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特斯拉股价今年已经下跌50%,买入时机到了?

特斯拉股价今年已经下跌50%,买入时机到了?

Kit Rees, 彭博社 2022-11-26
尽管特斯拉在今年面临诸多挑战,但华尔街依旧看好这家公司。

特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克。图片来源:MAJA HITIJ/GETTY IMAGES

特斯拉(Tesla Inc.)的市值在两个月内缩水约3,000亿美元后,越来越多的分析师表示股价下跌的幅度已经足够,这些观点使其股价在11月23日上涨。

摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)的分析师亚当·乔纳斯于早些时候指出,特斯拉正在接近他的“熊市情境”价格目标150美元,这代表了投资者以便宜价格买入的好机会。花旗集团(Citi)分析师将特斯拉股价的评级从卖出上调至中性,认为今年超过50%的股价跌幅“已经抵消了近期的风险回报”。

乔纳斯在一份报告中写道,虽然特斯拉面临需求增长放缓和中国降价等挑战,但在摩根士丹利关注的电动汽车厂商中,只有特斯拉的汽车销售业务能够产生利润。这位分析师还强调特斯拉有可能从美国的消费税减税中受益。他重申了330美元的股价目标。

在纽约交易的特斯拉股票,收盘上涨7.8%,达到183.20美元。今年,由于原材料成本上涨、在中国市场的生产和销售问题以及消费者预算遭受压力等问题,特斯拉股价暴跌。后来,该公司的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克专注于改造推特(Twitter),也影响了市场情绪。据彭博社(Bloomberg)计算,过去两个月,特斯拉市值缩水3,000亿美元。

乔纳斯表示,为了阻止股价继续下跌,马斯克应该停止推特造成的干扰。他写道:“必须有与推特的状况有关的某种形式的情绪‘断路器’,以缓解投资者对特斯拉的担忧。”

尽管特斯拉今年面临诸多挑战,但华尔街依旧看好这家公司。彭博社跟踪的大多数特斯拉分析师将特斯拉股票评为买入或者同等级别,而特斯拉股价需要上涨57%才可以达到分析师的平均目标价格。今年的下跌使特斯拉股票的远期市盈率倍数从2021年年初的超过200倍,下降至31倍。

花旗集团的分析师伊泰·麦考利在11月23日更新了特斯拉股票的价格目标,他预测的价格为176美元,是华尔街最低的价格目标。这位分析师表示,他现在更看好特斯拉股票,因为特斯拉股价下跌意味着对其股票包括销量过度乐观的一些预期,现在已经被挤出市场。(财富中文网)

译者:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

特斯拉(Tesla Inc.)的市值在两个月内缩水约3,000亿美元后,越来越多的分析师表示股价下跌的幅度已经足够,这些观点使其股价在11月23日上涨。

摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)的分析师亚当·乔纳斯于早些时候指出,特斯拉正在接近他的“熊市情境”价格目标150美元,这代表了投资者以便宜价格买入的好机会。花旗集团(Citi)分析师将特斯拉股价的评级从卖出上调至中性,认为今年超过50%的股价跌幅“已经抵消了近期的风险回报”。

乔纳斯在一份报告中写道,虽然特斯拉面临需求增长放缓和中国降价等挑战,但在摩根士丹利关注的电动汽车厂商中,只有特斯拉的汽车销售业务能够产生利润。这位分析师还强调特斯拉有可能从美国的消费税减税中受益。他重申了330美元的股价目标。

在纽约交易的特斯拉股票,收盘上涨7.8%,达到183.20美元。今年,由于原材料成本上涨、在中国市场的生产和销售问题以及消费者预算遭受压力等问题,特斯拉股价暴跌。后来,该公司的首席执行官埃隆·马斯克专注于改造推特(Twitter),也影响了市场情绪。据彭博社(Bloomberg)计算,过去两个月,特斯拉市值缩水3,000亿美元。

乔纳斯表示,为了阻止股价继续下跌,马斯克应该停止推特造成的干扰。他写道:“必须有与推特的状况有关的某种形式的情绪‘断路器’,以缓解投资者对特斯拉的担忧。”

尽管特斯拉今年面临诸多挑战,但华尔街依旧看好这家公司。彭博社跟踪的大多数特斯拉分析师将特斯拉股票评为买入或者同等级别,而特斯拉股价需要上涨57%才可以达到分析师的平均目标价格。今年的下跌使特斯拉股票的远期市盈率倍数从2021年年初的超过200倍,下降至31倍。

花旗集团的分析师伊泰·麦考利在11月23日更新了特斯拉股票的价格目标,他预测的价格为176美元,是华尔街最低的价格目标。这位分析师表示,他现在更看好特斯拉股票,因为特斯拉股价下跌意味着对其股票包括销量过度乐观的一些预期,现在已经被挤出市场。(财富中文网)

译者:刘进龙

审校:汪皓

After losing nearly $300 billion in market value in two months, a growing chorus of Tesla Inc. analysts say the share-price decline has gone far enough, pushing the stock higher on November 23.

Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas earlier said that Tesla is approaching his “bear case” price target of $150, presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a bargain price. Citi analysts upgraded the shares to neutral from sell, saying that a more than 50% slump this year “has balanced out the near-term risk/reward.”

Despite challenges including decelerating demand and price cuts in China, Tesla is the only electric vehicle maker covered by Morgan Stanley that generates a profit on the sale of its cars, Jonas wrote in a note. The analyst — who also highlighted Tesla’s potential to benefit from consumer tax credits in the US — reiterated his $330 price target.

Shares closed up 7.8% at $183.20 in New York. The stock has slumped this year amid rising raw materials costs, issues with production and sales in China and pressure on customer budgets. Latterly, Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk’s focus on turning around Twitter Inc. has also hit sentiment, with $300 billion wiped off Tesla’s market cap in the past two months, according to Bloomberg calculations.

The distraction caused by Twitter needs to end to stop the stock slide, according to Jonas. “There must be some form of sentiment ‘circuit breaker’ around the Twitter situation to calm investor concerns around Tesla,” he wrote.

Despite all of the challenges Tesla has faced this year, Wall Street has mainly stayed bullish. The majority of Tesla analysts tracked by Bloomberg rate the stock a buy or equivalent, while the shares would need to rally a whopping 57% to hit the average analyst target price. This year’s slump has left the stock trading at 31 times forward earnings, down from more than 200 times in early 2021.

Citi analyst Itay Michaeli, who upgraded the stock on November 23, has one of the lowest price targets on the Street, at $176. The analyst said he was turning more positive because Tesla’s slump means that some of the overly-bullish expectations in the stock, including on unit sales, have now been priced out.

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