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飞上云端:这类云计算股票涨疯了

飞上云端:这类云计算股票涨疯了

Anne Sraders 2020-12-08
公司在疫情中加速向云和远程工作转移,从而推动云安全公司的利润大幅增长。

这是待在“云”上的好日子。

上周四,CrowdStrike、Okta与Zscaler等云计算及网络安全股价格飙升,原因是公司在疫情中加速向云和远程工作转移,从而推动这三家公司的利润大幅增长。

上周四下午, CrowdStrike股价涨幅接近14%,Zscaler增逾25%,Okta上涨了4%左右。Snowflake当日亦表现不俗,该公司披露了9月份首发上市以来的第一份季报,并在下午交易中上涨了12%。

Okta今年第三季度收入同比上升42%,CrowdStrike和Zscaler上周三公布的业绩同样高于预期,收入分别比上年同期提高了86%和52%。Snowflake披露的收入同比上升119%。

对韦德布什证券(Wedbush Securities)分析师丹•艾夫斯等人来说,上述公司的业绩显著超出预期“是当下云转型的又一重要时刻,也为网络安全股全线上扬提供了更多支持”。在上周四发表的报告中,艾夫斯认为“这三家下一代软件龙头的业绩表现都非常出色,其收入涨幅甚至超过了最乐观人士的预期……对仍处于发展早期的云和数字转型来说,这又是一个关键数据点”。

晨星分析师马克•凯什指出,新冠疫情一直是2020年的重大主题,它“使人们加大了数字转型力度,也提高了采用零信任安全措施的需求,而这对Zscaler有利。” 凯什在上周三发表的报告中称,他认为Zscaler的业绩将高于其自身预期。同时,韦德布什证券的艾夫斯认为Zscaler“看来将左右今后十年云网络安全的动向”。

许多分析师都认为上述重大云主题不光只会在2020年大放异彩。艾夫斯和凯什等分析师预测Zscaler和CrowdStrike等公司将继续扩大份额。正如凯什上周四发表报告称,“随着客户在混合云环境下升级终端节点并提高工作负荷安全要求,CrowdStrike的客户群体、收入和利润率在整个21世纪20年代都将取得显著增长。”同时,凯什在上周三的报告中指出,Okta“仍在快速获得用户,同时展现出更大的业务规模以及出色的追加销售成果”。

就整个云及网络安全板块而言,艾夫斯预测,“目前有33%的工作负荷上云,据我们分析,到2022年这个比例将达到55%。我们认为企业和政府的数字转型最多都加快了12-18个月,”微软和Amazon Web Services(AWS)则“处于领先位置”。

争相上云的趋势当然已经给这个领域的许多公司带来了溢价。的确,CrowdStrike、Zscaler和Okta目前的市盈率已如此之高,以至于被称为“毫无意义”(三家公司均未盈利)。同时,对于云泡沫和技术泡沫的争论在2020年仍未休止。而今年这三只股票都至少上涨了100%。

不过,艾夫斯等分析师指出,“基本面动力和云需求甜点仍让我们深信可以持有网络安全板块的长期优胜者。”对于Zscaler和CrowdStrike等公司的“强劲”业绩,他认为“云故事仍处于发展初期,而且预示着2021年网络股将表现良好”。

虽然这些公司的优异盈利数据可能让投资者欣喜若狂,但他们最好记住,前者的估值倍数也已突破天际。(财富中文网)

译者:Charlie

这是待在“云”上的好日子。

上周四,CrowdStrike、Okta与Zscaler等云计算及网络安全股价格飙升,原因是公司在疫情中加速向云和远程工作转移,从而推动这三家公司的利润大幅增长。

上周四下午, CrowdStrike股价涨幅接近14%,Zscaler增逾25%,Okta上涨了4%左右。Snowflake当日亦表现不俗,该公司披露了9月份首发上市以来的第一份季报,并在下午交易中上涨了12%。

Okta今年第三季度收入同比上升42%,CrowdStrike和Zscaler上周三公布的业绩同样高于预期,收入分别比上年同期提高了86%和52%。Snowflake披露的收入同比上升119%。

对韦德布什证券(Wedbush Securities)分析师丹•艾夫斯等人来说,上述公司的业绩显著超出预期“是当下云转型的又一重要时刻,也为网络安全股全线上扬提供了更多支持”。在上周四发表的报告中,艾夫斯认为“这三家下一代软件龙头的业绩表现都非常出色,其收入涨幅甚至超过了最乐观人士的预期……对仍处于发展早期的云和数字转型来说,这又是一个关键数据点”。

晨星分析师马克•凯什指出,新冠疫情一直是2020年的重大主题,它“使人们加大了数字转型力度,也提高了采用零信任安全措施的需求,而这对Zscaler有利。” 凯什在上周三发表的报告中称,他认为Zscaler的业绩将高于其自身预期。同时,韦德布什证券的艾夫斯认为Zscaler“看来将左右今后十年云网络安全的动向”。

许多分析师都认为上述重大云主题不光只会在2020年大放异彩。艾夫斯和凯什等分析师预测Zscaler和CrowdStrike等公司将继续扩大份额。正如凯什上周四发表报告称,“随着客户在混合云环境下升级终端节点并提高工作负荷安全要求,CrowdStrike的客户群体、收入和利润率在整个21世纪20年代都将取得显著增长。”同时,凯什在上周三的报告中指出,Okta“仍在快速获得用户,同时展现出更大的业务规模以及出色的追加销售成果”。

就整个云及网络安全板块而言,艾夫斯预测,“目前有33%的工作负荷上云,据我们分析,到2022年这个比例将达到55%。我们认为企业和政府的数字转型最多都加快了12-18个月,”微软和Amazon Web Services(AWS)则“处于领先位置”。

争相上云的趋势当然已经给这个领域的许多公司带来了溢价。的确,CrowdStrike、Zscaler和Okta目前的市盈率已如此之高,以至于被称为“毫无意义”(三家公司均未盈利)。同时,对于云泡沫和技术泡沫的争论在2020年仍未休止。而今年这三只股票都至少上涨了100%。

不过,艾夫斯等分析师指出,“基本面动力和云需求甜点仍让我们深信可以持有网络安全板块的长期优胜者。”对于Zscaler和CrowdStrike等公司的“强劲”业绩,他认为“云故事仍处于发展初期,而且预示着2021年网络股将表现良好”。

虽然这些公司的优异盈利数据可能让投资者欣喜若狂,但他们最好记住,前者的估值倍数也已突破天际。(财富中文网)

译者:Charlie

It's a good day to be in the cloud.

Cloud and cybersecurity stocks like CrowdStrike, Okta, and Zscaler are soaring on Thursday after the trio reported booming earnings amid a pandemic that has accelerated businesses' shift to the cloud and remote work.

On Thursday CrowdStrike was trading nearly 14% higher in afternoon trading, while Zscaler zoomed over 25% and Okta was up roughly 4% in afternoon trading. Snowflake was also on a tear Thursday, up over 12% in afternoon trading after reporting its first quarter since its IPO in September.

Revenues for Okta were up 42% from the previous year in the 3rd quarter, while CrowdStrike and Zscaler also beat earnings Wednesday, with revenues up 86% and 52% year-over-year, respectively. Snowflake reported revenues up 119% from the previous year.

For those like Wedbush Securities's Dan Ives, the big earnings beats are "another seminal moment in this cloud transformation underway and put more fuel into this rally in cyber security names across the board," Ives wrote in a note Thursday. He believes the "blowout earnings across the board from these three next generation software leaders that surprised even the biggest bulls given the strength ... is another key data point speaking to the cloud and digital transformation that is still in the early days of playing out."

As has been the big theme of 2020, Morningstar analyst Mark Cash notes the pandemic "hastened digital transformation efforts and the need to adopt zero-trust security practices, which benefits Zscaler," and believes the company can top its forward earnings estimates, Cash wrote in a note Wednesday. Wedbush's Ives, meanwhile, believes the company "looks to be in the drivers seat on the cloud cyber security shift over the next decade."

Many on the Street argue the big cloud theme won't just be booming in 2020. Analysts like Ives and Morningstar's Cash believe names like Zscaler and CrowdStrike will continue to gain share, as Cash wrote in a Thursday note that "CrowdStrike's customer base, revenue, and margins will experience profound growth throughout the 2020s as customers update their endpoint and workload security requirements in a hybrid-cloud world." Okta, meanwhile, "continues to gain customers at a fast clip while also showcasing larger deal sizes and impressive upsell results," Cash wrote in a Wednesday note.

And for cloud and cybersecurity stocks overall, Wedbush's Ives estimates "with 33% of workloads currently on the cloud moving to 55% by 2022 based on our analysis, we believe the digital transformation shift to cloud for both enterprises and governments is being accelerated by up to 12 to 18 months," with Microsoft and Amazon Web Services (AWS) "leading the way."

But that rush has certainly driven up premiums for many of the names in the space. Indeed, CrowdStrike, Zscaler, and Okta all currently trade at price-to-earnings multiples that register as "not meaningful" as they're so high (All three companies, meanwhile, remain unprofitable). And the debate about a cloud and tech bubble in 2020 rages on. All three stocks are up at least 100% each this year.

But some analysts like Ives argue the "fundamental drivers and sweet spot of cloud demand continue to give us high conviction in owning the secular winners in the cyber security sector." Pointing to the "robust" earnings from names like Zscaler and CrowdStrike, he argues "this cloud story is still in the early days of playing out and bodes well for cyber names heading into 2021."

While investors may be on cloud nine following the strong earnings, they'd be well to remember their multiples are also sky-high.

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