
美国银行(Bank of America)经济学家戴维·廷斯利(David Tinsley)警告称,消费者正通过上涨的公用事业费用,间接承担人工智能热潮的部分成本。2025年第三季度,平均公用事业支出同比上升3.6%。廷斯利认为,这一增长与支撑人工智能的数据中心电力需求激增有关。他指出,尽管有“星际之门”计划这类耗资5000亿美元的项目以及微软(Microsoft)、谷歌(Google)和英伟达(Nvidia)的大规模投资,但为支持人工智能热潮而进行的基础设施建设仍使电网承压,推高了所有用户的用电成本。尽管这些投资足以改变GDP增速,但电力供应仍难以满足需求,这表明未来几个月电价将持续上涨,给家庭预算带来压力。
硅谷或许正在为人工智能热潮投入数百亿美元,但消费者似乎也在无意中分担了一部分成本。
美国银行研究所(Bank of America Institute)发布了一份题为《人工智能引发公用事业账单上涨》的报告,详细说明了2025年第三季度平均公用事业支出同比上涨3.6%的情况:“电力和燃气消费价格上涨表明,未来几个月的账单压力可能加剧,具体取决于冬季天气状况。”
然而,使问题更趋复杂的是,整体电力发电容量需求以及电网投资需求也在不断增长。美国银行的戴维·廷斯利指出,这种对发电容量和电网投资的需求,源于为支持人工智能爆发式增长而建设的数据中心。
“理解当前公用事业账单及其未来走势,关键问题在于:人工智能爆发式增长及相关数据中心建设带来的能源需求——最明显的是电力——是否也在推高居民账单?”廷斯利写道。“美国银行全球研究部(BofA Global Research)认为,制造业和数据中心是未来十年电力需求的重要推动力。同样值得注意的是,日益普及的住宅电气化——包括电动汽车——也在推高电力需求。”
但廷斯利补充说,更广泛的电网需求增长正在推高价格:“数据中心发展和制造业增长带来的电力需求上升,已经体现在居民用户的费率中。其影响贯穿于数据中心建设所需的输配电网升级支出,这部分成本被计入系统内所有用户(居民、商业和工业)的电价中,进而推高了能源价格和容量电价。”
为满足人工智能浪潮所需的基础设施,大量私营部门资金将注入经济。仅今年1月宣布的“星际之门”计划,就将在未来四年内投资5000亿美元,为OpenAI在美国建设新的人工智能基础设施——创始股权融资伙伴包括OpenAI本身,以及软银(SoftBank)和MGX。
此外,包括微软、谷歌、亚马逊(Amazon)、Meta和英伟达在内的科技巨头已投入数百亿美元建设和升级数据中心,以期在人工智能竞赛中保持领先,并满足对新产品和大型语言模型(LLMs)日益增长的需求。根据哈佛大学经济学家杰森·福尔曼(Jason Furman)的说法,[事实上,这些投资规模非常巨大],若没有数据中心的贡献,2025年上半年美国GDP的年化增长率将仅为0.1%。
但问题依然存在:即使有数十亿美元投入基础设施建设,电力供应何时才能赶上需求?
廷斯利给消费者带来了坏消息:“未来价格很可能进一步上涨。”
他解释道:“由于建设更多发电和输电设施具有资本密集度高、监管要求严的特点,电力供应仍在艰难地追赶需求的快速增长。”
这位经济学家补充说,用电高峰时段将继续推高价格,尽管太阳能发电和储能可以弥补部分缺口,但它们无法提供确保美国家庭和数据中心“灯火通明”(字面意思)所需的长期解决方案:“在低收入家庭已经面临工资增长放缓压力之际,上涨的电费和燃气费将是另一项不利因素。但更广泛地说,如果公用事业费用显著且持续上涨,可能会对整个消费者的可自由支配支出产生抑制作用。”(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
美国银行(Bank of America)经济学家戴维·廷斯利(David Tinsley)警告称,消费者正通过上涨的公用事业费用,间接承担人工智能热潮的部分成本。2025年第三季度,平均公用事业支出同比上升3.6%。廷斯利认为,这一增长与支撑人工智能的数据中心电力需求激增有关。他指出,尽管有“星际之门”计划这类耗资5000亿美元的项目以及微软(Microsoft)、谷歌(Google)和英伟达(Nvidia)的大规模投资,但为支持人工智能热潮而进行的基础设施建设仍使电网承压,推高了所有用户的用电成本。尽管这些投资足以改变GDP增速,但电力供应仍难以满足需求,这表明未来几个月电价将持续上涨,给家庭预算带来压力。
硅谷或许正在为人工智能热潮投入数百亿美元,但消费者似乎也在无意中分担了一部分成本。
美国银行研究所(Bank of America Institute)发布了一份题为《人工智能引发公用事业账单上涨》的报告,详细说明了2025年第三季度平均公用事业支出同比上涨3.6%的情况:“电力和燃气消费价格上涨表明,未来几个月的账单压力可能加剧,具体取决于冬季天气状况。”
然而,使问题更趋复杂的是,整体电力发电容量需求以及电网投资需求也在不断增长。美国银行的戴维·廷斯利指出,这种对发电容量和电网投资的需求,源于为支持人工智能爆发式增长而建设的数据中心。
“理解当前公用事业账单及其未来走势,关键问题在于:人工智能爆发式增长及相关数据中心建设带来的能源需求——最明显的是电力——是否也在推高居民账单?”廷斯利写道。“美国银行全球研究部(BofA Global Research)认为,制造业和数据中心是未来十年电力需求的重要推动力。同样值得注意的是,日益普及的住宅电气化——包括电动汽车——也在推高电力需求。”
但廷斯利补充说,更广泛的电网需求增长正在推高价格:“数据中心发展和制造业增长带来的电力需求上升,已经体现在居民用户的费率中。其影响贯穿于数据中心建设所需的输配电网升级支出,这部分成本被计入系统内所有用户(居民、商业和工业)的电价中,进而推高了能源价格和容量电价。”
为满足人工智能浪潮所需的基础设施,大量私营部门资金将注入经济。仅今年1月宣布的“星际之门”计划,就将在未来四年内投资5000亿美元,为OpenAI在美国建设新的人工智能基础设施——创始股权融资伙伴包括OpenAI本身,以及软银(SoftBank)和MGX。
此外,包括微软、谷歌、亚马逊(Amazon)、Meta和英伟达在内的科技巨头已投入数百亿美元建设和升级数据中心,以期在人工智能竞赛中保持领先,并满足对新产品和大型语言模型(LLMs)日益增长的需求。根据哈佛大学经济学家杰森·福尔曼(Jason Furman)的说法,[事实上,这些投资规模非常巨大],若没有数据中心的贡献,2025年上半年美国GDP的年化增长率将仅为0.1%。
但问题依然存在:即使有数十亿美元投入基础设施建设,电力供应何时才能赶上需求?
廷斯利给消费者带来了坏消息:“未来价格很可能进一步上涨。”
他解释道:“由于建设更多发电和输电设施具有资本密集度高、监管要求严的特点,电力供应仍在艰难地追赶需求的快速增长。”
这位经济学家补充说,用电高峰时段将继续推高价格,尽管太阳能发电和储能可以弥补部分缺口,但它们无法提供确保美国家庭和数据中心“灯火通明”(字面意思)所需的长期解决方案:“在低收入家庭已经面临工资增长放缓压力之际,上涨的电费和燃气费将是另一项不利因素。但更广泛地说,如果公用事业费用显著且持续上涨,可能会对整个消费者的可自由支配支出产生抑制作用。”(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
Bank of America economist David Tinsley warns that consumers are indirectly footing part of the bill for the AI boom through higher utility costs. Average utility payments rose 3.6% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with Tinsley linking the increase to soaring electricity demand from data centers powering artificial intelligence. The build-out of infrastructure needed to support the AI boom---despite projects like the $500 billion Stargate initiative and massive investments by Microsoft, Google, and Nvidia---is straining the grid, driving up costs for all ratepayers, he said. Despite GDP-altering investments, electricity supply is struggling to keep pace with demand, suggesting prices will continue to rise and pressure household budgets in the months ahead.
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Silicon Valley may be pumping billions into the AI boom, but it seems consumers are inadvertently paying a share too.
A note from the Bank of America Institute titled "AI sparks a rise in utility bills" details how average utility payments have risen 3.6% year-on-year in Q3 2025: "Rising consumer prices for electricity and gas suggest bill pressure could intensify in the coming months, depending on how the winter weather shapes up."
But compounding the issue of rising prices in the consumer sector alone is the increasing demand for electricity generation capacity---and investments into the grid---as a whole. This need for capacity and grid investment, writes BofA's David Tinsley, is the result of building data centers to support the massive boom in artificial intelligence.
"An important question both for understanding current utility bills and how they will evolve is whether energy demand---most obviously electricity---from the explosive growth in AI and the associated build-out of data centers is also pressuring residential bills?" Tinsley wrote. "BofA Global Research sees manufacturing and data centers as important drivers of electricity demand over the next 10 years. Also worth noting---increasingly residential electrification, including in vehicles, is also pushing electricity demand up."
But Tinsley adds that prices are pulled up by greater demand more broadly on the power network: "Rising demand for electricity from both data center development and manufacturing growth is already being reflected in residential customer rates. The impact runs through the spending on enhancements to the transmission and distribution grid required for data center build-outs, which is incorporated into the tariffs of all the ratepayers (residential, commercial and industrial) on the system, and then into both higher energy and capacity pricing."
A vast amount of private sector money is due to be pumped into the economy in order to address the infrastructure needed to power the AI wave. The Stargate Project alone, announced in January this year, will invest $500 billion over the next four years into building new AI infrastructure for OpenAI in the U.S.---with founding equity funding partners including OpenAI itself as well as SoftBank and MGX.
On top of that tech giants including Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, and Nvidia have poured tens of billions of dollars into building and upgrading data centers in a bid to stay ahead in the AI race and keep up with the booming demand for new products and LLMs. Indeed, the investment has been so massive that without data centers, America's GDP growth in the first half of 2025 would have been just 0.1% on an annualized basis, according to Harvard economist Jason Furman.
But the question still remains: Even with the billions being pumped into infrastructure, when will the supply of power catch up with demand for it?
Tinsley had bad news for consumers: "There is likely further upside ahead."
"Electricity supply is still struggling to catch up with the rapid increases in demand because of the capital intensity and regulatory requirements around building more generation and transmission capacity," he explained.
The economist added that times of peak demand will continue to push prices higher, and that while solar generation and storage will be able to plug some of the gaps, they do not offer the long-term solution needed to keep the lights on (literally) in both America's homes and its data centers: "At a time when lower-income households are already under pressure from slowing wage growth, rising electricity and gas bills would be another headwind. But, more broadly, rising utility bills could be a headwind to overall consumer discretionary spending if rises are significant and persistent."