特鲁多的形象不再高大上，发生了什么？

贾斯廷·特鲁多于2015年当选加拿大总理时，承诺在政治上保持开放、尽责和透明。不过短短一个月，他的声誉跌至谷底。

特鲁多是曾经在任16年的前总理皮埃尔·特鲁多的儿子，他取得了很多成绩：加拿大失业率40年来最低、工资增长10年来最快，债务与GDP之比在七国集团中最低。

但特鲁多被指控干涉联邦刑事案件调查，这宗仍在发酵的政治丑闻正在撕裂他的内阁，在野党还要求他辞职。

到底出了什么事？

特鲁多及其高级助手被控向时任加拿大总检察长、司法部长乔迪·威尔逊-雷布尔德施压，要求其在加拿大工程公司巨头SNC-兰万灵（SNC-Lavalin）被诉案中网开一面。

威尔逊-雷布尔德说，向她施压的高级政府官员主要来自于特鲁多办公室，他们要求她命令检方与SNC-兰万灵达成庭外和解。SNC-兰万灵公司总部设在蒙特利尔，所在的魁北克省具有十分重要的政治地位。

她补充说，特鲁多称必须要找到解决方案，否则可能会失去很多工作岗位，而SNC-兰万灵可能会把总部从蒙特利尔迁至伦敦。

与此同时，如果这起涉嫌欺诈和腐败的案件达成了庭外和解，SNC-兰万灵可以免于长达十年的加拿大政府合同竞标禁令，政府合同占该公司收入的很大一部分。

威尔逊-雷布尔德回复道，如果检察官决定不庭外和解，她不会对此进行干涉。后来她于1月辞去司法部长职务，出任退伍军人事务部长，后又于2月彻底辞去内阁职务。2月初，多伦多的《环球邮报》（Globe and Mail）首次报道了这一丑闻。

据《华尔街日报》（Wall Street Journal）报道，威尔逊-雷布尔德在2月底向议会委员会作证时说：“我受到了来自于政府内部许多人持续不断的压力，他们试图用政治干涉起诉裁量权。”

针对SNC-兰万灵的指控是什么？

加拿大检察机关2015年指控这家在全球各地拥有5万名雇员的公司涉嫌腐败和欺诈，有关指控和该公司2001年至2011年间在利比亚的活动有关。SNC-兰万灵的行政人员被控向穆阿迈尔·卡扎菲手下的利比亚官员行贿4800万加元，以拿下当地的合同。在加拿大国内，该公司的一位前任首席执行官于本月认罪，涉及蒙特利尔医院建设的贿赂丑闻指控属实。

特鲁多怎么说？

据《卫报》（Guardian）报道，特鲁多并没有否认他和助手曾经就SNC-兰万灵案与威尔逊-雷布尔德进行过交谈，但声称他们的讨论在规定的范围内。

据《纽约时报》（New York Times）报道，特鲁多在周一的自由党集会上说：“我知道菲尔波特女士已经考虑了一段时间。虽然失望，但我理解她的决定。”他补充道，这起政治争议事件“引发了重要讨论”，还说“还有更多的问题需要回答，未来几天和几周内还有更多的话要说。”

现在是什么情况？

2月11日，加拿大道德规范专员对上述干涉事件展开联邦调查。2月18日，特鲁多最亲密的顾问、多年老友杰拉德·巴茨辞职，他还于周三在议会委员会作证。

事情的最新发展是，特鲁多曾经最亲密的盟友之一、财政委员会主席简·菲尔波特于周一辞职，称她对政府失去了信心。

很遗憾，我要从这个职责重大的岗位上辞职。我必须遵守我的核心价值观、道德责任和宪法义务。遵循一个人的原则行事可能会付出代价，但放弃这些原则会产生更大的代价。pic.twitter.com/EwO5dtdgG6

— 简·菲尔波特(@janephilpott) ，2019年3月4日

会影响特鲁多2019年选举吗？

特鲁多要参加10月选举，谋求连任。他需要得到魁北克的支持才能获胜，如果SNC-兰万灵裁减工作岗位，将影响他取胜的几率。《华尔街日报》报道称，该丑闻曝光以来，民调显示特鲁多和自由党政府支持率正在下降，在野党保守党处于领先地位。保守党党首安德鲁·希尔于星期一再次呼吁特鲁多下台。

贾斯廷·特鲁多对司法进行了前所未有的政治干预，他不能再继续担任总理。上周，我说他已经不再具备领导人所需要的道德权威。今天，特鲁多核心圈子里的一名高级成员也得出了同样的结论。我的声明：https://t.co/lNe7DbQO5s pic.twitter.com/yIXZLX4J6M

— 安德鲁·希尔 (@AndrewScheer)，2019年3月5日（财富中文网）

译者：Agatha

When he was first elected as Canada’s prime minister in 2015, Justin Trudeau promised openness, accountability and transparency in politics. In just one month, that reputation has been all but lost.

Trudeau, the son of 16-year former Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau, has a lot going for him: Canada has the lowest levels of unemployment in 40 years, the fastest growing wages in a decade and the lowest debt-to-GDP ratio among the G7 nations.

But the current political scandal, in which Trudeau is accused of meddling in a federal criminal investigation, is tearing his cabinet apart as opposition leaders call for his resignation.

What’s going on, exactly?

Trudeau and his top aides are accused of pressuring Jody Wilson-Raybould, then Canadian attorney general and justice minister, to go easy on the prosecution of SNC-Lavalin, a major Canadian engineering firm.

Wilson-Raybould said senior government officials, mostly from Trudeau’s office, pressured her to order prosecutors to cut a plea deal with SNC-Lavalin, which is based in Montreal in the politically important province of Quebec.

She added that Trudeau said a solution must be found because otherwise many jobs could be lost, and SNC-Lavalin could move its headquarters from Montreal to London.

At the same time a plea deal in the fraud and corruption case would have allowed SNC-Lavalin to avoid a decade-long ban on bidding on government contracts in Canada, which make up a significant portion of the company’s revenue.

In response, Wilson-Raybould said she wasn’t going to interfere in a decision by prosecutors to not pursue a plea deal. She then resigned from her justice posts in January and became minister of veterans affairs, before resigning from the Cabinet altogether in February. Toronto’s Globe and Mail first reported on the scandal at the beginning of February.

“I experienced a consistent and sustained effort by many people within the government to seek to politically interfere in the exercise of prosecutorial discretion,” Wilson-Raybould testified before a parliamentary committee at the end of February, the Wall Street Journal reports.

What are the charges against SNC-Lavalin?

Canadian prosecutors filed corruption and fraud charges against SNC-Lavalin, which employs 50,000 workers worldwide, in 2015 related to activity in Libya from 2001 to 2011. Its officials are accused of bribing Libyan officials under Muammar Qaddafi with C$48 million to secure contracts there. Back home in Canada, a former CEO pleaded guilty this month to charges related to a bribery scandal involving the construction of a Montreal hospital.

What does Trudeau say?

Trudeau has not denied that he and aides spoke to Wilson-Raybould about the SNC-Lavalin case, the Guardian reports, but claims their discussions were within the bounds of the rules.

At a Liberal Party rally on Monday, per the New York Times, Trudeau said, “I know that Ms. Philpott has felt this way for some time. While I’m disappointed, I understand her decision.” He added that the political controversy “has generated important discussion” and said, “there are more questions to be answered and more to be said in the coming days and weeks.”

What’s happening now?

Canada’s Ethics Commissioner launched a federal investigation into the alleged interference on February 11. Gerald Butts, Trudeau’s closest adviser and a longtime friend, resigned on February 18 and is scheduled to testify before a parliamentary committee on Wednesday.

In a new development, Treasury Board President Jane Philpott —once one of Trudeau’s closest allies — resigned on Monday, saying she had lost confidence in the government.

It grieves me to resign from a portfolio where I was at work to deliver an important mandate. I must abide by my core values, my ethical responsibilities, constitutional obligations. There can be a cost to acting on one’s principles, but there is a bigger cost to abandoning them. pic.twitter.com/EwO5dtdgG6

— Jane Philpott (@janephilpott) March 4, 2019

Will this affect Trudeau’s chances in the 2019 election?

Trudeau is up for re-election in October. He needs to carry Quebec to win, and SNC-Lavalin’s potential loss of jobs there would have been a blow to his chances. WSJ reports that polling since the scandal emerged indicates Trudeau and the Liberal government are bleeding support and the opposition Conservatives are holding a lead. Conservative leader Andrew Scheer repeated his call for Trudeau to step down on Monday.

Justin Trudeau cannot continue as PM given his unprecedented political interference in the course of justice. Last week, I said he had lost the moral authority to govern. Today, a senior member of his inner circle came to the same conclusion. My statement: https://t.co/lNe7DbQO5s pic.twitter.com/yIXZLX4J6M

— Andrew Scheer (@AndrewScheer) March 5, 2019