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Fears of a Greek bank run
 作者: Dody Tsiantar    时间: 2010年03月12日    来源: 财富中文网
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    In the middle of the 2001 debt crisis, Argentines stormed their nation's banks to get their money out. To stop the stampede, the government imposed controls that allowed them to take out only $250 at a time and limited withdrawals for overseas trips to $1,000.

    Greece, in the middle of its own financial crisis, is teetering on the brink of a default. Many of its wealthier citizens are also uneasy about what lies ahead for their cash. According to estimates from private bankers in Greece and Cyprus, as much as 10 billion euros have left the country for Greek-owned bank subsidiaries in Switzerland and Cyprus in the last couple of months.

    "Customers are coming...from Greece on a daily basis," says one private banker who works for a Greek bank in Cyprus. "They fly here in the morning, bring us a check and fly back to Athens in the afternoon."

    One banker in Athens reports that many of his clients have sent funds out of the country in recent weeks, fearing that the government will take a bigger bite of their money. "They're afraid they'll have to pay tax on their cash," he says.

    Countries in economic turmoil historically look for unpopular ways to raise revenue, according to economists. So when things start to go sour, "everyone becomes convinced that the stage is being set for higher taxes," says former IMF economist Dev Kar, the lead economist for Global Financial Integrity, an international policy research center. "People with wealth then ship their money out, so government does not come and get it when it all comes crashing down."

    But growing concerns that Greece's financial crisis will spill over to its banking system appear to be driving most of the outflow. The fear isn't totally unfounded: Late last month, Fitch Ratings downgraded the country's four major private-sector banks to two notches above junk status on fears that demand for loans may plunge, denting their potential profitability .

    "I'm scared," says one 40-year-old Athenian woman, who's considering taking her nest egg to Cyprus. "I want to take my money out of the country before the banks run out of cash."

    Not as bad as it seems

    A run on the bank, a la Argentina, is not imminent, say banking and government officials. They acknowledge that money is leaving the country, but say that reports of massive capital outflows are "grossly overstated."

    "There is a trickle, but nothing like a real flight that would put the system under pressure," says Anthimos Thomopoulos, chief financial officer of the National Bank of Greece, which holds a third of Greece's 250 billion euro total deposit pool.

    The situation isn't overly worrisome right now, bank and government officials say, because most of the money has flowed to those Greek-owned banks abroad and should, in theory, be easier to repatriate. What's happening, says Nikolaos Karamouzis, deputy CEO of Eurobank EFG, a private bank in Greece with 84 billion euro in assets, is "not materially significant, despite the fact that there is widespread concern among our clients."

    Exactly how much cash has left the country since the crisis exploded in mid-December is hard to determine, however. According to the most recent quarterly statistics available, the national deposit pool at the end of December dropped by less than a half a percent. But analysts point out those numbers do not reflect the full impact of the crisis, which picked up momentum in January and February after the government announced its belt-tightening measures.




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哈哈聂:通用何德何能庇护SAAB?从收购SAAB开始就只是在榨干它的技术,就根本没有去开发它,更加谈不上好好经营。根本就是被通用给杀了    参加讨论>>
含羞草开了: 中国人喜欢最大,所以高等院校都以大学为最终目标,所以曾经有的商学院都等不到了世界排名的这一天,即使是成立才10多年学校,也非要冠以大学引以自豪,即使你成为了著名学府,但白猫还是白猫,黑猫还是黑猫,世界排名也最多在千名之外,可不是周董与费哥的千里之外.哈哈.....    参加讨论>>
gilang:研发少的主要原因,第一是格局,大国企们都处于寡头垄断的地位,产业食物链的最顶端。和国外企业不同的是,大企业们不需要独立进行研发也可以拿到市场。第二是定位,大国企们通常是“通道”型的企业,或者说“通道”占收入很高,而不是“内容”类的企业。    参加讨论>>


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