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芯片业迎来绿色革命,但短期内没有让脆弱的半导体生态系统可持续发展的良方

RAKESH KUMAR
2023-12-29

政府和半导体公司现在必须慎重思考如何改善芯片的可持续性。

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半导体供应链正在发生变化,但半导体工艺的成熟耗费了数年时间。图片来源:ROBERT MICHAEL - PICTURE ALLIANCE - GETTY IMAGES

半导体的可持续性再次引起关注。近几年,主张提高芯片生产和使用的可持续性的呼声越来越高。2022年,第27届联合国气候变化大会(COP27)上成立了半导体气候联盟(Semiconductor Climate Consortium),60个创始成员承诺到2050年将排放量减少至0%。

芯片成为目标不难理解。毕竟芯片已经无处不在,而且芯片的数量和使用会持续增长。复杂的芯片供应链,从提取原材料到成品运输,到生产过程中的加工、加热和制冷,再到产品回收,大多数阶段都会产生大量排放。

众所周知,制造芯片的基本材料硅,需在熔炉中燃烧煤炭和木屑混合物,用沙子或石英加工而成。芯片行业需要大量能源和水,而且需求还在持续增长。先进的3纳米芯片的生产过程每年可能消耗约80亿千瓦时能源。在某些情况下,芯片生产会对社区产生无形的影响。全球最大芯片制造商台积电(TSMC)消耗了中国台湾6%的电力和10%的水,导致台湾出现了供水短缺。 在美国湾区,该行业造成的污染已经使许多地区变成了毒区。

尽管如此,政府和半导体公司现在必须慎重思考如何改善芯片的可持续性。我们刚刚经历的一次芯片荒,导致经济陷入困境。芯片荒也让人们开始关注增加芯片产量和芯片生产本地化可能带来的经济和国家安全效益。美国今年早些时候颁布的《芯片与科学法案》(CHIPS and Science Act)掀起了加大芯片生产的势头,而解决可持续性问题绝对不能减慢这种势头。

解决这个问题的成本并没有人们想象的那么高。目前大多数人关注的是排放,但芯片行业所产生的排放,仅占全球二氧化碳排放当量的0.1%至0.2%。考虑到芯片生产对经济的巨大影响,这个比例并不高。

芯片是智能电网、可再生能源转型、智能和电气化交通、低碳足迹物流和供应链、视频会议、智能农业、药物研发和节能生产等领域的关键支持因素,这些领域均有助于实现全球可持续发展目标。芯片的经济影响也有助于提高可持续技术的采用率。可以说,尽管芯片会产生排放,而且能源和水需求庞大,但芯片会带来积极的端对端可持续性影响。

当前以谨慎的方式实现芯片可持续性意味着什么?

传统的监管方式可能导致在拨付《芯片法案》的资金之前,每个新芯片生产项目都需要根据《国家环境政策法案》(National Environmental Policy Act,NEPA)进行环境评估。它也可能允许个人在每个环节提起诉讼。然而,这会在注重成本和瞬息万变的芯片行业,导致长达数年的延误。《芯片法案》的关键目的是超越经济和地缘政治竞争对手,保证芯片供应,而这些延误(环境评估平均需要四年时间)和相应的项目成本增加,可能让这个目的无法实现。相反,应该允许一次性例外,从而加快开始晶圆厂施工和升级,避免延误。

有人可能认为,这种“免费通行证”可能是危险的,会开创坏的先例。然而,芯片行业在目标设定和自我监管方面做得很好。目前台积电将2%的年收入投资到绿色倡议,并将其使用的85%的水循环再利用。英特尔(Intel)80%的运营使用可再生能源,而且其在美国、印度和哥斯达黎加生产的淡水超过了其消耗量。三星(Samsung)一半以上的用水会被重复使用。芯片生产的能源和水强度快速下降。可再生能源的使用则在持续增多。新设备和工艺的能源效率大幅提高。

芯片行业之所以能有这么大的改变,一个关键原因是将提高可持续性与行业的经济目标保持一致。减少能源、燃气和水需求,可以降低成本,使芯片厂商能够灵活地选择地理位置。芯片厂商的利润率足以吸纳短期成本。而且他们的客户通常需要实现可持续性目标。

除了在《国家环境政策法案》下的一次性例外,监管者还应该灵活考虑芯片行业表现不佳的指标。芯片生产工艺经过数十年的发展和完善。将生产工艺中的任何部分替换成更可持续的替代品,需要大量研发投资,但却无法保证最终可以取得成功。

同样,今天的半导体供应链在效率和成本方面已经高度优化。供应链的不同环节为了符合可持续性指标而草率搬迁,可能影响成本和竞争力。对于棕地芯片生产,尤其要灵活应对。改造生产低利润率芯片的旧晶圆厂(或更换工具、设施和工艺)的成本,可能导致这些晶圆厂失去竞争力。对芯片安全的担忧正在引起现有供应链重组。这个过程必须慎重,保证合规负担不会导致供应链不可靠或失去竞争力。

芯片行业必须持续发展——无论经济安全还是国家安全都离不开芯片。但发展的过程也必须是可持续的。该行业目前处在一个关键转折点,因此灵活和务实至关重要。(财富中文网)

本文作者拉凯什·库玛尔现任伊利诺伊大学(University of Illinois)电子与计算机工程系教授,并著有《勉强的技术爱好者:印度与科技的复杂关系》(Reluctant Technophiles: India’s Complicated Relationship with Technology)一书。

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

半导体的可持续性再次引起关注。近几年,主张提高芯片生产和使用的可持续性的呼声越来越高。2022年,第27届联合国气候变化大会(COP27)上成立了半导体气候联盟(Semiconductor Climate Consortium),60个创始成员承诺到2050年将排放量减少至0%。

芯片成为目标不难理解。毕竟芯片已经无处不在,而且芯片的数量和使用会持续增长。复杂的芯片供应链,从提取原材料到成品运输,到生产过程中的加工、加热和制冷,再到产品回收,大多数阶段都会产生大量排放。

众所周知,制造芯片的基本材料硅,需在熔炉中燃烧煤炭和木屑混合物,用沙子或石英加工而成。芯片行业需要大量能源和水,而且需求还在持续增长。先进的3纳米芯片的生产过程每年可能消耗约80亿千瓦时能源。在某些情况下,芯片生产会对社区产生无形的影响。全球最大芯片制造商台积电(TSMC)消耗了中国台湾6%的电力和10%的水,导致台湾出现了供水短缺。 在美国湾区,该行业造成的污染已经使许多地区变成了毒区。

尽管如此,政府和半导体公司现在必须慎重思考如何改善芯片的可持续性。我们刚刚经历的一次芯片荒,导致经济陷入困境。芯片荒也让人们开始关注增加芯片产量和芯片生产本地化可能带来的经济和国家安全效益。美国今年早些时候颁布的《芯片与科学法案》(CHIPS and Science Act)掀起了加大芯片生产的势头,而解决可持续性问题绝对不能减慢这种势头。

解决这个问题的成本并没有人们想象的那么高。目前大多数人关注的是排放,但芯片行业所产生的排放,仅占全球二氧化碳排放当量的0.1%至0.2%。考虑到芯片生产对经济的巨大影响,这个比例并不高。

芯片是智能电网、可再生能源转型、智能和电气化交通、低碳足迹物流和供应链、视频会议、智能农业、药物研发和节能生产等领域的关键支持因素,这些领域均有助于实现全球可持续发展目标。芯片的经济影响也有助于提高可持续技术的采用率。可以说,尽管芯片会产生排放,而且能源和水需求庞大,但芯片会带来积极的端对端可持续性影响。

当前以谨慎的方式实现芯片可持续性意味着什么?

传统的监管方式可能导致在拨付《芯片法案》的资金之前,每个新芯片生产项目都需要根据《国家环境政策法案》(National Environmental Policy Act,NEPA)进行环境评估。它也可能允许个人在每个环节提起诉讼。然而,这会在注重成本和瞬息万变的芯片行业,导致长达数年的延误。《芯片法案》的关键目的是超越经济和地缘政治竞争对手,保证芯片供应,而这些延误(环境评估平均需要四年时间)和相应的项目成本增加,可能让这个目的无法实现。相反,应该允许一次性例外,从而加快开始晶圆厂施工和升级,避免延误。

有人可能认为,这种“免费通行证”可能是危险的,会开创坏的先例。然而,芯片行业在目标设定和自我监管方面做得很好。目前台积电将2%的年收入投资到绿色倡议,并将其使用的85%的水循环再利用。英特尔(Intel)80%的运营使用可再生能源,而且其在美国、印度和哥斯达黎加生产的淡水超过了其消耗量。三星(Samsung)一半以上的用水会被重复使用。芯片生产的能源和水强度快速下降。可再生能源的使用则在持续增多。新设备和工艺的能源效率大幅提高。

芯片行业之所以能有这么大的改变,一个关键原因是将提高可持续性与行业的经济目标保持一致。减少能源、燃气和水需求,可以降低成本,使芯片厂商能够灵活地选择地理位置。芯片厂商的利润率足以吸纳短期成本。而且他们的客户通常需要实现可持续性目标。

除了在《国家环境政策法案》下的一次性例外,监管者还应该灵活考虑芯片行业表现不佳的指标。芯片生产工艺经过数十年的发展和完善。将生产工艺中的任何部分替换成更可持续的替代品,需要大量研发投资,但却无法保证最终可以取得成功。

同样,今天的半导体供应链在效率和成本方面已经高度优化。供应链的不同环节为了符合可持续性指标而草率搬迁,可能影响成本和竞争力。对于棕地芯片生产,尤其要灵活应对。改造生产低利润率芯片的旧晶圆厂(或更换工具、设施和工艺)的成本,可能导致这些晶圆厂失去竞争力。对芯片安全的担忧正在引起现有供应链重组。这个过程必须慎重,保证合规负担不会导致供应链不可靠或失去竞争力。

芯片行业必须持续发展——无论经济安全还是国家安全都离不开芯片。但发展的过程也必须是可持续的。该行业目前处在一个关键转折点,因此灵活和务实至关重要。(财富中文网)

本文作者拉凯什·库玛尔现任伊利诺伊大学(University of Illinois)电子与计算机工程系教授,并著有《勉强的技术爱好者:印度与科技的复杂关系》(Reluctant Technophiles: India’s Complicated Relationship with Technology)一书。

翻译:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

There is renewed attention on the sustainability of semiconductors. Chorus has been building in recent years to improve the sustainability of chip manufacturing and usage. In 2022, COP27 saw the creation of a Semiconductor Climate Consortium with 60 founding members pledging to reduce emissions to 0% by 2050.

It is understandable why chips would be a target. They are ubiquitous and their number and usage will just keep increasing. Most stages of their complex supply chain–from the extraction of raw materials to transportation of finished goods to the processing, heating, and cooling required in production, to recycling–produce significant emissions.

Silicon, the basic material used to build chips, is famously created in furnaces from sand or quartz by burning a mixture of coal and wood chips. Energy and water needs for the industry to function are high–and keep increasing. The manufacturing of advanced 3nm chips may consume almost 8 billion kilowatt-hours annually. In some cases, the impact on communities has been visible. TSMC, the world’s largest chip manufacturer, consumes 6% of Taiwan’s electricity and 10% of its water, leading to water shortages. And the industry’s contaminants in the Bay Area have rendered a number of sites toxic.

Despite this, governments and semiconductor companies must be careful about how they approach chip sustainability at this time. We just went through a chip shortage that brought the economies to their knees. The shortage also brought to the fore the potential economic and national security benefits of increasing and localizing chip production. The CHIPS and Science Act passed earlier this year in the U.S. has generated momentum behind chip manufacturing–and sustainability issues must be addressed in a way that does not slow this momentum.

This won’t have as much cost as one may imagine. Most of the current focus is on emissions–and the chip industry produces only 0.1 to 0.2% of global carbon dioxide equivalent emissions. This is small when considering the outsized economic impact they produce.

Chips serve as key enablers for smart grids, the transition to renewables, intelligent and electric transportation, low carbon footprint logistics and supply chains, video conferencing, smart agriculture, drug discovery, and energy-efficient manufacturing, each helping make progress toward global sustainability goals. The economic impact of chips also helps greater adoption of sustainable technologies. One could argue that the end-to-end sustainability impact of chips is likely positive–despite their emissions and large energy and water needs.

What does a careful approach to chip sustainability mean today?

A conventional regulatory approach may lead to a National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)-triggered environmental review for each new chip production project before CHIPS Act funds can be disbursed. It may also allow litigation by private citizens at each step of the process. However, this may introduce multi-year delays in a cost-conscious and fast-moving industry. These delays (environmental reviews take more than four years, on average) and the corresponding increase in project costs may defeat the key purpose of the act–outpacing economic and geopolitical competitors and securing chip supplies. Instead, one-time exceptions should be made that will allow fab constructions and upgrades to start with little delay.

One could argue that this “free pass” may both be dangerous and set a bad precedent. However, the chip industry has done well with goal setting and self-regulation. TSMC now invests 2% of its annual revenue in green initiatives and recycles over 85% of the water it uses. Intel uses renewable energy for over 80% of its operations and produces more fresh water than it consumes in the US, India, and Costa Rica. Samsung reuses over half of its water. Both the energy and water intensity of chip production have been decreasing fast. The use of renewable energy has been on the upswing. New equipment and processes are considerably more energy efficient.

One key reason why the chip industry has done so much is that improved sustainability aligns with their economic objectives. Reducing energy, gas, and water requirements reduces their costs and provides them flexibility in terms of location. Chipmakers have enough margins to absorb short-term costs. And their customers often require meeting sustainability targets.

In addition to one-time NEPA exceptions, regulators should be flexible when considering metrics on which the industry has not done well. Chip production processes have been developed and perfected over decades. Replacing parts of the process with their more sustainable counterparts would require large investments into research and development with no guarantees of success.

Similarly, today’s semiconductor supply chains are extremely optimized for efficiency and cost. A careless relocation of supply chain components simply to meet sustainability metrics can impact cost and competitiveness. Special flexibility should be shown with brownfield chip production. The cost of retrofitting older fabs (or replacing their tools, facilities, and processes) that mostly produce low-margin chips may render these fabs uncompetitive. Chip security concerns are causing a restructuring of existing supply chains. Care must be taken that the compliance burden does not produce unreliable or uncompetitive supply chains.

The chip industry must grow–economic and national security demands it. It is also necessary for this growth to be sustainable. Since the industry is at an inflection point, it will be important to be flexible and pragmatic.

Rakesh Kumar is a professor in the Electrical and Computer Engineering department at the University of Illinois and the author of Reluctant Technophiles: India’s Complicated Relationship with Technology.

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