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美国楼市快冲到头了吗?

美国楼市快冲到头了吗?

Chris Morris 2021-05-18
楼市仍然异常强劲,但涨速放缓可能说明交易时基本上由卖方定价的日子即将结束。

在新冠疫情过后,房地产的繁荣可能已经达到高峰。

美国房地产协会官网Realtor.com最新数据显示,近10个月来持续飙升的房价上涨开始放缓,达到7周来最低水平。上周房价同比涨幅实际上有所下降,标志着持续长达39周的涨势有所减慢。

该现象并不是空头担心的“泡沫破裂”。楼市仍然异常强劲,但涨速放缓可能说明交易时基本上由卖方定价的日子即将结束。

“本周,楼市朝着有利买方的方向迈出了非常微小的一步。”Realtor.com的首席经济学家丹尼尔•黑尔说,“如今仍然是稳定的卖方市场,截至5月8日的一周内房屋销售时间同比要快28天。不过,可能即将出现买房的好机会。”

5月8日当周房屋挂牌价格中位数同比上涨15.2%,较前一周涨幅下降了0.2%。即便如此,5月房价的中位数仍然有可能超过4月37.5万美元的历史高位。

市场上的房子终于开始增加。卖家挂牌量比去年同期增加了5%。不过挂牌时间仍然不会很长。目前的出售时间比去年快了28天。-

这并不奇怪,因为在新冠疫情初期,楼市曾经出现放缓。然而到了去年9月和10月,楼市迅速升温,并且此后几乎没有出现减速。

虽然35万美元以下的住宅价格上涨特别快,但今年的高端市场也尤为稳健。事实证明,对于不希望处理木材短缺造成的麻烦和潜在延误风险的买家来说,现成的房子吸引力很大。(财富中文网)

译者:冯丰

审校:夏林

在新冠疫情过后,房地产的繁荣可能已经达到高峰。

美国房地产协会官网Realtor.com最新数据显示,近10个月来持续飙升的房价上涨开始放缓,达到7周来最低水平。上周房价同比涨幅实际上有所下降,标志着持续长达39周的涨势有所减慢。

该现象并不是空头担心的“泡沫破裂”。楼市仍然异常强劲,但涨速放缓可能说明交易时基本上由卖方定价的日子即将结束。

“本周,楼市朝着有利买方的方向迈出了非常微小的一步。”Realtor.com的首席经济学家丹尼尔•黑尔说,“如今仍然是稳定的卖方市场,截至5月8日的一周内房屋销售时间同比要快28天。不过,可能即将出现买房的好机会。”

5月8日当周房屋挂牌价格中位数同比上涨15.2%,较前一周涨幅下降了0.2%。即便如此,5月房价的中位数仍然有可能超过4月37.5万美元的历史高位。

市场上的房子终于开始增加。卖家挂牌量比去年同期增加了5%。不过挂牌时间仍然不会很长。目前的出售时间比去年快了28天。-

这并不奇怪,因为在新冠疫情初期,楼市曾经出现放缓。然而到了去年9月和10月,楼市迅速升温,并且此后几乎没有出现减速。

虽然35万美元以下的住宅价格上涨特别快,但今年的高端市场也尤为稳健。事实证明,对于不希望处理木材短缺造成的麻烦和潜在延误风险的买家来说,现成的房子吸引力很大。(财富中文网)

译者:冯丰

审校:夏林

The post-pandemic real estate boom could be reaching its climax.

New data from Realtor.com shows that price growth in the housing market, which has been soaring for almost 10 months, is starting to slow, hitting its lowest level in seven weeks. Year-over-year increases in home prices were actually down last week, marking a slowdown in a 39-week–long trend.

It’s hardly the “bursting bubble” that some bears fear. The housing market is still incredibly strong, but this could be a sign that the days of basically setting your price when selling a home could be about to end.

“This week the housing market took a very tiny step in a buyer-friendly direction,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. “It is still solidly a seller’s market, with homes selling 28 days faster year over year for the week ending May 8. However, homebuying opportunities could be on the horizon.”

The median listing price of homes was up 15.2% year over year for the week of May 8, down 0.2% from the previous week’s increase. That said, median listing prices for May are still on pace to exceed April’s record high of $375,000.

More houses are finally starting to come on the market. Sellers added 5% more listings than at this time last year. They’re still not lasting a long time, though. Current time on market is 28 days faster than last year.

That’s not surprising, as the housing market slowed in the early days of the pandemic. By September and October, however, it heated up quickly and has rarely slowed down since.

While homes under $350,000 are going especially fast, the high-end market has been especially healthy this year. And existing homes are proving attractive to buyers who don’t want to deal with the headaches and potential delays brought on by the ongoing lumber shortage.

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