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写字楼改住宅可能有助于缓解住房存量不足,但并非易事

SYDNEY LAKE
2023-08-30

住房存量不足加上写字楼供过于求,导致开发商开始质疑如何重新规划商业空间。

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据戴德梁行(Cushman & Wakefield)称,由于远程办公和混合办公模式,到下一个十年,美国可能会有多达3.3亿平方英尺(0.31亿平方米)的办公空间空置。图片来源:GETTY IMAGES

人们对完全面对面工作能否恢复到疫情前水平的预期很低,这反过来又降低了面对面工作空间的需求。事实上,根据全球房地产公司戴德梁行在2023年初发布的一份报告,由于远程办公和混合办公模式,到下一个十年,美国可能会有多达3.3亿平方英尺的办公空间空置。此外,戴德梁行的数据显示,到2030年,将有7.4亿平方英尺(0.69亿平方米)的办公空间因“自然原因”而空置,闲置办公空间累计将达到约10亿平方英尺(0.93亿平方米)。

与此同时,美国的住房建设仍然不足。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)的数据显示,美国“结构性短缺”约200万套住房。这是保守估计。当摩根士丹利的研究人员作出“激进”假设时,他们计算出美国住房建设不足达到了惊人的600万套。

住房存量不足加上写字楼供过于求,导致开发商开始质疑如何重新规划商业空间。但是,写字楼改住宅项目能否真正成为一种既经济又快捷的方式,来提供更多的住房单元呢?

房地产开发商、房地产技术公司Form Developers的联合创始人鲍比·菲扬大约十年前就开始涉足写字楼改住宅领域。其中一个项目是将费城市中心一栋20世纪20年代的装饰艺术风格写字楼改成200套住宅单元,打破了该市当时的租金纪录。

他在接受《财富》杂志采访时表示:“历史性建筑改建的表现远远超出了它们应有的水平。改建成本与新建成本大致相同。只是速度稍快而已。”利用他在楼层规划、公寓开发和物业技术方面的专业知识,菲扬继续在美国各地寻求写字楼改住宅项目。

《财富》杂志采访了菲扬,详细了解了写字楼改住宅的过程,以及这是不是一种可行的替代方案。为了便于理解,本文略有删减。

写字楼改住宅项目需要满足哪些条件?

在任何类型的改建中,都有几种不同的情况。其中之一是购买房产,然后基本上买断所有租户的租约——我认为这是人们在考虑改建时需要认识到的关键部分之一。这不仅仅是满足基本条件的问题。

改建需要对所有建筑设施进行彻底改造——基本上,电气、暖通空调和管道系统都要改造。这在很大程度上与空间划分或空气流动(各独立空间)有关,而且显然,你需要规划新浴室的位置。你必须进行大量的拆除工作。改建和新建的成本差不多。只是速度稍快而已。

在费城的项目中,我们必须买下大楼,然后向租户支付一笔额外的费用,因为大楼必须空置。在大楼空置之前,你确实无法开始改建,因为很显然,大楼里的每个人都有权用水。在大楼全部空置之前,你无法开始真正的拆除工作。

联邦补贴如何促进写字楼改住宅项目?获得历史性建筑物相关税收抵免是否容易?

我认为这是非常有趣的,非常重要的一点,但在关于写字楼改住宅项目的讨论中却被忽略了。真正复杂的是,历史性建筑物相关税收抵免是由美国国家公园管理局(National Park Service)管理的,该管理局隶属于内政部(Department of the Interior)。这是一项旨在保护历史性建筑物的计划,极其复杂。

第一部分是建筑必须被列入或公认列入《国家历史名胜古迹名录》(National Register of Historic Places)。你可以说它是历史性建筑物,因为它是一座富丽堂皇的装饰艺术风格建筑,是由这个人建造的;你也可以说它是历史性建筑物,因为某个名人在这里上过学、住过,或者曾在重大历史事件中出现过。你必须向政府内部的自然保护机构提出申请。

这项福利适用于那些被列入《国家历史名胜古迹名录》的建筑。然后,你的建筑师会根据你要做的改动绘制完整的图纸。毋庸置疑,你要与历史顾问合作。

没有具体的指导方针,因为这更多地取决于改建目标。人们通常会认识到,你必须保留外墙的几乎所有东西。几乎不可能在外部添加任何东西。如果你要更换窗户或类似的东西,毋庸置疑,必须在可能的范围内使用与当时完全相同的材料。如果需要符合现代建筑标准,比如无障碍设施,那么可另行安排。

写字楼改住宅项目有什么好处?

政府规定,它是所谓合理费用的20%。这些费用包括建筑物附属物和支付给总承包商的费用。我认为估算这些费用的简便方法是,约四分之一的建筑成本可以进行抵免。美国国税局以直线折旧的方式来管理这项抵免。因此,如果你花费了4000万美元,而税收抵免额为1000万美元,这意味着你可以在五年内每年扣除200万美元。

通常情况下,你会引入税收抵免投资者——可能是保险公司,有时也可能是高净值个人,或是其他银行——希望获得这笔收入的人。他们先投入资金,然后通常以88美分到92美分不等的价格购买折旧或税收抵免。

历史性建筑物相关税收抵免的另一大优势是,如今的贷款环境虽然严峻,但如果你考虑到项目的整体资本堆栈,通常建筑贷款机构会贷出60%到70%的资金。在此基础上,允许使用税收抵免,可以让一些改建项目在开发商的现金资金上获得略高的杠杆。

后疫情时代更多地向远程或混合工作模式转变是否为这些类项目提供了更多的闲置办公空间?

新冠肺炎疫情后并没有出现巨大变化,部分原因是我之前提到的一些复杂因素。新业主仍然需要买断租约,并且仍然需要让大楼完全空置。

坦率地说,另一件复杂的事情是,我曾考察过一些符合条件的项目,但写字楼的基础价格下跌得太快,以至于项目的实际所有者无法真正控制。跌幅如此之大,以至于基本上所有贷款机构和股权合伙人都意识到,没有人会得到补偿。这使得交易变得非常复杂,因为存在大量不确定性。

在某些市场,我们是否有望看到更多写字楼改住宅项目?例如,波士顿最近推出了一项试点计划,为市中心闲置写字楼的改建提供税收优惠。

但这并非易事,因为这项优惠政策附带租金限制。你必须遵守包容性分区租金比例。我认为,房地产税收优惠的价值高于限制收入的价值。但是,总体而言,我觉得这一举措大有助益。

我联系了一位较大的开发商朋友(在全美开展业务),他说因为这是一个试点项目,而且有项目启动的最后期限,所以他们更倾向于认为——我想我也有同感——这可能只适用于那些即将启动的项目。这可能会促使一些项目开始实施,但由于这只是最初的试点项目,似乎还没有足够的时间来影响很多其他事情。如果扩大试点范围,情况可能会有所不同,但我认为你必须在2024年底之前开始施工,时间相当紧迫了。

写字楼改住宅项目租金会更高吗?

这很难说。我公司主要负责提供平面图数据。尽管我知道这是事实,但我没有办法明确地对一栋建筑进行分类(该建筑价值是否高)。

在任何市场中,表现最好的单元通常都是新建的,因为他们总是能设计出尽可能小的单元,这样每平方英尺的租金总是最高的。即使在迈阿密,周围很多高档建筑都是改建而成的,比如在南海滩。

这是一个极其复杂的问题。我个人喜欢投资那些历史悠久的建筑。比起现代建筑师的作品,我更信赖历经岁月沧桑的建筑物的设计和细节。(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

人们对完全面对面工作能否恢复到疫情前水平的预期很低,这反过来又降低了面对面工作空间的需求。事实上,根据全球房地产公司戴德梁行在2023年初发布的一份报告,由于远程办公和混合办公模式,到下一个十年,美国可能会有多达3.3亿平方英尺的办公空间空置。此外,戴德梁行的数据显示,到2030年,将有7.4亿平方英尺(0.69亿平方米)的办公空间因“自然原因”而空置,闲置办公空间累计将达到约10亿平方英尺(0.93亿平方米)。

与此同时,美国的住房建设仍然不足。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)的数据显示,美国“结构性短缺”约200万套住房。这是保守估计。当摩根士丹利的研究人员作出“激进”假设时,他们计算出美国住房建设不足达到了惊人的600万套。

住房存量不足加上写字楼供过于求,导致开发商开始质疑如何重新规划商业空间。但是,写字楼改住宅项目能否真正成为一种既经济又快捷的方式,来提供更多的住房单元呢?

房地产开发商、房地产技术公司Form Developers的联合创始人鲍比·菲扬大约十年前就开始涉足写字楼改住宅领域。其中一个项目是将费城市中心一栋20世纪20年代的装饰艺术风格写字楼改成200套住宅单元,打破了该市当时的租金纪录。

他在接受《财富》杂志采访时表示:“历史性建筑改建的表现远远超出了它们应有的水平。改建成本与新建成本大致相同。只是速度稍快而已。”利用他在楼层规划、公寓开发和物业技术方面的专业知识,菲扬继续在美国各地寻求写字楼改住宅项目。

《财富》杂志采访了菲扬,详细了解了写字楼改住宅的过程,以及这是不是一种可行的替代方案。为了便于理解,本文略有删减。

写字楼改住宅项目需要满足哪些条件?

在任何类型的改建中,都有几种不同的情况。其中之一是购买房产,然后基本上买断所有租户的租约——我认为这是人们在考虑改建时需要认识到的关键部分之一。这不仅仅是满足基本条件的问题。

改建需要对所有建筑设施进行彻底改造——基本上,电气、暖通空调和管道系统都要改造。这在很大程度上与空间划分或空气流动(各独立空间)有关,而且显然,你需要规划新浴室的位置。你必须进行大量的拆除工作。改建和新建的成本差不多。只是速度稍快而已。

在费城的项目中,我们必须买下大楼,然后向租户支付一笔额外的费用,因为大楼必须空置。在大楼空置之前,你确实无法开始改建,因为很显然,大楼里的每个人都有权用水。在大楼全部空置之前,你无法开始真正的拆除工作。

联邦补贴如何促进写字楼改住宅项目?获得历史性建筑物相关税收抵免是否容易?

我认为这是非常有趣的,非常重要的一点,但在关于写字楼改住宅项目的讨论中却被忽略了。真正复杂的是,历史性建筑物相关税收抵免是由美国国家公园管理局(National Park Service)管理的,该管理局隶属于内政部(Department of the Interior)。这是一项旨在保护历史性建筑物的计划,极其复杂。

第一部分是建筑必须被列入或公认列入《国家历史名胜古迹名录》(National Register of Historic Places)。你可以说它是历史性建筑物,因为它是一座富丽堂皇的装饰艺术风格建筑,是由这个人建造的;你也可以说它是历史性建筑物,因为某个名人在这里上过学、住过,或者曾在重大历史事件中出现过。你必须向政府内部的自然保护机构提出申请。

这项福利适用于那些被列入《国家历史名胜古迹名录》的建筑。然后,你的建筑师会根据你要做的改动绘制完整的图纸。毋庸置疑,你要与历史顾问合作。

没有具体的指导方针,因为这更多地取决于改建目标。人们通常会认识到,你必须保留外墙的几乎所有东西。几乎不可能在外部添加任何东西。如果你要更换窗户或类似的东西,毋庸置疑,必须在可能的范围内使用与当时完全相同的材料。如果需要符合现代建筑标准,比如无障碍设施,那么可另行安排。

写字楼改住宅项目有什么好处?

政府规定,它是所谓合理费用的20%。这些费用包括建筑物附属物和支付给总承包商的费用。我认为估算这些费用的简便方法是,约四分之一的建筑成本可以进行抵免。美国国税局以直线折旧的方式来管理这项抵免。因此,如果你花费了4000万美元,而税收抵免额为1000万美元,这意味着你可以在五年内每年扣除200万美元。

通常情况下,你会引入税收抵免投资者——可能是保险公司,有时也可能是高净值个人,或是其他银行——希望获得这笔收入的人。他们先投入资金,然后通常以88美分到92美分不等的价格购买折旧或税收抵免。

历史性建筑物相关税收抵免的另一大优势是,如今的贷款环境虽然严峻,但如果你考虑到项目的整体资本堆栈,通常建筑贷款机构会贷出60%到70%的资金。在此基础上,允许使用税收抵免,可以让一些改建项目在开发商的现金资金上获得略高的杠杆。

后疫情时代更多地向远程或混合工作模式转变是否为这些类项目提供了更多的闲置办公空间?

新冠肺炎疫情后并没有出现巨大变化,部分原因是我之前提到的一些复杂因素。新业主仍然需要买断租约,并且仍然需要让大楼完全空置。

坦率地说,另一件复杂的事情是,我曾考察过一些符合条件的项目,但写字楼的基础价格下跌得太快,以至于项目的实际所有者无法真正控制。跌幅如此之大,以至于基本上所有贷款机构和股权合伙人都意识到,没有人会得到补偿。这使得交易变得非常复杂,因为存在大量不确定性。

在某些市场,我们是否有望看到更多写字楼改住宅项目?例如,波士顿最近推出了一项试点计划,为市中心闲置写字楼的改建提供税收优惠。

但这并非易事,因为这项优惠政策附带租金限制。你必须遵守包容性分区租金比例。我认为,房地产税收优惠的价值高于限制收入的价值。但是,总体而言,我觉得这一举措大有助益。

我联系了一位较大的开发商朋友(在全美开展业务),他说因为这是一个试点项目,而且有项目启动的最后期限,所以他们更倾向于认为——我想我也有同感——这可能只适用于那些即将启动的项目。这可能会促使一些项目开始实施,但由于这只是最初的试点项目,似乎还没有足够的时间来影响很多其他事情。如果扩大试点范围,情况可能会有所不同,但我认为你必须在2024年底之前开始施工,时间相当紧迫了。

写字楼改住宅项目租金会更高吗?

这很难说。我公司主要负责提供平面图数据。尽管我知道这是事实,但我没有办法明确地对一栋建筑进行分类(该建筑价值是否高)。

在任何市场中,表现最好的单元通常都是新建的,因为他们总是能设计出尽可能小的单元,这样每平方英尺的租金总是最高的。即使在迈阿密,周围很多高档建筑都是改建而成的,比如在南海滩。

这是一个极其复杂的问题。我个人喜欢投资那些历史悠久的建筑。比起现代建筑师的作品,我更信赖历经岁月沧桑的建筑物的设计和细节。(财富中文网)

译者:中慧言-王芳

There are low expectations that fully in-person work will ever return to pre-pandemic levels, which in turn has lessened the need for in-person workspaces. In fact, as much as 330 million square feet of U.S. office space could become vacant by the turn of the new decade, owing to remote and hybrid work, according to a report released in early 2023 by global real estate firm Cushman & Wakefield. Plus, an additional 740 million square feet of office space will become vacant from “natural causes” by 2030, leaving about 1 billion square feet of unused office space, Cushman & Wakefield data shows.

Meanwhile, housing in the U.S. continues to be underbuilt. According to Morgan Stanley, the U.S. is “structurally short” an estimated 2 million housing units. That’s based on conservative assumptions. When Morgan Stanley researchers plug in “aggressive” assumptions, they calculate the U.S. is underbuilt by a staggering 6 million housing units.

The housing stock shortage plus a glut in office space is leading developers to question how commercial spaces can be reimagined. But can office-to-residential conversion projects actually serve as both a cost-effective and speedy way to make more housing units available?

Bobby Fijan, a real estate developer and cofounder of Form Developers, a property technology company, got into office-to-residential conversions about a decade ago with a project that converted an old 1920s Art Deco office building in downtown Philadelphia into 200 residential units that broke the record for rent prices in the city at the time.

“Historic conversion buildings do way better than they ought to do,” he tells Fortune. “It’s about the same cost to do a conversion as it is to build new construction. It’s just slightly faster.” Using his expertise in floor planning, apartment development, and property technology, Fijan has continued to pursue office-to-residential projects across the U.S.

Fortune sat down with Fijan to learn more about the process of office-to-residential conversions and whether it could be a viable alternative. Portions of this Q&A have been edited and condensed for clarity and brevity.

What is required for office-to-residential conversion projects?

In any kind of conversion, there’s a few different things. One involves buying the property, and then basically buying out the leases of all the individual tenants—which is, I think, one of the key parts in thinking about conversions that people need to realize. It isn’t just about getting the basis correct.

A conversion requires a complete restructuring of all building utilities—basically the electrical, certainly the HVAC, and plumbing are going to go. That largely has to do with units, or [those] individually air-controlled, and obviously you need to add new bathroom locations. You have to do a tremendous amount of demo [demolition]. It’s about the same cost to do a conversion as it is new construction. It’s just slightly faster.

In the Philadelphia project, we had to buy the building and then pay an additional amount of money to the tenant because it has to be vacant. You really can’t start conversion until the building is empty because obviously everyone in the building has the right to have their water work, and you can’t really start doing the real demo until it’s all the way vacant.

How can federal subsidies help facilitate office-to-residential conversions? Is it easy to obtain a historic tax credit?

I think this is one of the really interesting, really important points that’s being missed a little bit in the conversation about office-to-residential conversions. What’s really complicated is that historic tax credits are administered by the National Park Service, which is in the Department of the Interior. It’s just a really convoluted thing. It was a program that’s designed to preserve historic buildings.

Part one is the building has to be listed, or accepted to be listed, on the actual National Register of Historic Places. You can either say it is historic because it’s a really beautiful Art Deco building that was built by this person, or you could say it’s historic because some famous person went to school here or lived here or there’s some important feature in history. You have to apply to a fundamental nature preservation agency within the government.

The benefit works for buildings that check that box and are on the National Register of Historic Places. Then your architect is going to do full drawings of the proposed changes you’re going to make. You’re almost always going to work with a historic consultant.

There are no specific guidelines, because it’s more about intent. People generally come to understand that you usually have to preserve almost everything about the facade. It’s almost impossible to add anything to the outside. If you’re replacing windows or things like that, it almost always has to be that the materials—to the extent that it’s possible—are identical to what they were at the time. The exceptions are if it needs to meet modern building standards, like accessibility.

What are the benefits of office-to-residential conversions?

The government says that it is 20% of what’s called qualified expenses. Those include some things that are attached to the building and some costs that are paid to the general contractor. The shorthand way that I think about valuing them is that about one-quarter of construction costs is going to be about the benefit of this credit. The credit is administered by the IRS as a straight-line depreciation. So, if you spend $40 million and the tax credit is $10 million, it means that you can write off $2 million every year for five years.

Usually what happens is you bring in a tax credit investor—that’s going to be an insurance company, sometimes a high-net-worth individual, or some other banks—someone who is looking to shield that amount of income. They put money upfront and then are usually buying that depreciation or that tax shield for some amount of cents on the dollar up from 88 cents to 92 cents, something like that.

The other advantage of historic tax credit projects is that today’s lending environment is tough, but if you think about the overall capital stack of a project, usually the construction lender lends about 60 to 70 cents on the dollar. That tax credit is allowed to go on top of that, which can allow some of these conversion projects to have slightly higher leverage on the developers’ cash dollars.

Has the shift to more remote or hybrid work post-COVID made more vacant office space available for these types of projects?

There hasn’t been a big shift post-COVID, partly due to some of these complicating factors that I mentioned before. A new owner still has to have the buyout leases and still has to get the building all the way vacant.

The other thing that’s frankly been complicated is that there are a number of projects that I’ve looked at to be eligible for it, but the basis on office buildings has fallen so low so quickly that the technical owners of the project aren’t really in control anymore. It’s fallen so far that basically every lender and equity partner is aware that no one’s going to get made whole. It makes it very complicated to transact just because there’s a whole lot of uncertainty.

Are there certain markets where we could expect to see more office-to-residential conversions? For instance, Boston recently launched a pilot program offering tax incentives to convert underused downtown office buildings.

It’s difficult because that particular benefit comes with rent restrictions. You have to comply with the inclusionary zoning rent percentages. I believe that the real estate tax benefit is worth more than the value of that income restriction. I think it’s a good thing to do, generally.

I pinged a larger national developer friend up there, and he said that because it was a pilot and because they have a deadline on when the project needs to start, it was more their opinion—and I guess it’s shared by mine, too—is that it’s probably just going to apply to projects that are very close to occurring. It might tip a few projects into happening, but it doesn’t seem like there’s enough time for it to affect lots of other things since it’s just the initial pilot program. If it got expanded that might be different, but I think you have to start construction by late 2024, which is just really fast.

Do office-to-resi units tend to come with a higher rent?

That’s really difficult to say. My company’s reason for existence is floor-plan data. I don’t have any way of cataloging specifically whether a building is cool or not, although I know that it’s true.

The top performing units in any market are usually going to be new construction because they can always design units as small as possible, which is always going to get the highest rent per square foot. Even in Miami, a lot of the nicest buildings around are conversions, like on South Beach.

It’s a very, very, very, very complicated question to answer. I personally like the idea of investing in something that’s already lasted for a long time. I trust the design and I trust the details more than a modern architect.

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