这些损失的投资者正展开进一步探讨。没人会在乎一家贩毒网站的版主什么时候被抓的,也没人在乎他的比特币丢了。不过当它影响到主要投资者时,那就是另一码事了。我认为,希望监管层最终不会出台严厉而力度极大的监管措施这种想法未免太天真了。

    披露Gox这些文件时,您还表示自己已经卖空了所有比特币。这算是一种过度反应吗?

    我在伦理上处于进退两难的境地。我的大量流动净资产都是和比特币捆绑在一起的,因为我对这项技术的潜力深信不疑。但确实会发生非常负面的事件,它们可能会毁掉作为货币的比特币。曝光这件事后,我认为继续交易比特币已经不合适了。觉得自己要么全部持有,要么卖空。如果我的账户被清空,那我就没什么钱赖以为生了。所以我最后决定为了保证资金安全,卖光所有比特币。不过我也表示过,至少三十天内我不会回购,以避免给市场留下我是在利用非理性的恐惧大发横财的印象。从法律上说,我完全可以不表态。但我希望做到公开透明,我的读者也能尽快像我一样利用好这些情况。

    您认为Mt. Gox事件的真正内幕是什么?

    它至少像是一次疯狂的过失犯罪。我还在深挖这件事,也会继续发文向大家爆料。(财富中文网)

    译者:清远

    

    Can you walk me through your receipt of the Mt. Gox documents, and how you became convinced they were legit?

    The leaked documents came from a reliable source who is well connected in the industry, and they supported a ton of circumstantial evidence that I had been gathering over the weekend. Within several hours I had four separate high-quality sources confirming that the numbers in the leaked document were legitimate. The clincher was one insider in particular who I know to have direct access to Mt. Gox CEO Mark Karpeles. That source literally messaged with Karpeles while we were going through the document, who confirmed the numbers and said that the document was "probably authentic." It looks like it may have come from a prospective investor, not the company itself, which means there may be more to the story.

    You wrote that you thought the reveal could be "catastrophic" for bitcoin. Why?

    First of all, the U.S. will ultimately set the tone internationally for how bitcoin gets regulated. So far regulators and legislators have tread lightly. Even though the Silk Road scandal was bad for bitcoin's image, it also reinforced the fact that there are ways to track nefarious transactions in bitcoin. Mt. Gox is a different kind of bad for bitcoin's image. Even though Mt. Gox is just one exchange, the scandal is worse. This theft allegedly went unnoticed for two years, it represents 6% of all bitcoins in circulation and it accounts for over $100 million in investor losses. On top of that, the document I leaked suggests Mt. Gox was in advanced discussions with other investor(s) who planned to hide these losses indefinitely. Nobody cares when the moderators of a drug dealing website get arrested and lose their bitcoins. But when it affects mainstream investors, it seems different. I think it's naive to hope regulators won't ultimately come out with pretty tight and expensive regulations.

    In revealing the Gox documents, you also said that you'd sold all of your bitcoin. Was that an overreaction?

    I was between a rock and a hard place ethically. I have a ton of my liquid net worth tied up in bitcoin because I believe so strongly in its potential as a technology. But there are certain massively negative events that could destroy bitcoin, the currency. I didn't think it was appropriate to continue trading after breaking this story, and felt I had to hold or sell everything. If my account was wiped out, I'd have very little left to live on, so I decided to sell everything to be safe. However, I also said that I wouldn't buy back in for at least 30 days, to avoid giving the impression that I was preying on irrational fear. Legally, I didn't have to say a word. But I wanted to be transparent, and my readers were able to trade on the info as soon as I did.

    What do you think really happened at Mt. Gox?

    At the very least, it looks like criminal negligence of insane proportions. I'm still working on the story, so will keep you posted.

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