美国房价连续大涨，还有后劲吗？
今年以来，房地产市场炙手可热，全美房屋挂牌价中位数已经上涨了逾3.1万美元。
Realtor.com的最新数据显示，今年1月至4月，全美房地产挂牌价中位数已经上涨8.3%。截至4月29日，房价中值为37.5万美元。
房价已经连续40周出现两位数的增长。5月9日至15日，该周挂牌价中值同比上涨15.5%。（租金中位数上涨了2.7%，是去年3月以来的最快增速。）
自Realtor.com 2012年开始追踪房价水平以来，目前已经达房价最高值，但今年的上涨速度实际上比正常水平要慢一些。2017年至2019年，1月至4月这段时间的房价中值增速通常为每年9.8%。
当然了，当时的基数更低。
房价的同期对比显示，卖家对房屋的要价越来越高。今年2月，挂牌价中值同比飙升13.7%，期间房价已经超过2020年峰值。然而，4月同比增幅升至17.2%。
不过增长似乎不太可能放缓。春季通常是销售旺季。如果利率缓慢上升，则可能会略微减缓房价增长，但目前的利率仍然远低于2019年。
“对买家来说，好消息是我们开始看到有更多的新房源进入市场，预计未来几个月还会出现更多的卖家。”Realtor.com的首席经济学家丹尼尔•黑尔说，“不过如果买家选择等等看是否有更多选项，他们就可能会看到房价和利率都将更加上涨。”（财富中文网）
译者：Agatha
今年以来，房地产市场炙手可热，全美房屋挂牌价中位数已经上涨了逾3.1万美元。
Realtor.com的最新数据显示，今年1月至4月，全美房地产挂牌价中位数已经上涨8.3%。截至4月29日，房价中值为37.5万美元。
房价已经连续40周出现两位数的增长。5月9日至15日，该周挂牌价中值同比上涨15.5%。（租金中位数上涨了2.7%，是去年3月以来的最快增速。）
自Realtor.com 2012年开始追踪房价水平以来，目前已经达房价最高值，但今年的上涨速度实际上比正常水平要慢一些。2017年至2019年，1月至4月这段时间的房价中值增速通常为每年9.8%。
当然了，当时的基数更低。
房价的同期对比显示，卖家对房屋的要价越来越高。今年2月，挂牌价中值同比飙升13.7%，期间房价已经超过2020年峰值。然而，4月同比增幅升至17.2%。
不过增长似乎不太可能放缓。春季通常是销售旺季。如果利率缓慢上升，则可能会略微减缓房价增长，但目前的利率仍然远低于2019年。
“对买家来说，好消息是我们开始看到有更多的新房源进入市场，预计未来几个月还会出现更多的卖家。”Realtor.com的首席经济学家丹尼尔•黑尔说，“不过如果买家选择等等看是否有更多选项，他们就可能会看到房价和利率都将更加上涨。”（财富中文网）
译者：Agatha
The red-hot housing market has increased the median listing price of homes throughout the country by more than $31,000 since the start of the year.
New data from Realtor.com shows the national median listing price has increased 8.3% between January and April. As of April 29, the median price was $375,000.
Homes have seen double-digit growth for 40 consecutive weeks now. For the week ending May 15, the median listing price was up 15.5% year-over-year. (Median rent prices are up 2.7%, and are showing their fastest growth since last March.)
Prices are the highest they’ve been since Realtor.com started keeping records in 2012, but the rate of the increase so far this year is actually a bit slower than normal. During the same January-to-April time period from 2017 through 2019, the median listing price of homes was normally up 9.8% each year.
That number of course, was a lower dollar amount.
The year-over-year comparison for house prices shows that sellers are commanding more and more for their homes. In February, the median listing price surged 13.7% year-over-year—topping the peak 2020 price in the process. In April, though, the year-over-year increase has increased to 17.2%.
That doesn’t seem likely to slow down. Spring is peak selling season, typically. A slow rise in interest rates could slow things down slightly, but rates are still well below where they were in 2019.
“For buyers, the good news is we are beginning to see more new listings coming onto the market, and we expect to see even more sellers over the next few months,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. “For those who choose to wait for more options, they are likely to see both higher home prices and interest rates.”
