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专栏 - 从华尔街到硅谷

Facebook完全可以不上市

Dan Primack 2011年09月19日

Dan Primack专注于报道交易和交易撮合者,从美国金融业到风险投资业均有涉及。此前,Dan是汤森路透(Thomson Reuters)的自由编辑,推出了peHUB.com和peHUB Wire邮件服务。作为一名新闻工作者,Dan还曾在美国马萨诸塞州罗克斯伯里经营一份社区报纸。目前他居住在波士顿附近。
为什么大家都对Facebook上市一事深信不疑?

    据《金融时报》(Financial Times)报道,Facebook要到2012年才会打算上市。然而我的Twitter上出现了大量有关Facebook上市的回复,这着实让人感到意外。但其实也在意料之中。

    首先,我要强调的一点就是:Facebook并未实质上“推迟”任何事。该公司没有做首次公开募股登记,更别说大肆宣传或宣布上市日期。倒是坊间广泛认为这家社交网络公司将于明年年初或今年年底上市,因为公司届时将受到所谓的500股东限令的制约。

    对于未上市的公司来说,该条令规定,一旦股东人数达到或超过500名,公司必须与上市公司一样公布经营情况。由于这与上市公司所承担的义务没有太多区别,因此遇到这种情况的大多数公司干脆选择直接上市。2004年,谷歌(Google)上市就是如此。

    但目前没有任何条令规定公司遇到这种情况必须上市。Facebook仍可以选择保持其私有无限责任制性质,这也将允许现有的股东通过私人二级市场来获取流动性。

    Facebook为什么要这么做?因为上市之后的麻烦还不仅仅只是公布经营情况这么简单。相对于私营公司,上市公司还必须为短期盈利牵肠挂肚,公司的管理层也不得不对对冲基金经理和分析师们溜须拍马。你认为马克•扎克博格是干这种事的人吗?或者说他擅长做这种事吗?

    除此之外,国会和/或证券交易委员会(SEC)很有可能在明年这个时候已经废除了500-股东条令。一旦这种可能成为现实,Facebook甚至连公布经营情况的麻烦都省了。在这个层面上,上市仅存的理由就是融资,但是Facebook是否真的差钱还不得而知。公司盈利势头正盛,因此就算需要资金,公司也能很轻易地吸引私人股本的加入。

    我想强调的是,我并不是说Facebook永远都不会上市。只是没有这个必要。不光是2012年,永远都是。

    The Financial Times is reporting that Facebook doesn't plan to go public until late 2012. This apparently is surprising, given the amount of times the story has appeared in my Twitter feed. But it shouldn't be.

    First, let's be clear: Facebook hasn't actually "delayed" anything. It never registered for an IPO, let alone prepped a roadshow or a formal offering date. Instead, there was widespread speculation that the social network would go public early next year -- or late this year -- because that's the time when it's expected to bump up against the so-called 500-shareholder rule.

    For the uninitiated, that rule subjects any private company with 500 or more shareholders to reporting requirements that are similar to those of public companies. So similar, in fact, that most companies in this position simply go public. Think Google (GOOG) back in 2004.

    But there isn't actually any requirement that companies do so. Facebook has the option to remain private indefinitely, allowing existing shareholders to generate liquidity via the private secondary markets.

    Why would it do so? Well, because public reporting isn't the only downside of going public. Public companies also have to worry more about short-term earnings than do private companies, and management is required to kiss the butts of hedge fund managers and analysts. Can you seriously see Mark Zuckerberg doing that? Or at least doing it well?

    Moreover, there is a decent chance that Congress and/or the SEC will have decimated the 500-shareholder rule by this time next year. If such efforts are successful, Facebook wouldn't even have the public reporting requirements. At that point, the only remaining reason to go public is capital-raising, but it's unclear that Facebook would really need the money. It's profitable, and easily could raise private equity if the need arose.

    To be clear, I'm not saying Facebook will never go public. Just that it doesn't need to. Not in late 2012. Not ever.

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