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推特政治学:2020大选候选人最喜欢“@”谁

推特政治学:2020大选候选人最喜欢“@”谁

Renae Reints 2019-06-11
在2020年民主党初选中,很多候选人都以击败特朗普为目标,从他们的推特页面中也能看出这一点。

特朗普已经成功地让自己成为了推特的热门话题。

根据推特分析网站Twitonomy的数据,特朗普的推特官方页面@realDonaldTrump,是美国副总统迈克·彭斯、众议院议长南希·佩洛西、参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默和2020年大选候选人、参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦最经常提到的推特账号。在这些政客之前发过的3200多条推文(这是可以分析的最大数量)中,至少有上百条都提到了特朗普的账号。

而特朗普最常提及的,则是福克斯新闻的官方账号@FoxNews和@foxandfriends。据报道,福克斯新闻是特朗普最喜欢的新闻媒体,它也被人称为特朗普政府的喉舌。沃伦最近称福克斯新闻是一台“为利润而煽动仇恨的机器”,并誓言要抵制该电视台主办的任何辩论。

福克斯新闻也投桃报李,在推特上给予了特朗普最多的关注。它在推特上提及次数最多的账户是美国总统官方账户@POTUS。@POTUS的内容几乎全部转自于特朗普的私人账号@realDonaldTrump,不过参议院多数党领袖米奇·麦康奈尔依然不遗余力地提及这个账号。

在2020年民主党初选中,很多候选人都以击败特朗普为目标,从他们的推特页面中也能看出这一点。

马萨诸塞州众议员、2020年大选候选人赛斯·莫尔顿在竞选启动视频中明确表示:“我之所以参选,就是因为我们必须击败唐纳德·特朗普。”和沃伦一样,他在推特上最常提及的就是特朗普的账号@realDonaldTrump,其次是共和党的官方账号@GOP和美国总统官方账号@POTUS。

纽约州参议员柯尔斯滕·吉利布兰德、前马里兰州众议员约翰·德莱尼、俄亥俄州众议员蒂姆·瑞恩、加利福尼亚州众议员埃里克·斯瓦尔威尔等,也都是2020年大选的候选人,他们在推特上提及最多的,也是特朗普的私人账号@realDonaldTrump。

有些候选人并不经常使用推特,但统计数据仍然很能说明问题。比如,科罗拉多州参议员、2020年大选候选人迈克尔·班纳特在过去10年间只发了1300多条推文,但其中提及最多的账号仍然是特朗普的账号@realDonaldTrump。纽约市市长白思豪也是一样。

前马萨诸塞州州长比尔·维尔德是迄今为止唯一一位宣称要挑战特朗普的共和党人。他今年2月才开始在推特上发贴。特朗普的账号@realDonaldTrump也是他提及最多的账号,占了他所发推文总数的6%。

当然,也不是所有政客都把特朗普当回事。比如拜登最经常提及的,是奥巴马的账号@BarackObama,特朗普的账号连前10名都排不上。加州参议员卡玛拉·哈里斯最常提及的,是前乔治亚州州长候选人斯泰西·艾布拉姆斯。佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯最常提及的,是前佛罗里达州州长候选人安德鲁·吉勒姆(第二名是特朗普)。

华盛顿州州长杰伊·英斯利自己还在推特上管理着一个气候变化平台,所以他最经常提及的账户就是他自己,第二名才是特朗普。圣安东尼奥市市长朱利安·卡斯特罗最经常提及的是他兄弟——他也是得克萨斯州的一名政客,特朗普只能排到第三位。蒙大拿州州长史蒂夫·布洛克最经常提及的是他自己,其次是该州的副州长,对特朗普则很少提及。

至于印第安纳本德市市长皮特·布蒂吉格、米拉玛市市长韦恩·梅萨玛等,他们的推特基本上只围绕自己的工作。玛莉安娜·威廉森的推特基本只提自己的作家身份。新泽西州参议员科里·布克在推特上提及最多的两个账号,都与他的本职专业相关,其次是@Spotify和@ApplePodcasts。贝托·欧洛克提及最多的账号都是媒体的账号,R&B艺人哈利德因为在欧洛克的老家厄尔巴索住过一阵,也被他提及了3次,位列第4名,特朗普则连前10都排不上。

当然,这种排名很大程度上也取决于政客如何使用他们的账户。有些政客特别喜欢@别人,有些则不然。比如在最近12年里,拜登的账户只@过奥巴马28次。而沃伦不到3年便@了特朗普将近450次。

当然,对于一些参加2020年大选的候选人,他们提及最多的账号也并非与本职工作完全无关。比如明尼苏达州参议员艾米·克罗布查尔,她在两年里大约65次提及该州的橄榄球队——维京队,参议员查克·格拉斯利是她提到第二多的人。特朗普甚至都排不到前10。

前科罗拉多州州长约翰·希肯卢珀在推特上提及最多的,也是他的橄榄球队(野马队),特朗普只能排在第4位。

企业家杨安泽则是不拘一格,在他经常提及的人里,有喜剧演员乔·罗根(他主持了一个播客节目,杨安泽曾经在节目中当过几次嘉宾),还有MMA格斗运动员莱斯利·史密斯(杨安泽曾经呼吁过保护格斗运动员的权利)。夏威夷众议员图尔西·加伯德最经常提及的人,是夏威夷裔UFC冠军马克斯·霍洛的账户@BlessedMMA,特朗普则排在第二位。(财富中文网)

译者:朴成奎

President Donald Trump has made himself the talk of Twitter.

According to Twitter analytics site Twitonomy, Trump’s @realDonaldTrump page is the account most often mentioned by Vice President Mike Pence, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, and 2020 candidate Senator Elizabeth Warren. Each of these politicians have mentioned Trump’s account hundreds of times within their past 3,200 tweets (the maximum number able to be analyzed).

Trump, meanwhile, mentions @FoxNews the most, followed by @foxandfriends. Fox, reportedly the president’s favorite news source, has been blasted for its alleged evolution into a megaphone for the Trump administration. Warren recently called the channel a “hate-for-profit machine” and vowed to boycott any debates hosted by the station.

Fox’s Twitter gives Trump notice in return: its most mentioned account is @POTUS, the president’s official Twitter page. Despite consisting almost entirely of retweets from @realDonaldTrump, the @POTUS account tops Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s Twitter mentions as well.

Many candidates in the crowded 2020 Democratic field have shaped their campaign around defeating Trump, and their Twitter pages show it.

Seth Moulton, a Massachusetts Rep and 2020 contender, said clearly in his campaign launch video, “I’m running because we have to beat Donald Trump.” Like Warren, his top mention on Twitter is @realDonaldTrump… followed by @GOP and @POTUS.

New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, Former Maryland Representative John Delaney, Ohio Representative Tim Ryan, and California Representative Eric Swalwell—all 2020 contenders—each have @realDonaldTrump at the top of their mentions as well.

Some candidates aren’t frequent Twitter users, but the statistics available are still telling. Michael Bennet, a Colorado senator and 2020 candidate, has sent out just more than 1,300 Tweets over the past 10 years. Still, @realDonaldTrump is his top mention. The same goes for New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio.

Former Massachusetts Governor Bill Weld, the only Republican to announce a primary challenge against Trump so far, has only been tweeting since February of this year. His top mention, @realdDonaldTrump, accounts for nearly 6% of his tweets.

Trump doesn’t top everyone’s chart, however. Joe Biden, for example, has mentioned @BarackObama most frequently; Trump isn’t even on his Top 10. California Senator Kamala Harris has former Georgia gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams as her most frequent mention, and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has named former Florida gubernatorial Andrew Gilllum more than anyone else (although Trump is his second most-mentioned).

Washington Governor Jay Inslee, running on a climate change platform, mentions himself more often than any other account—but like with Sanders, @realDonaldTrump takes second place. San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro names mostly names his brother, also a Texas politician, with Trump taking third. Montana Governor Steve Bullock also names himself more than any other account, with second place going to his state’s lieutenant governor, and Trump nowhere in the ranking.

The mentions of Mayors Pete Buttigieg and Wayne Messam are mostly related to their official duties; Marianne Williamson, too, mentions accounts mostly related to her career as an author. New Jersey Senator Cory Booker has professional contacts as his first two top mentions, followed by @Spotify and @ApplePodcasts. Beto O’Rourke’s top mentions are mostly media, although R&B artist Khalid—who lived in O’Rourke’s hometown of El Paso for some time—takes fourth place with three mentions. None name Trump often enough to place him in their Top 10 mentions.

Of course, these rankings depend heavily on how the politicians use their accounts. Some may use @-mentions more often than others: in nearly 12 years, Biden’s account has only tweeted at Obama, his top mention, 28 times. Meanwhile, in just three years, Warren has mentioned Trump nearly 450 times.

That doesn’t mean it’s not noteworthy (or at least entertaining) that some 2020 candidate’s top mentions are completely unrelated to their career. Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar, for example, has mentioned her state’s football team, the Vikings, 65 times in roughly two years. Senator Chuck Grassley is her second most-mentioned; Trump is nowhere on her Top 10.

Former Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper also names his football team the most (his being the Broncos). Trump falls into fourth place on Hickenlooper’s mentions.

Entrepreneur Andrew Yang’s top mentions is an eclectic mix, including comedian Joe Rogan (who hosts a podcast on which Yang appeared a handful of times) and MMA fighter Leslie Smith (Yang has been outspoken on the need to protect fighters’ rights). Hawaii Representative Tulsi Gabbard’s top mention is @BlessedMMA, the account of Hawaiian UFC Champion Max Holloway, although Trump comes in second.

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